基于Stackelberg均衡的第三方物流分包质量合同模型

如何管理、控制分包商的运作质量,使之符合第三方物流服务需求方的质量标准,本文在AlfredssonM构建的第三方物流提供者与分包商之间的Nash均衡模型的基础上,从第三方物流提供者与分包商的决策行为出发,提出了基于stackelberg均衡的第三方物流服务分包质量合同模型,并比较了第三方物流提供者和分包商对Nash均衡博弈结构和stackelberg博弈结构的决策取向。     

R&D项目投资评估的实物期权方法初探

本文分析了传统的NPV法在R&D项目投资评估中的缺陷,指出R&D项目投资本质上所具有的期权特性。在此基础上引入了实物期权方法,包括Black-Scholes期权定价方法和Geske期权定价模型。     

Do homeowners achieve more household wealth in the long run?

Despite the public’s faith in homeownership as a vehicle for wealth creation, there are surprisingly few empirical studies of the independent impact of homeownership and its duration on household wealth accumulation. This paper provides the first empirical evidence that homeownership, after controlling for other drivers of wealth accumulation, is positively and significantly associated with wealth accumulation over time. Using the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics, it examines the influence of housing tenure choices between 1989 and 2001 on household net wealth levels in 2001 after controlling for initial wealth in 1989, location, income, education, and other family and personal characteristics that might influence the rate of wealth accumulation. Importantly, the models used also control for the tendency of households to accumulate wealth between 1984 and 1989 (five years prior to the studied period). This approach is used to address the possibility that an unobserved variable—the propensity to save or accumulate wealth—may be associated with both the probability and duration of homeownership and the rate of wealth accumulation. All else equal, those who owned homes and owned for longer periods of time had significantly higher household net wealth by 2001. These results are compelling because house price appreciation over the period was near its long-run average while stock gains were above and real rent increases below their long-run averages. Hence, the findings are suggestive of a positive influence of ownership over long periods on net wealth, even during a period when alternative investments produced higher than normal returns and rents grew slowly. This is especially important because the overwhelmingly majority of households do not sell their homes shortly after buying them. In our sample, those who became owners typically owned for 7 years. Furthermore, most households that bought during a period of declining real home values in the early 1990s continued to own their homes for at least eight years and came out well ahead of those who did not own.     

《国际物流管理》课程教学改革的研究

本文针对目前《国际物流管理》课程教学中存在的一些问题，本着以学生为中心的宗旨。运用教育学相关理论，对课程教材的建设和完善、教学形式的丰富、教学内容的调整、教辅手段的运用、学生课业的考核方法、试题库及资料库的建设、师资培养、教师绩效管理等方面进行了全方位的探索和研究。     

CEV模型的单位根检验研究

CEV模型（Constant Elasticity of Variance Model）作为常用的利率模型，在实证分析中得到了广泛运用，但是其单位根检验一直被忽略或者被默认可以使用迪基一富勒检验。本文首次运用Box—Cox变换的技巧，针对CEV模型的单位根检验问题，找到了合适的统计量并且证明其渐进分布存在，然后通过蒙特卡罗方法求出了该统计量的分布表。得到了在大样本的情形下可以沿用迪基一富勒检验，但在小样本的情形下与迪基一富勒检验有所偏差的结论。     

拓宽扶贫思路,构建和谐社会

改革开放以来,我国扶贫工作成绩显著.全国贫困人口已从30%降至4%,但目前无论相对贫困还是绝对贫困,情况仍然十分严重.绝对贫困方面,全国农村低于国家规定的贫困线(人均年收入667元人民币)的人口有2 600多万,其温饱问题还未完全解决;全国城镇低于低保线(人均月收入159元人民币)的人口有2 200多万,生活状况仍十分艰难.     

完善城市整体功能是旧城改造的方向

城市的更新、改造是社会发展的必然 ,如何通过现状调查、分析、研讨 ,找出城市建设的症结 ,使城市趋于完美是城市建设者的历史使命。但现实中 ,片面追求经济效益 ,发旧城改造之财 ,只能使城市变成“崭新的旧城” ,只有按城市发展的固有规律去完善城市的整体功能才是旧城改造的发展方向。     

建立我国多层次资本市场体系的若干关键问题

我国资本市场发展的目标模式是建立多层次资本市场体系。为了实现这一目标,要进一步规范和发展主板市场,坚持市场化的改革取向,积极稳妥地解决主板市场上的结构性非均衡;在搞好中小企业板的基础上分步骤推进创业板建设;完善股份代办市场,实施功能转型,使之转变为真正的三板市场。     

质量技术监督系统质检机构改革浅议

提出质量技术监督系统所属质检机构改革要顺应国家机关体制改革和国家质量技术监督垂直管理系统改革的大好机遇,摒弃旧观念,丢掉“铁饭碗”,建立新机制,进入大市场,并提出“一所二制”建立学科研究,组建质量技术咨询服务中心和部门“12315”等建议。     

特许经营资源的开发探讨

通过分析特许经营模式的发展历程，认为国内企业特许经营资源丰富，并提出了重视我国企业特许经营资源开发工作，将为增强企业的市场扩张能力，拓展中小企业的经营方向，丰富个体经营者投资领域提供广阔的发展空间。