Attribute Specific Impacts of Stated Non‐Attendance in Choice Experiments

In this paper, we generalise existing approaches to the treatment of stated attribute non‐attendance data in discrete choice experiments by allowing attribute specific impacts. We implement this approach by employing an extended hierarchical Bayes logit model specification. To illustrate this approach, we consider data collected to examine Indian consumers’ preferences for traditional aromatic rice varieties. Our results regarding stated attribute non‐attendance reveal that, our new approach shrinks marginal utilities of non‐attenders substantially compared to stated attenders, with significant differences in the shrinkage between some of the attributes. In addition, our results reveal the way in which non‐attendance of attributes interact with each other and the impact that this has on the distribution of willingness to pay estimates.     

Moral Hazard,Targeting and Contract Duration in Agri‐Environmental Policy

This article extends the multi‐period agri‐environmental contract model of Fraser (Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 55 , (2004) pp. 525–540) to include a more realistic specification of the inter‐temporal penalties for non‐compliance, and therefore of the inter‐temporal moral hazard problem in agri‐environmental policy design. It is shown that a farmer has an unambiguous preference for cheating early over cheating late in the contract period based on differences in the expected cost of compliance. It is then shown how the principal can make use of this unambiguous preference to target monitoring resources intertemporally, and in so doing, to encourage full contract duration compliance.     

A conceptual framework for evaluating the most cost-effective intervention along the supply chain to improve food safety

This paper develops a conceptual framework for choosing the most cost-effective intervention along the supply chain to improve food safety. This framework identifies both the initial level of on-farm infection and the potential for new infection post farm-gate as key parameters influencing the relative effectiveness of on-farm and abattoir interventions. In addition, the potential for cost economies of scale in implementing interventions at abattoir compared to on-farm is shown to be a further factor determining the relative cost-effectiveness of these interventions. Overall, it is suggested by the analysis in this paper that successful abattoir interventions will typically be more cost-effective than successful on-farm interventions. These findings are consistent with existing case study evidence.     

DETERMINING COST OF SALES IN THE CCA SYSTEM

The profit concept in the Current Cost Accounting system is based on the objective of maintaining “capital” in the sense of “operating capability”. This paper seeks to demonstrate that the recommended capital maintenance adjustment of the Australian Provisional Accounting Standard on “Current Cost Accounting”, as it relates to cost of sales, is inappropriate for the stated capital maintenance objective. This appears to be because operating capability is a dated concept, since it is the operating capability existing at the beginning of an accounting period which is to be maintained. An alternative adjustment for cost of sales is proposed which is consistent with the stated capital maintenance objective.     

DETERMINANTS OF BANK HOLDING COMPANY DEBT RATINGS

This paper reports on the construction of a multiple discriminant analysis model which explains the specific ratings assigned by Standard and Poor's Corporation to bank holding company (BHC) capital notes and debentures. It thus investigats the ratings of debt securities issued by banking organizations, an area largely ignored in bond rating research to date. Improving on the methodology of current research concerning BHC bond ratings, the model is 78.5 percent accurate in initially classifying the top three rating categories—AAA, AA, and A. Lachenbruch validation finds the model to be 64.6 percent accurate. Size, variability of net income, the economic environment of the issuing BHC, and the amount and composition of total capital appear to be the principal variables allowing successful discrimination among the debet issue ratings.     

Modeling sequential responses in interactive decisions

Sequential Response Models use techniques based on ordinal noncooperative game theory to analyze decisions in which participants may sequentially respond to the actions of their opponents. Sequential Response Models, which include Departure Games, allow a decision maker to use foresight in determining the best move. This article presents the first model to adequately describe general sequential response decision situations. The Double Departure Game model allows a broader application of foresight than was previously possible. This model applies these principles in a 2×2 game context, providing a basis for extension of these ideas to more general games. The model is used to demonstrate the possibility of cooperation without communication, and to examine this phenomenon in several business contexts.     

Conflict analysis of the NAFTA negotiations

The 1991–92 negotiations for a North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) are modelled at two points in time during the negotiation process from a Mexican perspective. The first model in February 1992 captures the positions of the parties on several key issues. The second model in April 1992 concentrates on the energy issue, which is of particular importance to Mexico. The formal model provided a framework for structuring the negotiation, and a communications medium for discussing and recording it. The analyses were fairly accurate as predictors of events and could have been effective in giving advice to the negotiations.     

Traffic lights and food choice: A choice experiment examining the relationship between nutritional food labels and price

In this paper we investigate how consumers respond to the UK nutritional food label Traffic Light System (TLS). Employing a choice experiment (CE) we find that consumers appear to behave in a manner consistent with our expectations regarding the impact of the TLS. We identify a strong preference on the part of respondents to avoid a basket of goods containing a mix of foods with any “Red” lights. In addition, we find that consumers have a hierarchy of importance in terms of perception of the various nutrients examined and there are clear behavioural differences associated with particular socio-economic characteristics confirming early research on the use of nutrition labels. Overall our results indicate significant heterogeneity in the attitudes and responses of consumers to the TLS nutritional food labels within and across socio-economic strata.