MYTH AND TECHNOLOGY IN THE AMERICAN ACCOUNTING PROFESSION

The American accounting profession attempts to provide the public with efficient and effective financial reports; but to succeed, it must satisfy an environment of diverse, often conflicting, institutions. This article critically interprets the profession's development, arguing that it displays an interplay of myth and technology. This interplay generates structural flaws in the profession as well as a bias against reform.     

Do forecast errors or term premia really make the difference between long and short rates?

Forward rates in the term structure of interest contain predictions of future spot rates plus (possibly) term premia. Realized spot rates contain predicted spot rates plus forecast errors. Under rational expectations forecast errors are not predictable. By forecasting spot rates using publicly available information, bounds on the variation of forecast errors, and term premia are obtained. For one-month treasury bill rates, one to two thirds of the variation in the difference between forward rates and realized spot rates is due to variation in term premia.     

Money-income causality: Results for six countries

In this paper we attempt to ascertain multivariate money-income causality. Previous studies using a bivariate framework likely suffer from bias as a result of omitted variables. A framework is developed where both U.S. money and domestic money in an open, nonreserve currency country may influence that country's income. Reverse causation from income to domestic money is also possible. We use data from six countries to test the model. Our results suggest that both U.S. and domestic money stocks are important determinants of income. Thus, bias exists in previous studies. However, our results vary by country and are sensitive to the measure of money included which suggests that important variables may still be omitted.     

Determinants of systematic volatility of corporate bonds

This paper examines the association between betas of corporate bonds and their duration, coupon, maturity, agency rating, and other attributes. The data consist of monthly returns of 386 bonds, from January 1973 to June 1976. Betas are generated with the S&P 500 Index, a corporate bond index, and a U.S. bond index. The chief conclusions are the following: 1) Systematic volatility and its determinants differ according to the index; 2) betas formed with an equity or corporate bond index are negatively related to rating; and 3) duration is superior to coupon and term in explaining beta.     

Resource exploitation theory and the behavior of the oil cartel

This paper examines the implications of the partial equilibrium theory of optimal exploitation of a non-renewable resource for the behavior of the OPEC cartel. A relatively general extraction cost structure is assumed, and several new theoretical results are derived. The influence of oil-exporting countries' ultimate objectives on cartel behavior is examined under alternative assumptions about trading and investment opportunities. Some implications for the policies of oil importing nations are discussed.