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排序方式: 共有10000条查询结果,搜索用时 31 毫秒
81.
82.
Determinants of Current Account Imbalances in 16 OECD Countries: An Out-Of-Sample Perspective 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
We employ panel data as well as country-specific models to uncover empirically the determinants of current account imbalances.
We find evidence of slope heterogeneity likely rendering the fixed-effect estimator inconsistent. Mean group estimation is
followed to overcome the latter difficulty. Both estimation techniques are evaluated by means of in- and out-of-sample criteria.
The mean group estimator outperforms the fixed-effect approach and, moreover, only three economic variables are found to impact
on the current account balance significantly. These are the government budget balance, the domestic output gap and the changes
of the terms of trade. We finally propose a parsimonious dynamic model of the current account, including only these variables
and illustrate that it has similar predictive accuracy as country-specific benchmark models.
JEL no. F32, C23, C53 相似文献
83.
回顾1.需求7月份,世界主要经济体跌幅趋缓,显现经济复苏迹象。中国经济更是率先走出低迷,增长提速,第二季度国内生产总值同比增长7.9%。基础设施投资起到了决定性的作用。7月份固定资产投资延续上半年的趋 相似文献
84.
85.
Keith H. Coble Thomas O. Knight George F. Patrick & Alan E. Baquet 《Review of Agricultural Economics》2002,24(2):309-321
A survey conducted in Mississippi, Texas, Indiana, and Nebraska elicited producers' preferences for various farm policy changes. This permitted examination of the diversity of preferences that single-state studies have not allowed. Five policy choices, including deficiency payments, loan programs, crop insurance, export programs, and disaster payments were examined. Logit model results predicting producer preferences for each of the five dichotomous policy choices are reported. Explanatory variables based on expected utility theory such as risk aversion, price and yield variability, and price–yield correlation are significant in various models. 相似文献
86.
The role of tourism is of vital economic importance, particularly for small countries with a privileged geographical location and favourable weather conditions. This paper examines the importance of tourism as a conditioning factor for higher regional growth in Portugal by employing the conditional convergence hypothesis of Barro and Sala-i-Martin, associated with the endogenous growth theory. The panel data estimation approach provides evidence of the positive impact of tourism (through the accommodation capacity) on the growth in per-capita income among the Portuguese regions, increasing the rate of convergence. Therefore, tourism can be considered as an alternative source for stimulating higher regional growth in Portugal, if the supply characteristics of this sector are improved. 相似文献
87.
This paper focuses on the development of a theoretical scheme describing the transformation of primary incomes into end consumption and savings in the Russian economy. This scheme is basically a system of interrelated tables reflecting the distribution of primary incomes across the institutional sectors and their further reallocation and use. The scheme makes allowances for the specific features of the Russian economy and existing statistics. In terms of methodology, it is coordinated with the interindustry balance in current buyer prices and, from the theoretical standpoint, describes the connection between Quadrant II and Quadrant III of the balance. Therefore, the proposed system of tables is treated in the paper as Quadrant IV of the interindustry balance. The theoretical scheme is used by the authors as a necessary basis for constructing an empirical model of the relationship between value added and end product, which will be published in the next issue of this journal. 相似文献
88.
Erik Benrud 《Journal of Economics and Finance》2007,31(2):143-165
The demand for and supply of analysts’ opinions in this model yield an equilibrium that demonstrates how the information content
of the opinions reacts to changes in exogenous parameters. The model also shows how changes in the parameters make analysts’
opinions more or less dispersed; for example, a decline in investor risk aversion, a decrease in market volatility, and an
increase in information costs can lead to analysts’ opinions becoming more similar. Recognizing how exogenous factors can
affect the supply and demand of analysts’ opinions gives additional insights into questions concerning what may appear to
be herd behavior by analysts and also the relationship between forecast dispersion and information content. (JEL: G29, C71) 相似文献
89.
E. A. Abramova D. R. Belousov K. V. Mikhailenko 《Studies on Russian Economic Development》2008,19(1):35-45
This article examines the economic outcome of 2006 and builds a forecast for 2007–2010. The medium-term development risks of the Russian economy are analyzed. 相似文献
90.