二代继任方式、家族权威与家族企业创新投入

代际传承背景下家族企业创新投入是家族企业治理研究领域的重要问题。分析和检验了差异化二代继任方式如何影响家族企业创新投资水平,以及二者关系是否会依赖于家族权威差异而发生变化。研究结果发现：与渐进型二代继任相比,激进型二代继任会削减家族企业创新投入;二代继任方式与家族企业创新投入关系受到家族权威的影响。在家族成员权威和非家族创业元老权威较重的企业,激进型继任者对家族企业创新投入的削弱效应更显著。进一步研究发现,二代继任3年后,激进型继任者对家族企业创新投入的负面影响显著下降,且其削弱效应在规模较大企业以及创立时间较长的企业中更显著。     

Fiscal Stimulus and Endogenous Firm Entry in a Monopolistic Competition Macroeconomic Model

This paper sets up a monopolistic competition model featuring the returns to production specialization. Some novel results are derived from the analysis. First, the effect of a fiscal stimulus on consumption may be positive or negative, depending crucially upon whether the production function is characterized by increasing or decreasing returns to production specialization. Second, following a fiscal expansion, increasing returns to specialization lead to a positive linkage between real wages and aggregate output, while decreasing returns to specialization result in a negative relationship between real wages and aggregate output. Third, a fiscal expansion may raise social welfare, provided that the degree of increasing returns to production specialization is sufficiently large.     

基于战略的预算管理初探

目前国内外理论界与实务界所探讨的预算管理基本上是以全面预算为基础展开的。鉴于企业内外部环境发生了重大变化，企业管理出现了战略管理的转变，本文提出了战略预算管理的观念。基于全面预算管理所存在的弊端及其根源，本文阐述了战略预算管理的概念与特征。基于战略管理的一般过程，本文构建了战略预算管理的基本框架。     

基础设施在中国农业全要素生产率中的作用

This paper uses the Malmquist index to examine the sources of Total Factor Productivity (TFP) in Chinese agriculture. The overall goal of this study is to create a framework for assessing the trend of China’s agricultural infrastructure and to measure its impact on Total Factor Productivity. The main methodological contribution is to provide more contributive measure of crop-specific technologies. Based on the province-level panel data set during 1988–2002, the primary finding is that infrastructure has positively and statistically significant association with the estimated coefficient on Total Factor Productivity for rice, wheat, maize, and bean. An erratum to this article is available at .     

通胀目标制与汇率目标制不能共存吗

基于汇率传递的风险溢价渠道,本文将我国利率调控通胀、外汇储备对冲干预汇率纳入新凯恩斯政策模型,构建双目标双工具政策分析框架,比较泰勒规则与双目标双工具规则下通胀目标与汇率目标共存的经济机制与效应。本文模拟显示：（1）双目标双工具政策框架下通胀目标与汇率目标能够共存,此时通过影响汇率风险溢价来盯住汇率不影响通胀;而单工具政策下两目标无法共存,此时降低国内资产的收益率盯住汇率会刺激居民的消费行为引起通胀。（2）国际资本冲击下,双目标双工具政策在固定汇率的同时能保证经济稳定;而当贸易条件恶化时,选择完全浮动汇率制度最优。央行政策损失分析进一步验证了以上结论。（3）随着金融市场化改革深入,外汇储备稳定汇率的有效性将下降,冲销成本会大幅提升。资本账户开放下,双目标双工具政策仍是央行抵御外部资本冲击的首选政策;但是汇率市场化后,通胀目标制与双目标双工具政策效果基本无差异。本文结论的启示是：面对国际资本,需必要的汇率管制;但是面对贸易冲击,可适度提升汇率弹性来减少冲击对产出和通胀的影响。     

Driving force from authorities: the evolution of innovation system for biomedical industry in China

Over the past 30 years, China has fully exploited its advantage to steadily foster an innovation system for the biomedical industry with Chinese characteristics, that is, ‘Government-guided, resource-integrated and long-term planning.’ The system originated from historically famous ‘863 program’ in the 1980s, evolved with a series of favourable policies in the different periods, and eventually has taken shape in the industrial clusters across the country. It features with a systematic and integrated R&D infrastructure (or public platform) at different levels. In this study, China’s biomedical innovation system will be examined and the leading role of Chinese authorities will be explored from the perspective of Triple Helix theory. As the ‘highland of innovation’, Shanghai case is highlighted with plentiful information gathered from primary sources in the involved agencies for the first time, including the Shanghai Biopharma Service Platform.     

产业集聚拉大了地区收入差距吗?——来自中国制造业的经验证据

选取了1999-2008年中国制造业的数据为分析样本,构建了产业集聚及其与制度因素交互项共同影响中国地区收入差距的面板数据计量模型,分别从全国层面和东、中、西部三大地区层面,实证研究了产业集聚对地区收入差距的影响,结果表明：产业集聚与制度因素变量的交互项对地区收入差距的影响要远大于制度变量本身所产生的影响,全国整体层面和东部地区的产业集聚水平提高将有利于缩小地区收入差距,而中部和西部两大地区的产业集聚水平提高将扩大地区收入差距。     

广东省耕地资源动态变化及其与经济发展的耦合关系

根据广东省耕地数据,引入耕地变化率、耕地分布重心等指标,研究广东省耕地资源动态变化的基本过程及其空间差异,然后运用库兹涅茨曲线拟合经济增长与耕地保护的关系,并利用耕地面积变化与GDP增长的对数相关关系式对不同经济发展水平每增加等量GDP所占用的耕地面积进行了估算。首先分析广东省耕地资源动态变化,结果表明,近20年来,广东省的耕地资源和人均耕地总体上呈递减的趋势,其平均耕地补充系数为0.52,人地矛盾突出;其次分析广东省耕地变化空间差异,结果表明,除粤西的茂名市和云浮市为耕地增加外,其余地区均有不同程度的减少,尤其是珠江三角洲核心地带急剧减少,而基于GIS的耕地重心计算表明,广东全省耕地重心呈现向耕地后备资源丰富、人地矛盾较为缓和的地区移动的趋势;最后对广东省各市经济增长与耕地保护的关系进行分析,结果表明,它们的关系符合库兹涅茨曲线关系,并大致可以分为倒"U"型、单调上升型、单调递减型、"N"型和"∽"型四种类型,同时研究发现广东省耕地面积随GDP的增长呈对数型递减分布,预测结果表明广东省耕地面积随着经济发展水平的增加逐渐减少。     

中国区域碳排放空间计量研究

如何从空间视角实现经济发展与碳减排双赢,是建设“美国中国”的重要推手,也是生态文明建设的必然要求。基于STIRPAT模型,从区域层面构建碳排放驱动因素扩展STIRPAT模型,并运用空间杜宾模型实证考察各驱动因素对碳排放规模和碳排放强度的影响。结果显示：地区间碳排放存在显著的示范和带头作用,驱动因素通过直接和间接途径影响碳排放,除能源价格外,其他影响因素均表现出显著性。因此,实现碳减排需要充分考虑空间相关性、异质性和外溢性,稳步推进城镇化进程,加大技术创新步伐,优化产业结构升级和能源消费结构,适度提高能源价格,在扩大对外开放的同时加大对外商投资的甄别。     

增长失衡与政府责任:基于社会性支出角度的分析

There exists a kind of growth imbalance in China’s current development process, which is essentially characterized by the imbalance between the nation’s wealth and the people’s welfare. This paper points out that growth imbalance results mostly from insufficient government social spending on people’s welfare. Consequently, the government should shoulder the basic responsibility for the provision of education, health and social security, quicken the transformation of government expenditure structure and increase the share of social spending, in order to improve the people’s welfare and achieve the rebalancing of growth. The increase in social spending can also promote the accumulation of human capital, which will help the conversion of economic growth pattern and the realization of sustainable and healthy economic development. Translated from Jingji Yanjiu 经济研究 (Economic Research Journal), 2006, (10): 4–17