论东方管理的人道哲学

管理行为的基础是管理哲学，基于不同文化背景下的管理理论与实践的哲学基础是不同的，东方管理学的管理哲学就是“道”。文章通过概括和分析东方管理的哲学基础，阐述了道与人道以及人道原则在管理实践中的运用。     

从当代中国的消费特征看服装品牌的发展走势

中国现阶段正处于大历史背景下的社会转型期,此时的中国消费市场出现了一些显著的特征：炫耀性消费,盲目追随性消费和冲动性消费,并且这些消费特征有明显上升的趋势。面对这一现象,服装企业该如何在危机中寻找机遇？如何调整市场战略以适应眼下消费者的需求？本文认为：增强品牌意识,改变经营思路,拓宽营销渠道是转机的基础。我们说有＂危＂才有＂机＂,中国的服装产业应在消费市场变化的当下找出自己的发展道路。     

Nonlinearity and stationarity of inflation rates: evidence from the euro-zone countries

Earlier studies hardly reject the hypothesis of a unit root in inflation. Few studies have examined the possibility of nonlinearity in inflation and tested nonlinear stationarity of the inflation rates. This study thus intends to fill the gap. This study utilizes the tests for nonlinearity along with the unit root tests that allow for nonlinearity in the variables to examine the stationarity of inflation rates of 12 European countries that formed the Euro Zone (EZ) later in the sample period. The results suggest that the majority of these countries’ inflation rates can be characterized by mean reversion during the floating exchange rate period. Many of them appear to be nonlinear stationary. This finding is essential in conducting applied economic studies for these countries, when constructing models whose validity relies on whether or not inflation is stationary. The results of this study also imply that shocks to inflation have a transitory effect on inflation in the euro area. Therefore, it would be less costly in exercising the policies of disinflation for the monetary authorities of the euro area than for those of the countries with nonstationary inflation.     

Comparing Firm Failure Predictions Between Logit,KMV, and ZPP Models: Evidence from Taiwan’s Electronics Industry

This paper applies the Taiwan electronics industry data to detect the discriminatory powers of Logit, KMV, and zero-price probability (ZPP) models that represent respectively the regressive fitting model, the option-based pricing model, and the GARCH time series simulation model. In our circumstances, according to cumulative accuracy profile, receiver operating characteristic, and even Brier score, the KMV performs the worst. The disadvantages for KMV are that the equity market exists some nonlinear characteristics, the unknown market value of asset affected by the change of capital structure is not exogenous, and the failure point is difficult to be estimated correctly. Besides, KMV is however too simple to model the fluctuation of the equity value as the GARCH does. On the other hand, the Logit performs above average. To preclude over-fitting and keep model parsimonious, two significant factors are extracted from as many as forty financial variables for the logistic regression on binary failure data. The result of Logit training has perfect discrimination. However, for the post-sample data, the fitting to categorical but not ordinal data makes Logit have the divergent failure predicted probabilities and highest Briser Score. In practical, ZPP GARCHNorm uses just equity value to predict firm failure but it performs remarkably well supposing that downward price trend or volatility persistence in stock price changes is appropriately caught. It implies that the distorted signals such as overreaction of traders and insider trading would definitely impair the ZPP GARCHNorm. Nevertheless, the larger type I error than type II error in all models indicates that the prediction of non-failed firms should be more examined further than that of failed firms.     

品牌之现在进行式

本文从当下最受关注的"品牌"出发,初步探讨了品牌的概念、品牌的影响力、品牌与产品之间的关系以及品牌的战略思想等问题。文章首先介绍了品牌的概念,接着用实例说明了品牌与产品之间的关系,最后阐述了企业从产品时代迈向品牌时代的必然之路。     

地方政府利益、地方政府行为与经济增长

目前,对中国地方政府的经济行为的研究强调了在经济转型过程中地方政府在多样化的地方经济发展模式中的主导作用,注意到了地方政府目标的多重性,本地区社会福利最大化,政府利益最大化以及中央政府的满意程度等。对地方政府在公共产品的提供、就业、收入分配、实现社会公平等方面行为不到位方面的研究是从定性方法来论证。本文试图在定性分析基础上建立一些基本的数学模型为将来的计量研究提供一个模型框架。     

高校反腐机制建设中创新会计监管途径的研究

高校会计监管在高校反腐机制建设中具有重要和基础的地位。高校自身的实际决定了单纯依据已经生成的会计信息来监管腐败行为，作用十分有限，高校必须以会计人员主动参与反腐败工作为努力方向，实现会计监管目标、内容和方法上的创新，才能更好地建立高校反腐败的长效机制。     

移动通信中的π／4QPSK调制解调技术及DSP实现

介绍了一种比ＧＭＳＫ具有更优的频谱特性，频谱利用率及更强抗衰落性能的线性窄带调制解调技术（π／４ＱＰＳＫ），并给出了它的ＤＳＰ实现和相应的性能。     

产业集群外部性的产权问题探析

本文将立足于集群经济的外部性进行考察,运用产权理论的内生交易费用和外生交易费用理论对其进行分析和初步研究探讨。产权清晰性或是模糊性的设定和安排的本质是一个费用问题,由于内生交易费用与外生交易费用的两难冲突,只有内生费用和外生费用的总和最小时,才是有效率的。最后,提出了产业集群的发展在清晰产权和模糊产权这两种制度安排的选择问题。     

通用装备供应链绩效评价指标体系研究

在通用装备供应链管理研究的背景下,从通用装备供应链绩效的概念入手,以部队用户通用装备保障需求为导向,对通用装备供应链绩效评价体系进行层次划分和构建。