Regulatory Uncertainty and Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Hybrid Capital Securities Market

This paper examines the negative market impact that resulted from the insurance regulators’ potential reclassification of 140 hybrid capital securities in spring and summer 2006. It illustrates how financial contagion can spring from a regulatory policy change that lacks transparency. We investigate the impact of the uncertainty surrounding the regulators’ true classification criteria by measuring the effect of the reclassification announcements on hybrid new issue volume, cumulative average abnormal returns, bid‐ask spreads, and yield spreads. The financial contagion adversely affected the entire hybrid capital securities market for six months. The effect was most pronounced among those hybrids that were eventually reclassified as common equity equivalents. It was greater for Yankee Tier 1 hybrids, which had been more popular with insurance firm investors prior to the reclassifications, than among non‐Tier 1 hybrids.     

The multi-national corporations: Considerations for a scenario

Although multi-national corporations have been one of the main customers for future-oriented activities such as technological forecasting, precious little attention has been paid to their development either in the work of the so-called establishment futurists or in the work of their more ‘radical’ colleagues. It is argued that these companies will be increasingly free of control at the international level though under greater scrutiny at the national level. It is likely that they will become increasingly intertwined with both national and international governing bodies, and be seen as arms of these governing bodies rather than as the traditional profit-maximising organisations.     

PLURALISM IN ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS: A SURVEY OF THE SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOMENT DEBATE

It is claimed that the concept of ‘sustainable economic development’ is central to the new ‘practical’ environmentalism of the 1980s. Intuitively, sustainability perspectives seem to suggest that knowledge accumulated in the natural sciences ought to be applied to economic processes. They contain the proposition that there is a real prospect that increasing per capita real incomes over time can be achieved in an environmentally benign manner, or at least without posing severe environmental risks. A working definition of sustainable development might be as follows: Sustainable development involves maximising the net benefits of economic development, subject to maintaining the services and quality of natural resources over time. Economic development is broadly construed to include not just increases in real per capita incomes but also other elements in social welfare. Development will necessarily involve structural change within the economy and in society. Maintaining the services and quality of the stock of resources over time implies, as far as practicable, acceptance of the following rules: utilise renewable resources at rates less than, or equal to, the natural or managed rate at which they can regenerate; optimise the efficiency with which non-renewable resources are used in the long run, subject to substitutability between resources, and technological progress.     

Crossing the River by Touching Stones?: The Reform of Corporate Ownership in China

The privatization of Chinese enterprises in a low-legal-protection environment raises the question as to how minority shareholders are assured that their capital will not be expropriated. This paper sheds some light on this issue by examining the influence of controlling shareholders on the corporate performance of listed firms from 1997 to 2006. The first main finding is that firms controlled by local governments are more valuable to minority shareholders, whereas firms controlled by individuals are less valuable. The second main finding is that the post-WTO-accession relinquishment of control from local governments to private shareholders appears to have reduced corporate performance.     

Between debt and the devil: beyond the normalization delusion

Since 2008, we have found it incredibly difficult to achieve adequate nominal demand growth. I think a fundamental reason we found it so difficult focuses on debt overhangs, if we first allow private leverage to grow too high, we end up in a situation where the debt doesn’t go away, it just moves around the global economy. Total global debt to global GDP is now higher than it ever was before. When interest rates are already low, further reductions of interest rates have very little influence on investment and consumption. Ultra-loose monetary policy does produce increases in asset prices. But if that’s driving an increase in inequality on top of slow growth of real wages. There has been inadequate focus in economics on the different functions that credit creation plays within the economy. We have to think about control of the credit cycle as an end, per se. Our orthodoxy before the crisis was that private credit and money creation is just fine. We have to understand that both governments can fail and be dangerous, and that markets can fail and be dangerous.     

Tracking the U.S. health sector: the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic

Business Economics - Health spending has grown faster than the U.S. economy for decades and currently represents approximately 18% of gross domestic product. As with other sectors of the economy,...     

Applied R in the Classroom

R, with support from a number of add-on packages, is an excellent teaching tool that can greatly enhance learning of exploratory data analysis (EDA) and linear regression. This article illustrates using R along with the packages tidyverse , GGally , esquisse and lindia to walk through an example of basic EDA and linear regression that might be used in an introductory class along with code examples for every step. Teaching with R can give learners control of their analysis, lower the intimidating coding barrier, and provide a platform on which to learn modeling and analysis.     

Decomposing the growth in residential land in the United States

This paper decomposes the growth in land occupied by residences in the United States to give the relative contributions of changing demographics versus changes in residential land per household. Between 1976 and 1992 the amount of residential land in the United States grew 47.7% while population only grew 17.8%. At first glance, this suggest an important role for per-household increases. However, the calculations in this paper show that only 24.5% of the growth in residential land area can be attributed to state-level changes in land per household. 37.3% is due to overall population growth, 22.6% to an increase in the number of households over this period, 6% to the shift of population towards states with larger houses, and the remaining 9.6% to interactions between these changes. There are large differences across states and metropolitan areas in the relative importance of these components.