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111.
Axel Borrmann 《Intereconomics》1976,11(2):58-61
Since 1970 the world economy has gone through a series of grave crises which have stimulated an intensive discussion about the economic and political relations between industrialized and developing countries. As seen from the Federal Republic of Germany, the witnessed events have not only an international dimension, but they focus attention again on one particular problem of national economic policy, the relationship of external economic policy and development policy, because the new strains on the international plane are in part reflected by this relationship. 相似文献
112.
113.
Kai A. Konrad Max Otte Ansgar Belke Carsten Hefeker Jörnn Axel Kämmerer Hanno Beck Dirk Wentzel 《Wirtschaftsdienst》2010,90(3):143-171
Die Krise Griechenlands w?chst sich zu einer Gefahr für den gesamten Euroraum aus. Wie soll die Europ?ische Union darauf reagieren? Sie befindet sich im Dilemma zwischen Bailout und Bestrafung des „Defizitsünders“. Das erste scheint für den Bestand der W?hrungsunion unvermeidlich, das zweite ist erforderlich, um einen Moral Hazard zu vermeiden. 相似文献
114.
Conclusion In this article, we propose a consistent view on the recent oil-price history based on fundamental data and economic theory.
We sum up: After the turn of the century three major stylized shocks have hit market. First, the demand curve has shifted
fight outwards, mainly driven, as extensively reported in the media, by sustained growth in China and other Asian Countries.
Second, supply disruptions in countries with low extraction costs (Iraq and Venezuela) have shifted the supply curve to the
left. Third, we show that speculators adjust their inventories in order to take advantage of predictable price fluctuations
and play themselves a major role in the price formation. Optimal storage theory implies that aggregate inventories are negatively
related to the oil price and positively to the volatility of supply and demand shocks.
We provide evidence that the political events in the last years have increased volatility and induced the inventory curve
to shift right outwards. We analyze in a graphical framework the interaction of all these shocks and conclude that speculators
have caused the oil price to overshoot in the short run its long-run fundamental value. However, this is not at all attributable
to market failure or the harmfulness of speculators. In fact, the opposite is true. Speculators have in general a dampening
effect on the oil price. The record oil price in the very recent history is partly a consequence of speculators maintaining
or building-up inventories to cope with the supply and demand shocks to come. Hence, high prices represent a short-term toll
for future price stability.
It follows from our analysis that the oil price is expected to fall towards its long-term mean, provided that no further shocks
hit the economy and, critically, the oil supply. As we saw, this prediction is consistent with the observed prices in the
futures markets. Also in terms of future price volatility, the outlook is rather upbeat. The increased inventory levels held
by speculators will cushion the spot market against fluctuations in natural supply and demand and limit the degree to which
the currently high underlying volatility will translate into higher price volatility.
We would like to thank Manuel Ammann, Bernd Brommundt, Stephan Kessler, Ralf Seiz, Michael Verhofen, Hemrich von Wyss, and
two anonymous referees for helpful comments We are particularly indebted to Sergej Peisotchenko at United Energy System (UES)
of Russia and Jan Gjerde at Shell for clearing us up on technical aspects of oil production 相似文献
115.
At the end of 2007 the WTO waiver granted for the non-reciprocal EU/ACP trade preferences will phase out. New economic partnership
agreements are currently under negotiation, but whether the ACP countries will be able to benefit from them depends to a large
extent on the institutional setting in those countries. The following article takes the example of the Economic Community
of West African States to examine the situation more closely. 相似文献
116.
117.
The intention for the Italian government to stimulate business activity via large increases in government spending is not in line with the stabilisation of the public debt ratio. Instead, if such policy were implemented, the risk of a sovereign debt crisis would be high. In this article, we analyse the capacity of the Italian economy to shoulder sovereign debt under different scenarios. We conclude that focusing on growth enhancing structural reforms, would allow for moderate increases in public expenditure. 相似文献
118.
Global factors are becoming increasingly important as a cause of international capital fl ows. It is nearly impossible for some countries to protect themselves from outside infl uences on their fi nancial markets. This paper investigates the extent to which various global factors such as stock market volatility, international liquidity and global interest rate levels impact on the effective fi nancial market exchange rates of selected emerging market economies. These results are compared with effects on the fi nancial market exchange rates of the United States, the United Kingdom and Germany. 相似文献
119.
Stefan Stieglitz Linh Dang-Xuan Axel Bruns Christoph Neuberger 《Business & Information Systems Engineering》2014,6(2):89-96
In this contribution, we introduce “social media analytics” (SMA) as an emerging interdisciplinary research field that, in our view, will have a significant impact on social media-related future research from across different academic disciplines. Despite a number of challenges, we argue that SMA can provide other disciplines – including IS – with methodological foundations for research that focuses on social media. Furthermore, we believe that SMA can help IS research to develop decision-making or decision-aiding frameworks by tackling the issue of social media-related performance measurement, which has been challenging until now. Moreover, SMA can provide architectural designs and solution frameworks for new social media-based applications and information systems. Finally, we call for an interdisciplinary SMA research agenda as well as a significantly increased level of interdisciplinary research co-operation, which must aim to generate significant advancements in scientific methods for analyzing social media, as well as to answer research questions from across different disciplines. 相似文献
120.
PD Dr. Axel Larena-Avellaneda 《Heilberufe》2008,60(7):24-26
Zusammenfassung Wundbehandlung durch Elektrostimulationstherapie — Für die Elektrostimulation gibt es viele Anwendungsgebiete. W?hrend Verfahren
wie Herzschrittmacher aus der Medizin nicht mehr wegzudenken sind, sind Behandlungsformen wie die galvanische Feinstromtherapie
umstritten. In der Wundheilung allerdings macht man sie sich seit Jahren zunutze. 相似文献