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31.
One can easily identify four general models of political business cycles: office-motivated models (both forward and backward looking) and partisan models (again, both forward and backward looking). Each model makes different assumptions about the direction and timing of causal links between the economy and polity. This paper uses Granger causality tests to investigate the causal links between presidential popularity and different measures of aggregate economic performance and aggregate economic policy. The paper's aim is to investigate whether any existing theories receive substantive support and, if not, to suggest the properties that any new theories should display. The results indicate no overwhelming support for any existing theories, though partisan models receive more support than do office-motivated models. The data appear to be most consistent with Ellis and Thoma's reputational partisan model. 相似文献
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This paper develops a signalling model with two signals, two attributes, and a continuum of signal levels and attribute types to explain new issue underpricing. Both the fraction of the new issue retained by the issuer and its offering price convey to investors the unobservable “intrinsic” value of the firm and the variance of its cash flows. Many of the model's comparative statics results are novel, empirically testable, and consistent with the existing empirical evidence on new issues. In particular, the degree of underpricing, which can be inferred from observable variables, is positively related to the firm's post-issue share price. 相似文献
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MARK BOYLE 《International journal of urban and regional research》2006,30(2):403-426
This article evaluates the contributions which Richard Florida's seminal ‘creative class’ thesis might make to ongoing efforts to re‐inscribe ‘culture’ back into political economy explanations of the rise of Tiger economies. It reflects upon the value of reconsidering both the role of skilled migrants in Tiger states and the factors which attract skilled migrants to these economies in the first instance. Based upon analyses of a series of focus groups conducted with Scottish expatriates currently working in Dublin, the article specifically attempts to gauge how far the creative class thesis can be stretched to account for the locational preferences of talented migrants. Whilst Florida's work undoubtedly sheds light on aspects of expatriate existence which might not otherwise have been obvious, its ability to account for the relationships which have existed between technology, talent and tolerance in the Celtic Tiger must be questioned. Moreover, if political economy and Floridian readings are to do more than simply inform one another, there will be a need to establish more clearly the complex ways in which developmental states intersect with skill flows and cosmopolitan cultural agendas. 相似文献
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MARK A. TROMBLEY 《Contemporary Accounting Research》1994,10(2):483-503
Abstract. This study develops and tests the proposition that corporate merger transactions give rise to changes in the association between firm accounting earnings and security returns. A model of the effect of merger transactions on stock price responses to information releases suggests that the earnings response coefficient of a postmerger entity is a weighted average of the earnings response coefficients of the combining firms, with the weights depending on relative earnings variability of the combining firms. Empirical results, based on a sample of 90 mergers completed over a 12-year period, are consistent with the model. Résumé. L'auteur élabore et vérifie une proposition selon laquelle les opérations de fusion donnent lieu à des changements dans la relation entre les bénéfices comptables de l'entreprise et le rendement de ses titres. Selon le modèle de l'incidence des opérations de fusion sur la réaction du cours des valeurs mobilières à la communication d'information, le coefficient de réaction des bénéfices d'une entité résultant d'une fusion est la moyenne pondérée des coefficients de réaction des bénéfices des entreprises qui fusionnent, les pondérations dépendant de la variabilité relative des bénéfices des entreprises constituantes. Les résultats empiriques, fondés sur un échantillon de 90 fusions s'échelonnant sur une période de plus de 12 ans, confirment la validité du modèle. 相似文献
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Home Bias, Foreign Mutual Fund Holdings, and the Voluntary Adoption of International Accounting Standards 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
We test the assertion that a consequence of voluntarily adopting International Accounting Standards (IAS) is the enhanced ability to attract foreign capital. Using a unique database that reports firm‐level holdings of over 25,000 mutual funds from around the world, our multivariate tests find that average foreign mutual fund ownership is significantly higher among IAS adopters. We also find that IAS adopters in poorer information environments and with lower visibility have higher levels of foreign investment, consistent with firms using IAS adoption to provide more information and/or information in a more familiar form to foreign investors. Taken together, our findings are consistent with voluntary IAS adoption reducing home bias among foreign investors and thereby improving capital allocation efficiency. 相似文献