An intertemporal analysis of the shifting of FHA discount points to buyers

In this paper, hedonic regressions are used to analyze a seven-year sample of monthly sales of bungalows in Chicago. Even when sales are considered within individual sections of Chicago, the FHA dummyindependent variable and the ‘points’-independent variable usually have negative coefficients. In certain areas of Chicago there is an absence of conventional loans and conventionally qualified buyers. Consequently, sellers in these neighborhoods must sell using FHA-insured mortgages and may be prevented from fully shifting points to the FHA buyer in the absence of competing financing alternatives. The use of FHA mortgages in these transactions means that the standard hedonic approach cannot correctly measure the extent of point-shifting because the housing/demographic characteristics decrease sales-prices at the same time the point-shifting increases them. The estimated FHA coefficients reflect the net result of these effects.     

A stochastic dominance analysis of the turnover related performance of mutual funds

Mutual fund performance relative to portfolio turnover is examined for funds in different investment categories using non-parametric, stochastic dominance criteria. We find that, in general, high-turnover funds are at least equally preferable to those with low turnover. This suggests that the costs of obtaining and exploiting information are, on average, compensated for by the subsequent return distribution. The exception is maximum capital gains funds. Here, high-turnover funds clearly dominate those with low turnover and the information gathering function is profitable.We gratefully acknowledge the contribution of an anonymous referee and the comments of Art Gudikunst of Bryant College.     

From the general to the specific: The demand for M2 in three European countries

This paper examines the demand for broad money in West Germany, the Netherlands and France. We give an exposition of and apply the “general to specific” econometric modelling methodology which has been successful in modelling the demand for money in the U.K. We find stable short-run demand functions for each of the three countries examined, using a consistent data base previously published by other researchers. Each of the estimated short-run equations has a long-run or steady-state solution which is consistent with economic theory. For West Germany and the Netherlands we find long-run income elasticities of unity, which constrasts with the results of earlier studies.     

Short-term policy in open semi-industrialized economies: The narrow limits of the possible

This paper develops a model to analyze short-term policy alternatives in semi-industrialized countries. The major points raised are the following: (i) There are two sectors, producing traded and non-traded goods. The latter is characterized by a fairly low elasticity of substitution and a high relative labor share. If the elasticity of substitution in the traded goods sector has an econometrically reasonable value, then short-run improvements in both the labor share and real income may well call for revaluation of the exchange rate and an increase in home good's price (prices of both goods being measured in wage units). (ii) If excess supply functions have Walrasian stability, such price changes will lead to deterioration in the balance of payments: On the other hand, devaluation-induced improvement in the balance of payments (with constant government expenditure) can lead to an improvement in real income, but reduces the labor share. (iii) If the economy is formally unstable, due to capitalists and laborers concentrating their expenditure demands respectively on the goods intensive in factor payments to themselves, then balance of payments improvement in a comparative static analysis may entail reductions in both real income and the labor share. (iv) If the additional realistic assumption is made that elasticities of excess supply functions for the two goods with respect to the interest rate are quite low, then in general improvement of all three targets (real income, balance of payments, and income distribution) will be unattainable. If in addition the government cannot finance expenditure changes by anything but money supply changes, then in general only one target variable can be attained. (v) Numerical sensitivity analysis based on Chilean data indicates that these (and other) rather pessimistic results hold for fairly wide ranges of ‘plausible’ parameter values, as long as the model's short-run Keynesian assumptions are maintained.     

Regional vulnerability: The case of East Asia

In a case study of six East Asian economies, we use dynamic factor analysis to estimate a regional component of the exchange market pressure index (EMPI) as a measure of regional financial stress. The extent to which this indicator is explained by regional economic and financial factors is interpreted as regional vulnerability to crisis. We find that regional external liabilities and exuberance in domestic stock and credit markets, as well as the US high-yield spread, were positively correlated with regional vulnerability. Individual country EMPIs are also explained by regional factors, with country-specific factors and trade linkages playing little role.     

Positive versus negative comparison in advertisements: the affect priming perspective

Abstract

Comparison valence is an important element in comparative advertising. In this research, we investigated how comparison valence influences advertising effectiveness and explored the role of affect underlying such effects. The results of two studies consistently confirmed that a positive comparison elicited more favorable ad attitude and brand attitude than a negative comparison and consumers’ affective states accounted for their preference for the positive comparison. Moreover, we found some preliminary evidence suggesting that the preference for a positive message may be more remarkable in comparative advertisements than noncomparative advertisements. However, this proposition needs further validation in future research.     

Product Characteristics and the Effectiveness of Dow’s Countermeasure for Predatory Pricing

Predatory pricing theoretically occurs when a firm cuts its price below cost with the intention of driving competitors out of the market so that the predatory firm can then act as a monopolist. Herbert H. Dow, founder of the Dow Chemical Company, saw his company face such a predator, the German Bromkonvention, in the American market for bromine in the early 20^th century. Dow responded with an ingenious gambit – he secretly purchased the low cost German bromine and then repackaged and resold it on the European market at a profit. This case has been offered as evidence that predatory pricing is unlikely to exist in the real world, since the prey can simply do what Dow did. This paper explores the product and market attributes that must be present in order for the Dow Gambit, or variations of it, to be used as a successful countermeasure for predatory pricing. We examine product and market attributes in 15 other well-known cases of predatory pricing to gain some empirical insight. In only two of these were the product and market characteristics as favorable for the prey to employ the Dow Gambit as they were toward Dow himself. We conclude that the Dow Gambit can only be employed in a narrow set of circumstances