An error-correction model for forecasting changes in foreign currency futures spreads

The foreign currency futures pricing model of Amin and Jarrow (1991) is used to develop a model that predicts the primary determinants of foreign currency futures spreads. Our data set consists of daily observations of futures prices, spot exchange rates, and Eurocurrency LIBOR for the British pound and Japanese yen from January 2, 1990 to December 31, 2004. Using a 5-year moving window methodology, we find repeated evidence of cointegration between the futures spread, spot exchange rates, and interest rates over ten different estimation periods. An errorcorrection model is used to develop a trading strategy that generates significant out-of-sample profits.     

The unequal distribution of economic education: A report on the race,ethnicity, and gender of economics majors at U.S. colleges and universities

Economic education is distributed unequally. Among U.S. undergraduates, women and underrepresented minority students collectively major in economics at 0.36 the rate that white, non-Hispanic men do. The authors establish a definition of full inclusion in economic education and use that definition to evaluate the status quo and to compare institutions. A companion resource, hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, provides interactive access to the data to attract and inform the attention of economists, university administrators, and others. The authors explain why the need to improve the distribution of economic education is urgent, including the imperative to support economic policymaking. Lastly, they point the way forward, identifying currently available resources and reasonable next steps for all involved parties to take.     

A longitudinal examination of the effects of retailer–manufacturer brand alliances: The role of perceived fit

Abstract

One resource that has been identified as a valuable source of competitive advantage is the equity associated with an organisation's brands. Organisations devote considerable resources to developing strategies that allow them to build and/or maintain strong brand names. This study investigates brand alliances between retailers and manufacturers. The role of perceived fit between the partnering brands is explored. In addition, the study examines the influence that retailer–manufacturer brand alliances have on: retailer equity; manufacturer brand equity; the intention of consumers to frequent the stores of the retailer involved in the brand alliance (shopping intention); and the intention of consumers to purchase products from the manufacturer involved in the brand alliance (purchase intention).     

The effects of inflation uncertainty and supply shocks on real interest rates

Increased inflation uncertainty and negative supply shocks have been suggested separately as causes of the 1970s decline in real interest rates. When both factors appear in empirical interest rate models, supply forces exert a statistically significant impact on real rates while the effect of inflation uncertainty is insignificant.     

Questions about formative measurement

A growing body of literature addresses the issue of formative measurement. However, questions remain regarding the nature of formative measures, their properties, and their usefulness, especially in the context of theory testing and structural equations modeling. This paper poses an incomplete list of questions and suggests possible answers to them, and concludes that the use of formative measurement remains problematic in theory testing research.     

Influences on consumer use of word-of-mouth recommendation sources

This article reports the development and testing of a theoretical model of the initial stages of recommendation-based decision making by consumers. Although consumers use a variety of recommendation sources, they have different motivations for the use of different sources. The model focuses on the factors that influence the likelihood of consumers using strong-tie sources (e.g., friends and family) and weak-tie sources (e.g., acquaintances or strangers) or recommendations. The factors used in the model are the prior knowledge level of the consumer about the product being considered, the perceived decision task difficulty level, and the type of evaluative cues sought by the consumer. Hypotheses are tested using data collected in an extensive field study with consumers. Two paths or routes of influence on the use of recommendation sources are proposed and confirmed in the study. His work has been published in theJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Journal of Marketing, andJournal of Marketing Research. His research interests center on consumer decision making and marketing education. He has published previously in theJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science, Journal of Advertising, Strategic Change, The International Executive, andMarketing Education Review. His research interests include research methodology, quantitative methods, and competitive intelligence. His work has appeared in theJournal of Marketing Research, Journal of Marketing, andJournal of the Academy of Marketing Science. His publications have appeared in numerous journals. His books includeConsumer Behavior (Harcourt Brace Jovanovich, 1986) andMarketing Management (Simon & Schuster).