银行上市、绩效考察与对策研究

国有控股银行的改革对中国的经济发展具有重要意义.通过实证检验得出的结论有二:第一,单纯依靠重组治理结构来改善银行的经营业绩是不现实的;第二,目前中国商业银行的拓展市场业务比改善治理结构更重要.     

International Trade and Manufacturing Employment in the South: Four Country Case Studies

This paper investigates the impact of international trade on manufacturing employment in developing countries, by undertaking a comparative study of four countries—Bangladesh, Kenya, South Africa and Vietnam. It does so by employing a variety of methodological approaches: factor content; growth accounting; and econometric modelling. The main empirical finding is that international trade seems to be associated with the net creation of jobs in Bangladesh and Vietnam, with female workers being the key beneficiaries. In contrast, international trade has been associated with adverse employment outcomes in Kenya, and possibly in South Africa. This suggests that there may be crucial differences between Asia and Africa in terms of the impact of globalization on employment opportunities in manufacturing. Some alternative explanations for such differences are offered in the paper.     

虚拟经济核算：问题与解决方案——基于统计技术层面的研究大纲

虚拟经济概念的提出及理论架构的建立,是我国一项重要的经济学理论创新.虚拟经济核算体系的构建,则可为该理论提供指导实践的工具.本文基于国民经济核算SNA体系的基本原理,以资金交易流量为核心概念,以重复交易流量为重点,以交易数据取得为突破口,从统计学理论与数据搜集技术层面,针对虚拟经济测度体系中的基本理论、核算方法与系统结构、数据的收集与处理、模拟实验及应用检验四方面问题,提出了解决方案.     

Corporate borrowing and profitability in India

This paper examines effects of different types of corporate borrowing on firm profitability in India. We show that in contrast to the conventional thinking on the importance of monitored debt in determining firm performance, what matters more is arm's‐length lending in the form of fixed deposits in influencing firm profitability. We argue that the strategic implications of fixed deposits can be mainly attributed to the fact that they are both unsecured and privately held, which make the creditors associated with this type of debt the most likely to monitor firms' performance. The results suggest that debt structure matters, and it is important to take into account institutional differences and the heterogeneity of debt in the analysis of capital structure on firm performance. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Theory of the firm in relation to exchange rates,import substitution and export

Neoclassical theory deals with the profit maximizing beheviour of the firm in a closed economy. Once an open-economy condition is introduced, the impact of the exchange rate on the cost and price parameters of the firm and, consequently, its import substitution and export decisions becomes relevant. A model is presented with case studies in which, given the exchange rate, the firm seeks to determine the optimal level of import substitution, output and export with the objective of maximizing its profit. In today's competitive world when countries are liberalizing and moving towards an open trade regime, the influence of exchange rates on the decision-making processes of firms is bound to be significant. An approach which provides them with a methodology for spelling out their options and making optimal choices is, therefore, of considerable practical interest.     

非参数回归在物流配送中心库存量中的应用

以物流配送中心库存管理策略（R，S）中库存量预测的问题为研究对象，提出应用非参数回归方法对库存量进行拟合，用该方法与最小二乘法比较。并用非参数K邻近法则对库存量进行预测，丰富订货期制定方法。以某物流配送中心31天大米滞留库存量数据为例，研究结果表明，核回归模型拟合值较一元二次回归模型优异，得到较为理想的结果，实现通过统计模型客观地对物流配送中心库存信息智能化管理提供理论依据。     

Estimating marginal external costs of transport in Delhi

This paper develops the model and methodology to estimate the marginal external cost of urban road transport, which is necessary for analysing optimal urban transport prices. Four major marginal external costs analysed in this paper include the marginal external costs for congestion, air pollution, road accidents and noise. The paper estimates the marginal external costs for cars and buses in peak and off-peak periods for Delhi urban agglomeration for the year 2005.     

商业银行个贷业务流程的优化设计

商业银行个人信贷业务市场竞争激烈,各家银行在重视产品创新、服务创新的同时还重视流程创新。影像和工作流技术为银行打造标准化的受理流程、加强全流程各环节的内部控制提供了技术保障。通过分析国外银行在个贷流程中对影像工作流的应用案例,客观评价先进技术给流程优化带来的优缺点,提出在实施影像工作流技术时要考虑产品标准化和区域管理的差异,采用分阶段推广实施的策略。同时,随着影像工作流技术的应用,商业银行应探讨建立跨区域的、专业化分工的作业模式。     

高桐轩年画作品中的风景园林观

高桐轩是晚清杨柳青著名的民间年画画师。通过分 析学术界已经确立为其本人所做的22幅年画作品中的风景园 林要素,研究人物活动及文化内涵,结合《墨余琐录》原文探 析高桐轩的风景园林观。发现晚年的他以雅俗共赏的年画形 式,始终推崇在风景园林中以人为本的诗意的生活观念,并结 合中国传统文化进行宣教。     

户籍制度背景下我国残疾人就业影响因素分析

就业是残疾人融入社会和实现自身价值的有效途径。基于某地区2017年全国残疾人基本服务状况与需求信息动态更新调查数据,构建Logit回归模型,针对不同的户籍制度,考察残疾程度、教育程度与无障碍设施对残疾人就业选择的影响。研究发现,教育对就业有显著正相关关系,而残疾人就业与残疾程度,无障碍设施呈负相关。与以往研究不同的是,对样本按户籍制度进行分组后,发现无障碍设施,即社会对于残疾人群体的真实关怀程度对农业户口残疾人就业呈显著负相关。由此提出政府对残疾群体在支持公共配套无障碍设施与鼓励残疾人就业之间应寻找新的平衡点,同时也反映出我国对于残疾人保障的力度。