A simple auctioneerless mechanism with Walrasian properties

A simple mechanism for reallocating holdings is described, in which no auctioneer is required: outcomes are determined solely from traders' actions and without any requirement that the mechanism be in equilibrium. The mechanism is shown to exactly duplicate the performance of the Walrasian auctioneer (both in its equilibria and in its disequilibrium path) if individuals are price takers, and, if the number of individuals is large, to approximately duplicate the auctioneer's performance even when individuals behave strategically, each taking account of his own influence on prices.     

Beyond spatial representation

The correspondence between theory and observation is often evaluated by a comparison between a hypothesized constraint matrix and the spatial representation of a pxp similarity matrix. This comparison of constraint and proximity matrices assumes the accurate translation of similarities to proximities. If the translation is not exact (i.e., a stress or alienation coefficient greater than zero), the hypothesized structure is evaluated using a false representation of the observed data. The proposed model eliminates the need for spatial representation by making a direct comparison between the hypothesized constraint matrix and the multivariate structure of the bivariate similarities. Goodness of fit indices are used for three model comparisons; (1) single data set, one hypothesized structure; (2) single data set, two hypothesized structures; and (3) two data sets, one hypothesized structure.     

The Impact of Natural Hazards on Housing Values: The Loma Prieta Earthquake

A large, detailed data set is used to examine the effect of the Loma Prieta (World Series) earthquake on housing prices in the San Francisco Bay area. This relationship is examined while controlling for potential confounding variables, such as location-specific risk and the timing of the earthquake. The results indicate that the Loma Prieta earthquake caused an area wide reduction in property values. In addition, it seems that individuals considered other measures of earthquake risk in their housing purchases, yielding a measurable price gradient. These results are relatively robust, remaining stable across estimated functional forms and independent variable sets.     

The extent of the market in the liquor industry: An empirical test of localized brand rivalry, 1970–1988

The objectives of this study are to determine the extent of the market in a differentiated-product industry and to evaluate a technique developed by Schmalensee (1985) that tests for generalized rivalry. A market is defined as a product spectrum along which generalized rivalry exists. The industry chosen for study is the liquor industry. Results of this study indicate that the liquor industry consists of three markets and that Schmalensee's technique has several limitations that must be acknowledged when interpreting results.I would like to thank Jon P. Nelson, Mark Roberts, Ed Sexton, and Dave Ribar for their helpful comments. I would also like to thank Heidi Applegate, Timothy Hylan, Joyce Mlakar, and my parents for their support and encouragement.     

Property Tax Rate Changes and Rates of Development

Theoretically, unanticipated and anticipated property tax rate increases should reduce and increase, respectively, residential development rates. A discrete-time event history analysis of 224 originally undeveloped parcels presents a first empirical test. Property tax rate changes one year in the future are anticipated; increases strongly increase the probability of development in the current year. Rate increases in the current year reduce the probability of development in the current year but with somewhat less certainty, probably because they are only partially unanticipated. Accordingly, pre-announced property tax increases might accelerate the underlying rate of development as effectively as would tax concessions.     

The phillips curve and US macroeconomic performance during the 1990s

This paper identifies two competing accounts of recent US macroeconomic performance, both of which are capable of explaining the concurrence of low unemployment and low inflation experienced by the US after 1995. Econometric evidence provides partial support for both views, establishing that while there has been no change in the position of the long run Phillips curve in the US during the 1990s, this long run Phillips curve is likely not vertical. These results suggest that recent US macroeconomic performance is not sustainable and that US policy makers ultimately face a choice between higher unemployment or higher inflation in the long run.