Stock splits in a neutral transaction cost environment: Evidence from the Athens Stock Exchange

This paper investigates the value consequences of stock splits in a market where institutional characteristics minimize the effects of price realignment and signaling. We find that despite these market conditions, stock splits by Greek firms produce positive price reaction around the announcement day. Further, split factors are directly related to pre-split price levels and deviations from average market prices. Splitting firms also realize earnings improvement which is not reversed after the stock split. Consistent with these findings, market reaction is inversely related to the post-split target price and the size of firm. We interpret this as evidence in support, respectively, of the self-selection and “attention-gathering” hypotheses. As reported in other international studies, there is no evidence of liquidity improvement.     

An empirical measure of the availability,completeness and reliability of voluntarily disclosed personal information for direct marketing purposes

The self-disclosure of individual-level consumer information for direct marketing purposes, such as interests, opinions, beliefs, competitor spending habits and future purchase intentions, is voluntary in nature. This raises the prospect that such information may be to some extent incomplete and unreliable. However, the availability, completeness and reliability of voluntarily disclosed personal information for direct marketing purposes has received little attention in the literature. This represents an important omission because all modern personalised targeting models such as neural networks, and all customer profiling and data appending practices, typically incorporate voluntarily disclosed individual-level information. Accordingly, the ability of the direct marketing industry to gather and use such information will exercise an increasingly prominent role in sustaining and extending its competitive position. Using 256 personal interviews and a case study, this paper quantifies typical levels of abstention from personal information disclosure, and omission and falsification of such disclosures, and considers the implications for direct marketing practice.     

Disagreement and Biases in Inflation Expectations

Disagreement in inflation expectations observed from survey data varies systematically over time in a way that reflects the level and variance of current inflation. This paper offers a simple explanation for these facts based on asymmetries in the forecasters' costs of over- and underpredicting inflation. Our model implies (i) biased forecasts, (ii) positive serial correlation in forecast errors, (iii) a cross-sectional dispersion that rises with the level and the variance of the inflation rate, and (iv) predictability of forecast errors at different horizons by means of the spread between the short- and long-term variance of inflation. We find empirically that these patterns are present in inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters. A constant bias component, not explained by asymmetric loss and rational expectations, is required to explain the shift in the sign of the bias observed for a substantial portion of forecasters around 1982.     

A theory of acquisition markets: mergers versus tender offers, and golden parachutes

We develop a model of the acquisition market in which the acquirerhas a choice between two takeover mechanisms: mergers and tenderoffers. A merger is modeled as a bargaining game between theacquiring and target firms; whereas a tender offer is modeledas an auction in which bidders arrive sequentially an competefor the target. At any stage of the bargaining game the acquiringfirm can stop negotiating and make a tender offer. In equilibrium,there is a unique level of synergy gains below which the acquiringfirm makes only a merger attempt as it expects to lose in thecompetition resulting from a tender offer. For synergy gainsabove this level, tender offers can occur. However, to get tenderoffers, target shareholders must give their managers gold parachutesthat give higher payoffs in tender offers than in mergers.     

Appraisal Accuracy and Automated Valuation Models in Rural Areas

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics - Accurate and unbiased property value estimates are essential to credit risk management. Along with loan amount, they determine a mortgage’s...