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41.
42.
This paper proposes an integrative and dynamic approach for analyzing business failure. The simultaneous estimation results obtained with Australian data indicate significant associations between bankruptcy rates in different industries. Most of these associations are positive and hence implying that bankruptcy in one industry can inflict a ‘domino’ effect on other industries. The estimated significant negative association between current and lagged bankruptcy rates in the industries under consideration lend support to the survival of the fittest hypothesis. The estimation results also highlight the important effects of industry, domestic and international economic conditions on bankruptcy rates. 相似文献
43.
We consider the consequences of a scientific literature with only one model of an important phenomenon. The falsification
of the model would mean falsification of the science. Scientists who would prefer not to have their discipline falsified will
be tempted to find ad hoc explanations to excuse the failure. To test this hypothesis we propose a study of the economic forecasts
of the comparative Soviet and American growth rates in the years before a public choice model of central planning was a viable
alternative to the public interest model.
JEL Code A11, B23
Earlier versions of the paper were presented at the University of Manitoba Economics Department Retreat in October 2005 and
at the Center for Study of Public Choice Wednesday Seminar in November 2005. We thank the participants for their suggestions.
All the remaining errors are our responsibility. 相似文献
44.
Monthly holding period returns for U.S. Treasury bills and notes of identical maturity indicate a significant coupon effect upon term premiums. Hotelling's T2 test of the vectors of mean term premiums indicates that term premiums are not statistically significant for notes but are significant for bills. Mean-variance and stochastic dominance criteria indicate an investment preference for bills over notes on a pretax basis. Because the data set is Treasury bills and notes, which are identical except for coupon level, these results are evidence of a coupon effect on term premiums. 相似文献
45.
46.
47.
In spite of the significant research literature identifying a tradeoff between income redistribution and economic growth,
massive public programs have been implemented to help the poor by transferring income to them. Since Lyndon Johnson's war
on poverty began in 1964, over 3.5 trillion dollars have been transferred. However, the possibility that everyone, including
the poor, may in fact be made worse off by the transfer has largely been ignored. With a simple algebraic model, the authors
demonstrate that, over time, both high and low-income groups are harmed by redistribution. In addition, social mobility, as
well as political concerns with relative poverty and international income redistribution increases the damage to all income
groups produced by redistribution. 相似文献
48.
This paper uses a model similar to the Boyle-Vorst and Ritchken-Kuo arbitrage-free models for the valuation of options with transactions costs to determine the maximum price to be charged by the financial intermediary writing an option in a non-auction market. Earlier models are extended by recognizing that, in the presence of transactions costs, the price-taking intermediary devising a hedging portfolio faces a tradeoff: to choose a short trading interval with small hedging errors and high transactions costs, or a long trading interval with large hedging errors and low transactions costs. The model presented here also recognizes that when transactions costs induce less frequent portfolio adjustments, investors are faced with a multinomial distribution of asset returns rather than a binomial one. The price upper bound is determined by selecting the trading frequency that will equalize the marginal gain from decreasing hedging errors and the marginal cost of transactions. 相似文献
49.
50.
The process by which small firms (SMEs) invest in and gain benefit from information systems (IS) is little understood. This paper analyses two alternative models of IS-based strategic change – the Focus-Dominance model (Levy et al., 2001) and stages of growth models as applied to SMEs. An analysis of the outcomes of IS strategy development undertaken for 43 SMEs maps their IS use over time. The analysis supports the Focus-Dominance model, some parts of the stages of growth model and extends the critique of the latter. Further variances are explained by the entrepreneur/owner's values and experience. One structural variable, namely, the industry sector may also explain the variances. The implications for theory and practice are discussed. 相似文献