A contingent-claim integration of cost-volume-profit analysis with capital budgeting*

Abstract. This paper integrates cost-volume-profit (CVP) analysis into the theory of capital budgeting by modeling the profit function in the CVP relation as put and call options on sales revenue. Such an approach is shown to be particularly useful when the profit function is piecewise linear, such as when there are multiple break-even points, or when the profit function is truncated. The results are of general applicability because such an approach does not require making assumptions about the decision maker's risk attitude. This claim is proven by showing that certain well-known decision models in the extant literature can be derived as specific cases from the results. The paper also shows how the CVP analysis can be extended to the case in which there is a dependence of the firm's cash flows on macroeconomic variables. Specifically, it applies to the CVP analysis the state-contingent claim approach to capital budgeting of Banz-Miller (1978) and relates the option valuation approach to Banz and Miller's framework. A numerical example using the state prices of Banz-Miller is provided. Résumé. Les auteurs associent l'analyse coût-volume-profit (CVP) à la théorie de l'établissement du budget des investissements en intégrant la fonction de profit dans l'interaction CVP à titre d'option de vente et d'achat sur le produit des ventes. Cette methode semble particulièrement utile lorsque la fonction de profit est linéaire mais morcelée. Il en ainsi, par exemple, lorsqu'il existe plusieurs seuils de rentabilité ou lorsque la fonction de profit est tronquee. Les résultats peuvent êtres généralisés puisqu'une méthode de ce genre n'exige pas la formulation d'hypothèses relatives à l'attitude du décideur à l'egard du risque. Cette affirmation est étayée par les auteurs qui montrent que certains modèles décisionnels bien connus dans la documentation existante peuvent être dérivés des résultats obtenus sous forme de cas précis. Les auteurs montrent également comment l'analyse coût-volume-profit peut être étendue au cas où les flux monétaires de l'entreprise dépendent de variables macroéconomiques. De façon précise, ils appliquent à l'analyse coût-volume-profit la méthode des créances conditionnelles à un état proposée par Banz et Miller pour établir le budget des investissements, et ils relient la méthode d'évaluation de l'option à la formule de Banz et Miller. Les auteurs proposent un exemple numérique dans lequel ils recourent aux prix de l'état de Banz-Miller.     

Risky Debt,Investment Incentives,and Reputation in a Sequential Equilibrium

The agency relationship of corporate insiders and bondholders is modeled as a dynamic game with asymmetric information. The incentive effect of risky debt on the investment policy of a levered firm is studied in this context. In a sequential equilibrium of the model, a concept of reputation arises endogenously resulting in a partial resolution of the classic agency problem of underinvestment. The incentive of the firm to underinvest is curtailed by anticipation of favorable rating of its bonds by the market. This anticipated pricing of debt is consistent with rational expectations pricing by a competitive bond market and is realized in equilibrium. Some empirical implications of the model for bond rating, debt covenants, and bond price response to investment announcements are explored.     

Storage changes in biscuits

The purpose of this research was to investigate the changes occurring in biscuits under domestic storage conditions. The experimental work involved the storage of manufactured biscuits under closed, open/light and open/dark conditions for appropriate periods of time. Moisture content, texture, colour and peroxide value were determined throughout the storage time. The results indicate that the moisture content of the samples increased under all storage conditions, with a softening of texture. Peroxide values increase with rapid acceleration towards the end of the storage period. Very little change was observed in the colour of the biscuits.     

Consumers and Competition in Health Care: The Case of Denturism

Denturism is the making and fitting of dentures directly for the public by nondentists. It is an example of potential competitive entry in a health services market and, like other such examples, its economic benefits must be weighed against any threat to the public health and safety. This article examines evidence relating to the economic benefits to consumers of legalizing denturism. Conservative estimates are presented of the economic benefits to consumers that would accrue under alternative institutional arrangements. Under several such arrangements it was found that the value of benefits is of the same order of magnitude as total government expenditures on dental services.     

An Experimental Assessment of the Effects of Two Alcoholic Beverage Health Warnings Across Countries and Binge-Drinking Status

In recent years, alcohol-related problems on college campuses have been well documented. This research examines how two different alcoholic beverage health warnings placed on the label of a fictitious brand of beer influence alcohol-related risk perceptions, attitudes and intentions, and characterizations of problem-drinking behaviors of binge and non-binge drinkers in Australia and the United States. The consumer welfare implications of our findings, which show that the dependent measures are influenced by both main and interaction effects, are discussed.     

LBOs,Reversions and Implicit Contracts

The conventional view of going-private transactions is that they are designed to enhance the efficiency of the firm (for example, Jensen (1986) ). A starkly different view is that these and other control transactions are motivated to effect transfers from other stakeholders in the firm to equity holders ( Shleifer and Summers (1988) ). This study exploits data describing pension terminations as a way to test these theories. We conclude that the efficiency theory can plausibly explain a substantial number of LBO-related terminations, but not enough to undermine the transfer theory. More specific predictions from the efflciency theory are needed to structure more exacting tests.