Research on the Credit Cycle and Business Cycle with a Focus on Ten States from Central,Eastern, and Southeastern Europe

By performing an econometric analysis of the credit cycle and business cycle from an individual as well as a comparative perspective, with a focus on ten relevant economies from the areas of Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe, this research offers a fresh view regarding the importance of banks in promoting long-term economic growth through their lending capacity. The purpose is to better understand the behavior (the short- and medium-term dynamics) of the credit cycle and business cycle and the effects of the interactions between them. The results of this study offer valuable insights for both academics and policymakers and provide a warning to regulators not to overregulate or put too much pressure on banking activity.     

Development and Pricing of a New Participating Contract

Abstract

This article designs and prices a new type of participating life insurance contract. Participating contracts are popular in the United States and European countries. They present many different covenants and depend on national regulations. In the present article we design a new type of participating contract very similar to the one considered in other studies, but with the guaranteed rate matching the return of a government bond. We prove that this new type of contract can be valued in closed form when interest rates are stochastic and when the company can default.     

对美国信息企业成功经营经验的探索

本文通过剖析美国若干信息企业的发展历程来探讨它们在激烈竞争的环境中获得巨大成就的经验。它们善于捕捉历史机遇，并且制定充分利用机遇的独特经营战略。历史机遇为企业提供新的市场空间，而高超的经营战略则有利于发挥自己的优势，提高竞争力     

产权、金融稳定政策与中央银行独立性

This paper builds a micro-behavior model of central bank and financial institutions from the perspective of property-rights. By analyzing the theoretical model and the practice, we conclude that, in the framework of the present financial stabilization policies in China, the central bank’s functions of monetary policy and financial stabilization are enslaved to financial institutions. Thus, central bank independence has been damaged because of the actual property-right relation between the central bank and the financial institutions. The policy implication is to cut off the property-right relation between the central bank and the financial institutions. __________ Translated from Caijing wenti yanjiu 财经问题研究 (Research on Finanical and Economic Issues), 2007, (6): 3–9     

哈萨克斯坦共和国的贸易与投资环境

哈萨克斯坦是我国在中亚地区重要经贸合作伙伴。为了帮助我国企业加大对哈萨克斯坦市场开拓力度,本文简要介绍了该国的贸易与投资环境,并对我国企业跨国经营应注意的问题给予了提示。     

NDRC Attaches Great Importance to National Development and People''''s Life

Issues concerning national development and people's lives are always regarded as the most importance at the People's Congress. At this year's People's Congress, a series of issues, including GDP growth, investment of fixed assets, real estate prices, energy saving and reduction of polluting emission, energy consumption, etc., have attracted extensive attention.     

Droht eine Immobilienpreisblase in Deutschland?

Since 2009, real estate prices in Germany have been rising rapidly after a period of stagnation during the Great Recession. This raises the question of whether the recent price increases are fundamentally driven or rather an indication of a real estate bubble in Germany. To tackle this question, we take a look at several real estate demand-side indicators. As real estate bubbles sometimes form in certain sub-segments of the real estate market only, the authors also conduct a disaggregate analysis by looking at different real estate types in Germany’s most important metropolitan areas. In what follows, we investigate the relation of real estate prices and rents and test for explosive behaviour of the price-generating processes. Our findings suggest that the recent upswing in the German real estate market seems to be based on fundamental factors. Except for the sub-segment of flats in some of the metropolitan areas, there is no evidence for price increases being unsustainable.