我国公用企业的政府规制目标的政策选择

随着经济的发展,公用企业的市场更为广阔,政府对公用企业规制效率的提升日益成为公用企业发展的源动力。公用企业政府规制目标的实现关系到公用企业持续、健康地发展。因此,研究我国公用企业的政府规制目标的实现路径愈显重要。本文从政府规制的经济学理论入手,通过对国外公用企业的政府规制的演进历程进行分析,进而构建我国政府规制目标的实现路径。     

基于可流动性资产负债表的我国政府债务风险研究

政府资产是政府债务顺利偿还的基础,当政府资产低于其负债时,政府债务将面临一定风险,因此基于政府资产负债的视角,本文结合中国实际首先编制了一个简化的政府"可流动性资产"负债表,然后,分析了1998—2008年我国政府仅考虑直接债务时的政府债务风险,并且对2009—2010年的政府债务风险进行了分析。研究表明,2003—2006年因外汇储备急剧增长使我国政府债务风险总体较小且比较稳定,但因金融危机的爆发,我国政府债务风险在此期间前后的两次金融危机中都比较大,金融危机对政府债务风险的影响显著。研究还表明,积极的财政政策对短期降低政府债务风险具有明显效果,且1997年亚洲金融危机和2007年美国次贷危机对我国政府债务风险的影响具有相似性,即金融危机爆发后的几年内政府债务风险会因积极的财政政策而经历"大—小—大"的变化过程。最后,通过引入政府或有债务,分析了具有或有债务时的政府债务风险。本文认为,只要我国政府的或有债务规模不超过24万亿元人民币,则我国的政府债务风险较小。     

新《金融企业会计制度》若干问题刍议

对《金融企业会计制度》中特殊行业会计制度、外币分账制、债券投资收益的分类、短期债券投资收益的入账时间及呆账准备金的计提等问题进行了分析和探讨。     

A central limit theorem for endogenous locations and complex spatial interactions

We provide a new central limit theorem (CLT) for spatial processes under weak conditions that are plausible for many economic applications in which location is endogenous. In particular, our CLT is designed for problems that have some, but not necessarily all, of the following features: (i) Agents choose the locations of observations to maximize profits, welfare, or some other objective. (ii) The objects that are chosen (e.g., stores or brands) interact with one another. For example, they can be substitutes or complements. (iii) Interaction can be complex. In particular, interaction between i and j need not depend only on the distance between the locations of i and j, but can also depend on distance to or location of other observations k, or possibly on the number of other such observations.     

经济全球化与中国经济发展的长期优势

经济全球化对发展中国家是一把利弊参半的双刃剑,但对中国经济发展来说,全球化进程的利大于弊。人口众多曾是困扰中国经济发展的最大障碍,资源和市场的全球性重新配置正在把这一劣势转化为廉价劳动力成本优势和巨大市场潜力优势。经济全球化同时意味着经济运行规则的一体化,在中国经济体制市场化演进过程中,对外开放效应大于自我改革效应。     

事务所变更的信息披露制度比较与现状分析

近年来,我国上市公司更换会计师事务所的现象逐年增多,这一现象倍受人们的关注。随着我国证券市场审计的发展和不断成熟,完善事务变更的信息披露对投资者和监管部门的决策都具有重要意义。本文首先对中美事务所变更的信息披露制度进行对比,然后对2002年度若干样本公司有关信息披露情况的考察,分析了我国目前此项信息披露的现状与不足,同时还考察了信息披露的相关伴随特征;结论部分,提出了相应披露规范及监管建议。     

Why do some outside successions fare better than others? The role of outside CEOs' prior experience with board diversity

Research summary: We develop a theory to explain why new outside CEOs can better manage their relationship with the board if they previously served on boards that were more diverse than the focal board. We predict that a new outside CEO's prior experience with more diverse boards not only reduces the likelihood of post‐succession CEO turnover and director turnover, but also improves firm performance. Results from an analysis of 188 outside CEOs in a sample of Fortune 500 companies provide support for our theory. This study contributes to upper echelon theory and research by identifying outside CEOs' prior experience with board diversity as an important aspect of their background that influences a range of major organizational outcomes, including CEO turnover, director turnover, and firm performance. Managerial summary: It is challenging to be a new CEO who comes from outside of the organization. Our study examines why some new outside CEOs fare better than others. We suggest that a positive relationship with the board of directors is a key factor in a new outside CEO's success. A new outside CEO can better manage the relationship with the board if he or she has prior experience working with other demographically diverse boards. In contrast, when the focal board is more diverse than the other boards on which the new CEO previously served, the new CEO tends to struggle in managing his or her relationship with the board, experiencing a higher likelihood of turnover and delivering worse financial performance. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

海峡西岸经济区知识溢出与区域经济增长——基于空间面板杜宾模型的实证研究

本文依据新经济地理理论--知识的空间溢出对区域经济增长具有重要影响,运用空间面板杜宾模型对海峡西岸经济区20地市的知识溢出效应与区域经济增长关系进行实证分析,研究表明,各地市之间存在显著的正向知识溢出及经济增长效应。建议通过加大资本投入、并对较落后地区采取适当倾斜的政策来缓解资本存量的负向区际效应;加大研发经费投入并积极推动科技成果的产业化;引导激发企业的科技创新活动;在吸引外资方面应制定适合本地区的优惠政策和竞争政策,以减少区际之间的盲目竞争及重复建设。     

Twin Booms: The Lead–Lag Relation Between Credit and Housing Booms

In this study, we examine the causal relation between credit (proxied by credit-to-GDP ratio) and house markets (proxied by house price index) using data of using thirty-six countries for the period 1996–2012. We find a bidirectional causal relation between the two markets using the whole sample. Then, we find that during the non–twin boom period, the results are the same as those using the whole sample. During the twin boom periods, the two markets are not linked using the boom definition of deviation from the trend, and the housing market leads the credit market using the boom definition of the growth rate exceeding a certain 15 percent.     

Executive cash compensation and tax aggressiveness of Chinese firms

We examine the influence of corporate compensation policies on firms’ tax aggressiveness in an emerging market where executive compensation is primarily in cash form. Based on a hand-collected dataset of 958 firm-year observations of Chinese listed firms for the 2006–2012 period, we find that firms paying higher executive cash compensation are associated with lower tax aggressiveness. This relationship also holds for the excess cash compensation measures which control for executive shareholding, firm profitability, size, growth opportunity, and board independence. We further document that mutual funds ownership pressure firms paying higher compensation to reduce their tax aggressiveness, suggesting adverse selection by mutual funds on firms exhibiting risky tax avoidance activities. High leverage offsets the negative link between cash compensation and tax aggressiveness, indicating a complementary effect between debt and tax avoidance, and, hence, suggesting that creditor monitoring is weak. These results are robust to the system-GMM estimation, which simultaneously account for the endogeneity of executive compensation, tax aggressiveness, ownership and control, leverage, and corporate governance. Our findings on Chinese firms have important policy implications for developing countries around the world with concentrated ownership structure, weak institutional environment, widespread corruption, ineffective rule of law, and ongoing significant social and political transformation.