Food security of Bashkortostan: Problems and solutions

This article considers the fulfillment of the regional market of Bashkortostan with domestic farming products compared with the average figures across Russia. The analysis covers the foreign trade balance of basic farming goods and food regimens of households by product supply with regard to balanced norms. The main suppliers of import-substituting stock are determined, as well as the key problems of their government support and the main domestic reserves of producers of farming goods.     

Social and economic problems of the older generation: Quality of life of the older population

The first part of this published paper has provided a brief assessment of the demographic situation in the world and considers the problems of the health protection of elderly age groups and ensuring of their level of income and material well-being through the state pension system and their own work activities, as well as measures for protecting the interests of elderly people in the consumer sector. The shortcomings of the adopted strategy of action for the benefit of the older generation in the Russian Federation until 2025 have been discussed. The second part of this article will be be published in a forthcoming issue of this journal.     

Integrated energy systems: Challenges,trends, philosophy

The creation of an energy metasystem that combines electrical, heat, cooling, and gas supply systems on an intellectual framework is a manifestation of a new energy paradigm. Integrated intelligent power supply systems combine complexity, intelligence, efficiency, reliability, controllability, flexibility of energy conversion, transmission, storage technologies and assume an active consumer.     

Short-term forecasting of prices for the Russian wholesale electricity market based on neural networks

The article considers the possibility of using neural networks for the short-term forecasting of electricity prices in the day-ahead market (DAM) based on factors strictly determined for the forecast period. A set of six factors has been determined, which allows an hourly forecast of the DAM price to be constructed for a month in each of the four seasons with a high accuracy. The proposed model shows low average errors in forecasting the price for each hour of the month and in turn allows possible significant price deviations to be anticipated.     

Small enterprises in the RF,their position,and conditions for their development

The development problems of small enterprises are studied. It is shown that despite the important role played by small enterprises in the market economy, which is recognized by the government and by other economic entities, the relative scope of their activities and their output of goods (services) are still insignificant while their innovation initiative is clearly insufficient.     

Kenya's focus on urban vulnerability and resilience in the midst of urban transitions in Nairobi

ABSTRACT

Addressing urban vulnerability requires an understanding of the underlying determinants of resilience for individuals, households, communities and institutions – to withstand shocks, to adapt and to change. Analysing urban resilience utilises the results of five rounds of the Indicator Development for Surveillance of Urban Emergencies surveys conducted in three informal settlements of Nairobi. Results show a significant deterioration in food security and household hunger in marginalised urban populations, with other deprivations including insecurity, negative coping behaviour and inadequate access to water and sanitation. Within slum populations, there was a significant variation in income and expenditure (p?<?0.05) with lowest income quintiles spending over 100% of their income on food. Significant gender disparities have been shown in lowest income quintiles, with female breadwinners earning 62% compared with male breadwinners (p?<?0.05). Recommendations from this analysis include establishing thresholds for vulnerability and concrete dimensions for measuring resilience that can initiate and guide related interventions.     

Government bond market: Potential for establishing a system of primary dealers in Russia based on relevant world experience

The paper considers a potential improvement in the stability of the Russian government bond market by establishing a system of primary dealers. The existing world models of primary dealership are identified and their relations with national market peculiarities are determined based on the analysis of statistics and regulatory documents of 22 countries. The revealed regularities allow the authors to propose a private dealership model adapted to the specifics of the domestic economy.     

Growth in prices for mining products in the post-Soviet period and economic deindustrialization

In the context of growing prices for mining products aimed at achieving the world price level, economic deindustrialization occurs due to the changed proportions of the redistribution of natural resource royalties. The ways of the cross-sectoral redistribution of resource royalties and increase in their macroeconomic efficiency by changing forms of industrial production are discussed in the article.     

Analysis of the social policy parameters by forecasting indicators of social sector financing

The paper continues the publication started in our journal (2007, no. 1) of the forecasts made in the integrated system “Population, Incomes, Consumption” developed by the Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences. The forecasts cover indicators of social sector financing at different level: macro-level, by population groups, and by family type. The paper shows that expansion of the statistical base and its updating after the population census in 2002 have lead toserious changes in the forecast of the major social policy parameters. Their detailed analysis and conclusions are presented.     

The modern problems of forecasting regional energy consumption (using the example of the Republic of Komi)

The article considers the methodical and information problems of forecasting regional energy consumption, suggests the methods and complex model for forecasting the levels of energy, heat, and fuel consumption in interrelation with the development of both separate types of industries and types of activity and an energy source. The influence is shown of the probabilities of realization of the production prediction and the limits on energy supply on the formation of the prospective levels of electrical and heat energy.