book reviews

THE CHANGING SYSTEM OF INDUSTRIAL RELATIONS IN GREAT BRITAIN University of Glasgow LABOUR RELATIONS—HERITAGE AND ADJUSTMENT Sir Otto Kahn-Freund, Q.C.* Lanchester Polytechnic MANPOWER PROBLEMS IN THE HOTEL & CATERING INDUSTRY Hotel and Catering Industry Training Board THE POSTAL BUSINESS 1969–79 University of Nottingham WORKING WOMEN AND THE LAW Legal Officer General and Municipal Workers' Union INDUSTRIAL LABOR IN THE USSR Univesity of Glasgow AFRICANISATION, NATIONALISATION AND INEQUALITY University of Edinburgh     

International Stock Return Predictability: What Is the Role of the United States?

We investigate lead‐lag relationships among monthly country stock returns and identify a leading role for the United States: lagged U.S. returns significantly predict returns in numerous non‐U.S. industrialized countries, while lagged non‐U.S. returns display limited predictive ability with respect to U.S. returns. We estimate a news‐diffusion model, and the results indicate that return shocks arising in the United States are only fully reflected in equity prices outside of the United States with a lag, consistent with a gradual information diffusion explanation of the predictive power of lagged U.S. returns.