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This research analyzes the performance of large corporations during the business cycles of the 1970s. The analysis identifies the level of diversification preferred by a risk-averse investor at different stages of the business cycle. The data base is a group of 222 large industrial corporations for which the number of four-digit SIC production areas has been determined for each firm. The analytical method used is that of second-degree stochastic dominance, a method that is sensitive not only to mean differences in corporate performance but also to the skewness of profitability distributions. The findings indicate that risk-averters would prefer the ten-year performance of moderately diversified firms to the performance of firms with low levels of diversification. In addition, moderately diversified firms were preferred to highly diversified firms. Finally, the experience of the 1970s suggest that there are serious managerial diseconomies of diversification in recessions. 相似文献
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H T Paxton 《Medical economics》1988,65(11):164, 167, 171-164, 167, 174
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Robert H. Haveman 《De Economist》1977,125(2):161-173
Summary This paper is a detailed review and critique of Jan Tinbergen'sIncome Distribution: Analysis and Policies. In Part I, the books primary findings and their bases are recounted. This presentation serves as the basis for a number of questions regarding the merits of the overall approach — in particular, the empirical methodology — and the reliability of the findings. These questions are posed in Part II. In Part III, an overall appraisal of the work is offered.North-Holland Publishing Co., Amsterdam, 1975.Professor of Economics and Fellow of the Institute for Research on Poverty, University of Wisconsin-Madison. This article was prepared while the author was a Fellow at the Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study. The work was supported in part by the Netherlands Institute for Advanced Study and by funds granted to the Institute for Research on Poverty at the University of Wisconsin-Madison by the U.S. Department of Health, Education and Welfare pursuant to the Economic Opportunity Act of 1964. Helpful comments on an earlier draft by Hans Daudt, Arthur Goldberger, Victor Halberstadt, Arnold Heertje, and Jan Pen are acknowledged. A discussion with Jan Tinbergen on issues raised in his volume was especially valuable, This review article appeared in a slightly different form in the Winter, 1975 issue of theJournal of Human Resources. 相似文献
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