Import Dependency and Structural Adjustment in Sub-Saharan Africa

One of the effects of structural adjustment programs in Sub-SaharanAfrica has been the reduction of imports in the face of scarceforeign exchange. This article takes the analysis of importdemand beyond the traditional income and price determinantsto account for factors likely to be important to Sub-SaharanAfrican countries in the 1990s. First, the effect of demandon imports is reflected by the level of absorption rather thanthe less direct income variable. Second, because adjustmentprograms may cut government consumption and, through increasesin interest rates, reduce investment, these components of absorptionare also considered independently to assess their differentialeffect on imports. Third, import barriers are often set in dollarterms to limit the use of foreign exchange. Because reliableand complete data for import restrictions are not available,the ratio of exports to debt is included as an indicator offoreign exchange availability to reflect its effect on tradebarriers and thus imports. The findings suggest that this morecomprehensive assessment of import demand will be needed ifthe size and even direction of changes in import demand in responseto policy reform is to be understood and anticipated.     

The determinants of wagering behavior

The total volume of wagering at a racetrack is important since it affects both racetrack and state revenues. This paper studies the factors that determine the volume of wagering. One of these factors is the sire stakes, a major form of government subsidy. We conclude that this subsidy has little or no economic impact on the volume of wagers. Unless the state recoups nearly all of the subsidy in other ways, such as sales taxes on racehorses, the sire stakes amount to a direct transfer from taxpayers to the breeding industry. We also develop information useful to racetrack managers.     

Labour force participation across Europe: a cohort-based analysis

We use a cohort-based model to analyse the determinants of labour force participation in six European economies, focusing on age and cohort effects as factors explaining differences in participation behaviour across countries. Cohort effects are particularly relevant for women with those born in the late 1960s and early 1970s more likely to participate over the life-cycle. Our results suggest that cohort effects can be interpreted as evolving social norms or preferences towards participating in the labour market according to Fernandez (NBER working paper no. 13373, 2007). We find substantial variation in the estimated age and cohort effects across European countries: cohort effects can account for a substantial part of the recent increase in participation in Spain, the Netherlands and Germany, and a positive, but smaller part of in the increase in participation of the UK, Italy and France. Looking forward, positive cohort effects could help counteract the downward impact of population ageing on participation.     

Income,distance and amenities. An empirical analysis

This paper analyses the income distribution of households in Barcelona metropolitan area. For this purpose we use the monocentric model. As the basic model does not have direct implications for this distribution, we survey the extensions of the model that have been used in empirical literature. One of the most promising ways is to introduce externalities in the decision process; they can result directly from exogenous amenities (given traits of urban area) or be created by other agents’ decisions. We first test the simple model relating income to distance. Then we introduce and test the model with exogenous amenities; recreational areas, transportation systems, health, educational and cultural infrastructure. In the third stage we test the model with spatial effects. We present evidence that any model with spatial effects improves significantly the empirical results.     

A Note on Farmers' Retirement and Succession Considerations: Evidence from a Household Survey

Retirement and succession considerations of family farm operators in Maryland are considered in this paper. Retirement decisions are found to be mainly determined by personal considerations, and only secondary importance is given to succession considerations. However, the relative importance of succession considerations is positively related to the importance of the farm enterprise relative to other income-generating activities of the family. The conclusion is that retirement and succession decisions in family farms are not separable.     

The impact of delivery terms on stock return volatility

The application of generalized ARCH models to daily stock returns shows changes in delivery and payment terms to be an important factor in determining measured volatility. In contrast, the holding period between trading days when markets are closed is relatively unimportant. This new approach allows fresh insights into stock return volatility and indicates that subsequent research on stock return volatility should incorporate the effects of payment delays.     

Modeling the European cycle with factor structure and regime switching

This paper compares the stylized facts of the European growth cycle stemming from the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the European Monetary Union with an unobserved common factor derived from a dynamic factor model with regime switching. The aim of this paper is to provide empirical evidence about the most adequate indicator for short-term monitoring of the cyclical state of the European economy. Previous versions of this article have been presented at the 55th International Atlantic Economic Conference (Vienna, Austria, March 12–16, 2003) and at the VI Encuentro de Economía Aplicada (Granada, Spain, June 5–7, 2003). The author would like to thank the conference participants and an anonymous referee for their comments and suggestions.     

Anticipating bailouts: The incentive-conflict model and the collapse of the Ohio deposit guarantee fund

The collapse of the Ohio Deposit Guarantee Fund in March 1985 provides a laboratory for examining the financial market's belief in the incentive-conflict model proposed by Kane (1989). Research in this area has yet to examine the stock returns of federally insured institutions during that period in the context of this model. Thus, it has not addressed the question of whether financial market participants recognize the implications of the model; that is, whether they anticipate the bailouts it implies. This paper fills that void.We find that on average, stocks of firms insured by the poorly capitalized FSLIC do reasonably well during the 41-day event window centered on the ODGF's Bank Holiday, while stocks of firms insured by the relatively well-capitalized FDIC do not. More important, differences in abnormal returns of FDIC and FSLIC firms are consistent with a reaffirmation of the incentive-conflict model.     

Original Institutional Economics and Political Anthropology: Reflections on the Nature of Coercive Power and Vested Interests in the Works of Thorstein Veblen and Pierre Clastres

Our inquiry advances a comparison of the anthropological content of Thorstein Veblen’s evolutionary perspective with the foundations of the political anthropology drawn from selected works of Pierre Clastres. We seek to establish that what can be referred to as a clastrean reference can simultaneously offer new perspectives on institutionalism, while maintaining a radical and emancipatory understanding of Veblen’s writings. In this sense, we seek to reconsider and reevaluate the role of economic surplus drawn from Veblen’s anthropology, while also offering a general and critical perspective for understanding the emergence of coercive power within societies.