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Manipulating uncertainty 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
A. S. Pinto Barbosa 《Constitutional Political Economy》1994,5(3):255-271
Uncertainty about the distributional incidence of policy reforms may, if it impinges selectively on particular subsets of
voters, alter the direction of the majority vote. This possibility should be a matter of special concern when subject to potential
manipulation by a purposeful agent such as a Leviathan-like bureaucracy. This paper discusses a constitutional defense against
such prospect.
This paper was prepared for a conference on “Constitutional Status Quo and Prospects for Change” held at George Mason University
in April, 1994. I am grateful to participants in that conference and to my colleagues at Nova, especially to Mário Páscoa,
for their comments and criticisms. I also benefited from comments of an anonymous referee. Responsibility for errors remains
with me. 相似文献
45.
The notion that prices impound a wide array of information, including market expectations, has led to earnings forecast models conditioned on prices. Yet, presumably, analysts' forecasts capture both public information and certain private information not previously impounded in prices. Accordingly, price-based models are seemingly an inefficient, and less effective, source of expecta-tions. This article investigates this hypothesis using financial analysts', price-based, and naive forecasts. Results indicate that analysts' forecasts (1) are at least as accurate as price-based and naive models, and (2) yield better expectations for market tests relating returns and earnings. These inferences are robust across different information environments. The evidence suggests that analysts either possess private information or are more effective information processors, or both. 相似文献
46.
47.
Angel Martínez Sánchez 《Small Business Economics》1992,4(2):153-168
This paper highlights the difficulty of developing HT firms in a peripheral region of Spain. Although the endogenous development of HT firms in these regions is possible, their evolution depends on more central regions. The firm's geographical location and the type of HT production are the most important endogenous factors governing the firm's success. 相似文献
48.
Marketing’s contribution to the strategy dialogue 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
George S. Day 《Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science》1992,20(4):323-329
49.
Muzaffer S. 《Annals of Tourism Research》2002,29(4)
50.
Popular monthly coincident indices of business cycles, e.g. the composite index and the Stock–Watson coincident index, have two shortcomings. First, they ignore information contained in quarterly indicators such as real GDP. Second, they lack economic interpretation; hence the heights of peaks and the depths of troughs depend on the choice of an index. This paper extends the Stock–Watson coincident index by applying maximum likelihood factor analysis to a mixed‐frequency series of quarterly real GDP and monthly coincident business cycle indicators. The resulting index is related to latent monthly real GDP. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献