OUTPUT–EMPLOYMENT RELATIONSHIP ACROSS SECTORS: A LONG‐ VERSUS SHORT‐RUN PERSPECTIVE

This paper investigates the nature of the output–employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988–2008. Even if we fail to find a long‐run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long‐run relationships for the aggregate output with non‐agricultural employment and sectoral employment levels for seven of nine sectors that we consider. However, a further investigation for the output and employment relationship within a short‐run perspective does not reveal statistically significant relationships for either total employment or non‐agriculture employment, or eight of the nine sectors that we consider. Although there are various long‐run relationships between output and employment, the short‐run links between demand and employment are weak. The various implications of this for the economy and the labour market are discussed. As a result, maintaining high levels of output in the long‐run creating demand is essential for employment generation.     

江浙沪地区企业短期融资券发展状况调查

自2005年4月首只短券发行以来,江浙沪二省一市企业积极利用短券进行融资。发行短券有效降低了区域内企业融资成本,改善了融资结构,提高了企业的影响力,而且江浙沪已成为短券融资最多的地区之一。然而,与江浙沪二省一市的经济结构、产业特点相比而言,企业在短期融资券方面的需求仍受多方面的限制,主要是相对严格的管理抑制了企业发行意愿,民营企业和中小企业的发行需求难以满足。     

中国-东盟税收协调现状及相关政策建议

近年来,中国与东盟经济贸易关系发展迅速,同时凸现出越来越多的税收协调问题.本文梳理了东盟各成员国之间以及中国与东盟成员国之问税收协调的概况和存在的主要问题,并对如何解决好中国一东盟税收协调问题提出了相关建议.     

"两法合并"后利用避税地避税的趋势与对策

2008年我国开始实施统一的企业所得税法,这将对我国经济发展带来重大而深远的影响,企业利用避税地避税也将表现出新的动向。本文借鉴国际反避税经验,研究内、外资企业所得税合并后企业利用避税地避税可能出现的新趋势,并提出我国针对避税地避税应采取的对策。     

山东省高校毕业生就业意向调查研究

根据山东省政府的部署要求,山东经济学院和山东社科院联合开展山东省人才供需预测研究,山东经济学院承担的《2007年山东省高校毕业生就业意向调查研究》为该课题的前期成果,研究显示,大学生就业意向与社会人才需求存在较大差异是导致高等教育劳动力市场结构性失衡的重要原因之一。目前,大学生就业预期普遍降低,这是一个积极的信号,但是不同背景、不同层次的大学生的就业意向存在显著差异,需要采取有针对性的政策措施,加强就业指导,创新人才理念,切实有效地引导大学生转变就业观念和拓宽就业领域。     

金融监管改革 能否遏制下一次危机

<正>过去几年,全球达成广泛共识——必须采取强有力措施确保全球金融体系安全。一些大金融机构(TBTF)引发的不可控风险以及监管、监督和透明度的缺乏,     

浅议丝绸之路的重建

本文旨在说明如何利用昔日丝绸之路来建立当今世界的国际经济关系。在古代我们的祖先开拓了古老的丝绸之路,成功连接了亚欧及其它各大陆的贸易往来。现今重新审视研究丝绸之路,对于思考如何提高改善亚欧大陆贸易往来,缩短货物运输时间有至关重要的影响。在达成这一目标的道路上仍然存在一些障碍需要面对。     

Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What They Are and What They Do

The global financial and economic crisis has revived the debate in the academic literature and in policy circles about the size and effectiveness of automatic fiscal stabilisers. Especially in the euro area where monetary policy is centralised and discretionary fiscal policy making is constrained by the EU fiscal rules, knowing the size and the effectiveness of automatic stabilisers is crucial. While automatic stabilisers are a fairly established concept in the fiscal policy literature, there is still no consensus about their actual nature and their effectiveness. This paper shows that differences in opinion mirror a deeper disagreement over how the budget would look like without automatic stabilisers. This issue is addressed by defining two types of counterfactual budgets giving rise to two different interpretations about the nature of automatic stabilisation. Simulations with a structural model confirm that the degree of smoothing is conditional on how the counterfactual budget, i.e. the budget without automatic stabilisers, is defined.