核心自我评价、职业探索与职业生涯规划:主动性人格的调节作用

职业生涯规划对于个体职业发展至关重要,因此,近年来不少研究开始探索职业生涯规划的影响因素.其中,核心自我评价作为一种新型人格特质,被视为影响职业生涯规划的重要前置因素,但有关两者关系背后的机制探索还比较缺乏.鉴于此,本研究拟探索核心自我评价对职业生涯规划的影响,以及职业探索的中介作用与主动性人格的调节作用.基于220份两时间点调查数据,本研究发现:(1)核心自我评价与职业生涯规划呈现显著正向关系;(2)职业探索在核心自我评价与职业生涯规划的关系中起到了中介作用;(3)主动性人格正向调节核心自我评价与职业探索的关系,以及核心自我评价与职业生涯规划之间经由职业探索的中介效应.当个体具有高主动性人格时,核心自我评价透过职业探索影响职业生涯规划的间接效果会愈强.文章结论对职业生涯规划具有实践上的指导意义.     

Revisiting the relationship between suicide and unemployment: Evidence from linear and nonlinear cointegration

This study employs the linear and nonlinear ARDL cointegration methodologies to examine the potential symmetric and asymmetric responses of suicide rates to unemployment rates in the US from 1928 to 2013. Our results suggest that suicide rates are pro-cyclical with respect to the business cycle (measured by changes in the unemployment rate) after extensively controlling for divorce and fertility rates. Unemployment has symmetric long-run effects on the age-adjusted suicide rate and four age-specific (from ages 25–34 to 55–64) suicide rates, while the effect of an economic expansion on suicide rates for those aged over 45 is greater than the effect of an economic recession. These findings imply that the effect of an economic expansion on the decrease of the suicide rate is higher than the effect of an economic recession on the increase of the suicide rate for individuals aged over 45. Therefore, intervention designed to reduce suicidal behaviors should emphasize periods of economic recession more than periods of economic expansion for those of middle age and beyond.     

Determining the optimal process means under mixture normal distributions

In this paper, we consider that the working environment has certain states, and in every state, the parameters of quality characteristics are different. Thus, if we set the characteristics parameters in a specified state, these parameters will change to another state. To describe this situation, we use a mixture of normal distributions, which comprise a flexible and powerful statistical-based modeling tool in practice. Under the step loss function and the piecewise linear loss function, we select the optimal means for the proposed manufacturing process.     

儒家始祖形象的三种形态及其意义

传统儒家从未停止对事物根源与本质的探索。所谓物有本末,事有终始,始之字义常常兼具逻辑上的原初性与价值上的根本性。始祖作为生民存续之始和人道的开端,其形象隐含着重要的理论意义,更关联着儒家思想与制度的核心。本文分别从感生之祖、始封之祖、生民之祖三种形态出发,追溯始祖形象的特点,并试图通过这一讨论来理解儒家家国建构的不同模式及其基础。     

Is per capita real GDP stationary in five southeastern European countries? Fourier unit root test

This study uses the newly developed Fourier unit root test advanced by Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) to investigate the time-series properties of real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) for five Southeastern European countries for the period from 1969 to 2009. The empirical results from several conventional unit root tests indicate that the per capita real GDP for all of the countries studied are non-stationary; however, when Enders and Lee (2004, 2009) Fourier unit root tests are conducted, one rejects the unit root hypothesis of real GDP per capita in all countries under study. These results have important policy implications for these five Southeastern European countries under study.     

Conditioning as disintegration

Conditional probability distributions seem to have a bad reputation when it comes to rigorous treatment of conditioning. Technical arguments are published as manipulations of Radon–Nikodym derivatives, although we all secretly perform heuristic calculations using elementary definitions of conditional probabilities. In print, measurability and averaging properties substitute for intuitive ideas about random variables behaving like constants given particular conditioning information.
One way to engage in rigorous, guilt-free manipulation of conditional distributions is to treat them as disintegrating measures—families of probability measures concentrating on the level sets of a conditioning statistic. In this paper we present a little theory and a range of examples—from EM algorithms and the Neyman factorization, through Bayes theory and marginalization paradoxes—to suggest that disintegrations have both intuitive appeal and the rigor needed for many problems in mathematical statistics.     

去产能背景下矿区转型绿色产业体系构建

随着国家积极推进煤炭行业去产能,寻找支撑产业、实现产业绿色转型成为矿区生存与发展的新课题。以申家庄煤矿转型建设特色小镇为案例,基于其产业转型PMIF框架和SWOT分析,从产业定位、原则和“光伏+”全产业链设计3方面详细解构其绿色产业体系,探索矿区践行产业绿色转型和发展循环经济的新思路与新模式。     

Flexible Fourier stationary test in purchasing power parity for African countries

This study applies stationary test with a Fourier function proposed by Enders and Lee (2004 Enders, W and Lee, J. 2004. Testing for a unit root with a nonlinear Fourier function, Tuscaloosa, AL, , USA: Working Paper, Department of Economics, Finance and Legal Studies, University of Alabama.  [Google Scholar], 2009 Enders, W and Lee, J. 2009. The flexible Fourier form and testing for unit roots: an example of the term structure of interest rates, Tuscaloosa, AL, , USA: Working Paper, Department of Economics, Finance and Legal Studies, University of Alabama.  [Google Scholar]) to test the validity of long run Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) to assess the nonstationary properties of the real exchange rate for 20 African countries. We find that our approximation has higher power to detect U shaped breaks and smooth breaks than linear method if the true data generating process of exchange rate is in fact a stationary nonlinear process. We examine the validity of PPP from the nonlinear point of view and provide robust evidence clearly indicate that PPP holds true for almost African countries. Our findings point out their exchange rate adjustment is mean reversion towards PPP equilibrium values in a nonlinear way.     

State dependence,serial correlation and heterogeneity in the union membership dynamics

In order to distinguish the true and spurious state dependence from the complicated dynamics of union membership, the simulation estimators incorporating the lagged dependent variables, unobserved individual heterogeneity and correlations among the errors are implemented in this article to study union membership dynamics. It is found that the true state dependence of union membership under multivariate t assumption is much higher than the standard dynamic panel probit estimators which are under multivariate normal assumptions. On the other hand, the spurious state dependence (the variance of the unobserved individual heterogeneity) is estimated to be higher when using the standard dynamic panel probit estimators than under multivariate t assumption. Moreover, blacks and married men are found to have higher union membership true state dependence than whites and unmarried men.     

The effect of social capital on post-earthquake reconstruction (programmes) in Nantou County,Taiwan: an assessment

The study aims, through an examination of social capital on post-earthquake reconstruction programmes, to assess the impact of government's programmes on integrated community development and to draw policy implications. To this end, the study explores the programmes implemented by the government in the communities of Nantou County after the earthquake. The findings show that of the three measurements, ‘infrastructure improvement’ satisfied most respondents in the three survey areas, but in Lugu Township and in Nantou City, further improvements are needed in ‘unemployment reduction’ and ‘respondents betterment’.