城市科学20年的发展历程--祝贺中国城市科学研究会成立20周年

回顾北京市城市科学研究会的发展历程,分为多学科协同研究城市问题阶段;城市发展多学科综合研究阶段;城市发展综合研究向重点领域开展阶段.概括了北京城科会的主要学术成果.     

正视现状调整策略发展东盟贸易

中国—东盟贸易自由区将是“全球第三大市场”。随着双边贸易谈判进行，东盟贸易对中国经济影响越来越大。同时，东盟贸易也给中国企业带来无限商机。为此，我们应该积极进行应对，调整我们的策略，尽量在东盟贸易中赢得市场。     

煤炭企业改革发展要有新举措

“加快建立现代企业制度,实现企业制度创新;加快主辅分离,促进剥离改制;加快技术进步,提高创新能力”是煤炭企业改革发展关键之所在……     

Intraday Lead-Lag Relationships Between the Futures-, Options and Stock Market

In rational, efficiently functioning and complete markets, returns on derivative and underlying securities should be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Due to market imperfections, one of these markets may reflect information faster. The use of high-frequency data and the choice for a small unit time interval to measure these lead-lag relations comes at the cost of some or many missing observations, causing traditional estimators to either under- or overestimate covariances and correlations. We use a new estimator to estimate lead-lag relationships between the cash AEX index, options and futures. We find that futures returns lead both options and cash index returns by approximately 10 minutes. The relationship between options and the cash market is not completely unidirectional.     

Programme Evaluation with Unobserved Heterogeneity and Selective Implementation: The Mexican PROGRESA Impact on Child Nutrition

This paper considers the impact of Programa de Educación, Salud y Alimentación ( PROGRESA ), a large Mexican rural anti-poverty programme that had an evaluation sample in which overall treatment was randomly assigned to some communities but not others, on child nutrition. When we examine the impact of PROGRESA based on the presumption of randomized allocations, we find that PROGRESA had no or even a negative impact on child nutrition. However, not all children designated to receive nutritional supplements actually did so. Our preferred estimates – child fixed-effects estimates that control for unobserved heterogeneity that is correlated with access to the supplement – indicate a significantly positive and fairly substantial programme effect of the nutritional supplements on children 12–36 months. They imply an increase of about a sixth in mean growth per year for these children and a lower probability of stunting. Effects are somewhat larger for children from poorer communities but whose mothers are functionally literate. The long-term consequences of these improvements are non-trivial; its impact working through adult height alone could result in a 2.9% increase in lifetime earnings.     

金融生态环境与西部经济发展

金融生态环境是金融生存发展的外部环境和基础条件的总和，包括法律、社会信用体系、会计与审计准则、中介服务体系等多方面的内容。只有把改善金融生态环境与支持经济发展有机结合起来，才能有效推动经济结构和产业结构的优化、升级及经济增长方式的转变，同时也会进一步推进金融生态环境的改善。     

充分发挥比较优势 加快发展县域经济——对云南省大理州县域经济发展的思考

发展县域经济在边疆民族地区全面建设小康社会的战略中占有极为重要的地位。加快发展县域经济，必须顺应经济社会发展的趋势，以市场为导向、资源为依托、效益为核心，立足于充分发挥比较优势，积极构建特色产业和优势产业，确立科学的发展思路和重点，采取有力措施，加快资源优势向产业优势和经济优势转化，促进县域经济的可持续发展和全面建设小康社会目标的早日实现。     

施工企业对外承接项目的价值评估

本文通过工程实例说明,提供了作者进行施工企业评估过程中对其对外承接项目评估的思路和方法.提出了施工企业对其在外所承接项目的权益是一种债权,同时明确了合理确定项目给企业所能带来的应收工程款以及取得应收工程款可能发生的风险是此类项目评估的核心.     

保税区转型中的金融环境建设

我国保税区的发展已进入战略调整与体制转型的关键时期,无论是区域扩张、港区联动,还是企业运营,都对其金融环境的完善提出了新的要求.为此,应在对保税区金融服务进行评价的基础上,从软环境和硬环境两个方面,探讨转型过程中保税区金融环境重构的战略措施.     

医药分销物流系统拣选方案的选择

主持人目前,电子标签已广泛应用于烟草、医药、化工、服装、图书、机械、电子等行业的拣选和配送作业,并且由于其无与伦比的便利性,应用范围在不断扩大,其用途逐渐突破以前单纯的拣选和配送业务,扩展到分类、标识、导引、控制等方面。但是,还有很多企业对电子标签拣货系统的特点、类