基于H-P滤波分解模型在成长链金融风险中的实证分析

不同于传统个人金融业务的授信理念,成长链金融理论创新性提出了个人整个生命周期授信思路,结合多元化金融工具,契合了不同个体在其各生命周期阶段性的金融需求,对于金融模式的创新具有理论和实践的重要贡献.然而,这一新兴的金融模式理论能否有效地解决目前个人授信业务中的低效率、逆向选择和道德风险等问题,就取决于它能否实现个人成长链金融风险的可控性并突破传统阶段性授信模式的局限.采用中国宏观数据及南京市居民的10 000人网络抽样调查数据,一方面,基于适当的经济学假设和经济学思维构建了成长链金融风险控制理论模型,对个人成长链金融风险的可控性进行论证;另一方面,提出利用“个人终生信贷率”作为个人成长链金融风险测度,并利用H-P滤波分解模型进行实证分析,进一步分析成长链金融风险的可控性.最后,提出完善个人成长链金融风险控制的合理化对策.     

网络环境下顾客忠诚及其维系

网络在改变顾客价值观的同时，也使企业能够突破时间和空间的限制，在更大市场范围内进行资源的配置与整合。但值得思考的是在网络条件下如何挽留客户，提高客户的忠诚度，从而最终给企业带来利润。本文在剖析企业网络建设中顾客忠诚建设与维系所面临的实际问题的基础上。根据网络客户具有的两面性特点提出了几点思考。     

基于产业调整的煤炭资源型城市经济发展研究——以万盛资源型城市转型为例

万盛因煤而兴,以矿而立,经过几十年的开采,煤炭资源的存储量逐步减少,难以支撑万盛经济的长期发展,并且煤炭经济所带来的一系列环境和社会问题也日益突出。万盛急需寻找新的发展之路,实现经济转型,减缓资源环境压力,以传统产业改造为根本,发展集聚经济;以旅游产业为突破口,重点发展服务业;以特色农业为目标,走绿色农业规模化发展道路等方面对万盛资源型城市转型发展提出一些思路,以期对万盛地区经济发展有所裨益。     

企业社会责任的价值创造研究——一个三维概念模型的构建

20世纪中期以来,企业社会责任的研究在全球范围内兴起。伴随半个多世纪的争议与讨论,企业应该履行社会责任的观念得到广泛认可,但碍于其所需付出的成本,管理者却普遍缺乏动力。以往的研究虽然致力于在企业社会责任和经济绩效之间建立相关关系,但结论并不一致,其原因主要在于二者之间的作用机理尚未揭示出来。本文认为企业社会责任不仅不是企业成本的沉重负担,反而是构成企业价值创造系统的重要组成部分。文章分析了企业社会责任对当前价值、未来价值和潜在价值的作用机理,提出了一个三维价值创造的概念模型,将该领域研究的零散内容系统化,为企业管理者提供了履行社会责任的理论支撑。     

美国征信体系模式及其启示

完善的征信体系是解决我国社会主义市场经济体制建设中信用缺失问题的重要举措。许多国家和地区都建立了较为成熟的征信体系,尤以美国最为发达。总结美国征信体系的征信法律体系健全、征信监管框架完备、运作机制市场化、信用评分模型先进等经验,结合我国国情,提出我国征信体系的发展模式：坚持公共征信模式,依托完善的法律法规体系,构建完备的征信业监管框架,采用使用方付费的征信付费方式,采取适度垄断的发展方式并引入竞争机制。     

The antecedents of tourists’ gaming spend: does the brand prestige matter?

This study endeavors to empirically analyse the influential effect among brand prestige, service quality, casino visitor satisfaction and spend. Data from 304 tourists who had travelled to Macau and had participated in gambling activities were used and structural equation modelling and multi-group analysis were employed in hypotheses testing. The findings demonstrated that both brand prestige and perceived service quality are determinants of satisfaction and gaming spend, and that brand prestige also affects service quality positively. Furthermore, past experience moderates the service quality and visitors’ satisfaction relationship, also service quality and visitors’ gaming spend relationship.     

低碳经济背景下的中国外贸出口发展策略

自加入世贸组织以来,中国外贸出口得到了快速发展。在分析世界低碳经济发展趋势和中国发展低碳经济必要性及低碳经济发展现状的基础上,研究了低碳经济对中国外贸出口的影响,认为中国外贸企业应迅速适应环境变化,不断探索新的发展道路,并提出了中国外贸出口的可持续发展策略。     

国际大石油公司发展可再生能源现状及启示

可再生能源已得到各国政府、能源行业及社会的广泛关注.国际大石油公司研判世界能源发展趋势,投资发展风力及地热发电,合作开发生物质能源并完成技术储备,虽然减少太阳能投资却持有大量技术储备,同时加紧开发燃料电池及氢能源技术.中国的石油公司需要统筹兼顾可再生能源开发,因地制宜选择经济可靠的技术路线发展可再生能源,确保研发投入,广泛开展合作,争取可再生能源领域的跨越式发展,实现向综合性能源公司的转变.     

Employee mobility,spin‐outs,and knowledge spill‐in: How incumbent firms can learn from new ventures

Research summary: We consider conditions in which incumbent firms are particularly poised to benefit from knowledge spilling in from new ventures that employ individuals previously employed by the focal incumbent firm. We distinguish between inventors who leave their incumbent employers to found spin‐outs and those who become non‐founding employees of existing new ventures. Using a sample of new ventures and incumbent firms in the U.S. information technology (IT) sector, we find that incumbents are more likely to benefit from patented knowledge that spills in from their spin‐outs than from new ventures that employ non‐founding inventors formerly employed by the respective incumbent. Any advantage that parent firms have in reaping such knowledge quickly dissipates, however, when these parents have a history of misappropriating the intellectual property of others. Managerial summary: It has long been acknowledged that new ventures can acquire valuable knowledge from their larger and more established counterparts by hiring away their talented employees. We consider the possibility of a reverse flow of knowledge where established firms learn from those new ventures that have poached employees from them. We find that established information technology (IT) firms are more likely to learn and build on the technology of their spin‐outs (i.e., new ventures founded by their former inventors) than from new ventures that simply employ non‐founding inventors formerly employed by the respective IT firm. Any advantage that these IT firms had in reaping technical know‐how from their spin‐outs quickly dissipated, however, when they had a history of misappropriating the intellectual property of others. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于边际税率差模型的税收筹划动力源泉分析

在税收法律制度框架内,现代企业拥有税收筹划与非税收筹划两种节税手段,企业选择非税收筹划必然遭到税收法律的严厉制裁,增加企业的节税成本.通过构建边际税率差模型,我们发现企业存在内在驱动因素使其选择税收筹划来增大企业的税后收益,从而实现企业价值最大化目标,这一内在驱动因素就是边际税率差最小化.