CREDIT CYCLES REDUX*

Theoretical studies have shown that under unorthodox assumptions on preferences and production technologies, collateral constraints can act as a powerful amplification and propagation mechanism of exogenous shocks. We investigate whether or not this result holds under more standard assumptions. We find that collateral constraints typically generate small output amplification. Large amplification is obtained as a “knife‐edge” type of result.     

The impact of time duration between trades on the price of treasury note futures contracts

Recent research in finance has indicated that the institutional structure in which financial asset prices are determined can have a nontrivial impact on pricing. This report examines transaction level data for Treasury Note futures contracts traded at the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) to identify institutional, or market microstructure, impacts on the pricing of these contracts. Relatively few articles have conducted empirical research on the microstructure of U.S. futures trading due to the limited availability of comprehensive transaction level data from the futures exchanges. This report uses the CBOT's Computerized Trade Reconstruction database, a comprehensive transaction level dataset, to identify the price impact of the time duration between trades in a manner analogous to that of A. Dufour and R. F. Engle (2000). Unique differences from prior research include the application to futures contracts with their relative higher frequency of trading, as well as the investigation of the price impact of the number of active traders present on the trading floor and the trading volume. Subsequent price and sign of trade significantly relate to the time duration between trades, the number of floor brokers, and the trading volume. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl. Fut Mark 24:965–980, 2004     

日本泡沫经济制度性原因分析及启示

20世纪90年代被称为日本经济“失去的10年”。日本经济一蹶不振,丧失了整整10年的发展。不少学者认为,90年代日本经济萧条意味着日本“又一次战败”即在经济战场上的“战败”。日本经济战败是败在了“制度”或“体制”方面,败给了成功地实行了“制度创新”或“体制创新”的美国。分析引发日本泡沫经济的制度性原因、探索日本经济走出衰退的途径,从中可寻找出对我国经济发展的有益启示。     

Scarcity and appropriative competition

This paper formalizes the commonsensical hypothesis that resource scarcity causes a large allocation of time and effort to appropriative competition. Our main innovation is to model explicitly the positive intertemporal effect of consumption on the probability of survival. The critical assumption is that this effect becomes stronger as resources become scarcer. We also show that anticipated future resource abundance increases the incremental value of survival and, consequently, amplifies the current allocation of time and effort to appropriative competition. Interestingly, if resources are currently scarce, then larger anticipated future abundance can cause a big enough increase in the time and effort allocated to appropriative competition to result in a decrease in the sum of current and expected future utility, a “paradox of anticipated abundance”.     

燃气热水器步入万和时代？

近日,一个并不起眼的换届选举却引起了社会各界的广泛关注。记者从四川成都举行的“中国五金制品协会燃气用具分会第三届会员代表大会”中获悉,民营企业出身的广东万和集团成为新一届理事长单位,其集团总裁卢楚其先生被选举为第三届理事会理事长。万和如何带领中国热水器改天换地,颇令人关注。万和能带雁群突围?20年前,玉环、沈乐满、神州、万家乐四大家族瓜分天下;随后的神州、万家乐、万和三足鼎立的短暂过渡;上世纪90年代末,全国市场只剩下万家乐、万和两强争霸,燃气热水器行业似乎在演绎“双雄争霸”之路。万和最终的胜出使燃气热水器初…     

外贸公司，奶酪还有多大

2006年2月10日，厦门第一家纯外资贸易公司——亿明（厦门）贸易有限公司成立。注册资金仅2000万日元，虽然市外贸局外贸处曾文生处长对记者表示，这家公司还没有到厦门市贸易发展局登记。但外界纷言。亿明（厦门）贸易有限公司的成立，有着特殊意义，标志着更规范意义上的跨国公司采购时代来临了。尽管它的成立比法国欧尚进入上海晚了4年。[编者按]     

废线路板热解处理研究现状

综述了近年来国内外废旧线路板热解处理技术研究现状。着重介绍了废旧线路板热解回收的工艺、热解产物、热解机理和动力学等方面的研究进展，讨论了热解回收技术存在的问题和发展方向。     

论绩效评价导向政府会计体系的构建

政府公共受托责任解除的根本途径是政府绩效信息的全面披露,但定量信息的缺乏制约了政府绩效评价理论与实务的发展。会计作为货币化的经济信息系统,具备提供定量信息的天生优势,本应为政府绩效评价提供数据支持。但现有的政府会计体系在绩效评价支持方面并未发挥出应有作用。因此,有必要以绩效评价为导向构建政府会计体系。     

基于适应性商务智能的虚拟企业合作伙伴选择模型

合作伙伴选择是虚拟企业运行中至关重要的问题。迅速而准确地找到合适的合作伙伴并实现协调运作，直接影响到虚拟企业合作绩效和整体目标的实现。文章将环境感知和适应性商务智能理论引入虚拟企业合作伙伴选择中，提出了基于适应性商务智能的虚拟企业合作伙伴选择模型，设计了模型的基本架构，分析了模型的构成模块，探讨了模型的应用机理。     

我国保税港区的战略布局及未来方向

目前，我国已设立了七个保税港区，按国务院批复的时间顺序分别是2005年成立的上海洋山保税港区，2006年的天津东疆、大连大窑湾保税港区，2007年的海南洋浦保税港区，2008年的宁波梅山、广西钦州和厦门海沧保税港区。七个保税港区已初步形成在长三角、环渤海、华南、西南沿海、东南五大沿海区域中的布局。