Time,Price, and Advanced Booking of Hotel Rooms

ABSTRACT

The effectiveness of revenue management systems has diminished in recent years due to the systems' inability to address the increasing complication of online deal-seeking behavior. To restore their efficiency, one must first understand the changes in advanced-booking behavior and their implications. This study expands the consumer booking model by addressing the impact of time-before-the-date-of-stay and exploring the implication for the hotel's pricing/marketing strategies. The findings underscore the urgent need for empirical research on timing by showing that the predictions of the advanced-booking model, and consequently the effectiveness of RM systems, depend on the actual patterns over time.     

Consideration of Moral Intensity in Ethicality Judgements: Its Relationship with Whistle-blowing and Need-for-Cognition

Within the theoretical framework of the moral intensity model of ethical decision making (Jones, 1991), two studies ascertained the contention that ethicality judgements are contingent upon the perceived intensity of the moral issue. In addition, Study 1 extended the validity of the moral intensity notion to whistle-blowing behaviour; Study 2 addressed the effect of the individual difference variable, need-for-cognition, on differential utilization of intensity dimensions in the ethical decision process. A scenario approach was used in both studies. Results have provided convergent support for the issue-contingency nature of ethical decisions. Study 1 also showed that felt empathy for potential victims predicted the likelihood of whistle-blowing behaviour, and that the perceived overall ethicality of a wrongdoing predicted felt empathy when potential victims are psychologically and physically close. Results of Study 2 further suggested a greater utilization of issue-relevant information by high need-for-cognition individuals in ethical decision making.     

Do a firm's equity returns reflect the risk of its pension plan?

This paper examines the empirical question of whether systematic equity risk of US firms as measured by beta from the capital asset pricing model reflects the risk of their pension plans. There are a number of reasons to suspect that it might not. Chief among them is the opaque set of accounting rules used to report pension assets, liabilities, and expenses. Pension plan assets and liabilities are off-balance sheet and are often viewed as segregated from the rest of the firm, with its own trustees. Pension accounting rules are complicated. Furthermore, the role of the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation clouds the real relation between pension plan risk and firm equity risk. The empirical findings in this paper are consistent with the hypothesis that equity risk does reflect the risk of the firm's pension plan despite arcane accounting rules for pensions. This finding is consistent with informational efficiency of the capital markets. It also has implications for corporate finance practice in the determination of the cost of capital for capital budgeting. Standard procedure uses de-leveraged equity return betas to infer the cost of capital for operating assets. But the de-leveraged betas are not adjusted for the risk of the pension assets and liabilities. Failure to make this adjustment typically biases upward estimates of the discount rate for capital budgeting. The magnitude of the bias is shown here to be large for a number of well-known US companies. This bias can result in positive net present value projects being rejected.     

THE VALUATION EFFECTS OF OUT-OF-THE-MONEY CALLS OF CONVERTIBLE SECURITIES

We examine the valuation effects of out-of-the-money calls of convertible securities. In general, out-of-the-money calls generate positive abnormal stock returns. These returns are higher when the call price exceeds the market value of the called securities (positive premium calls), compared with when the market value exceeds the call price (negative premium calls). Furthermore, Value Line Investment Survey net operating income forecasts are significantly higher after call announcements for positive premium calls, while the revision is insignificant for negative premium calls. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that positive premium calls signal positive information.     

The impact of fees on visitation of national parks

This study assesses the impact of the change in revenue management policy (namely the increased public land recreation fees) on the number of domestic and international travelers that visit the large, mostly well-known US National Park System sites. Baseline, multivariate demand models were developed based on secondary data from 10 years prior to the fee policy change, and were used to predict demand in years following the fee change. The predictions of the baseline demand models were then compared to the sites’ actual visitation. The differences between the actual and the predicted visitation are statistically significant, indicating that the change in the federal agencies’ revenue management policy might have had an adverse effect on the visitation of the largest US national sites.     

Characterization of the private alternatives domains admitting arrow social welfare functions

An n-person social choice problem is considered in which the alternatives are n dimensional vectors with the ith component of such a vector being the part of the alternative effecting individual i alone. Assuming that individuals are selfish (i is indifferent between any two alternatives that have the same ith component) we characterize all the families of permissible individual preferences that admit nondictatorial Arrow-type social welfare functions. We also show that the existence of such a function for a given family of preferences is independent of n provided that is greater than one.     

Patents and R&D at the firm level: A first report

The U.S. Patent Office has recently computerized its data base. Thus an easily accessible rather direct indicator of the inventive output of firms is now available. We examine the sense in which the patent measure is a ‘good’ indicator of inventive activity by relating it to the R&D expenditures of a cross-section of 121 firms over an 8 year period.     

Nationality and risk attitude: Testing differences and similarities of investors' behavior in selected financial markets

We first applied cluster analysis on selected stock market indexes (NASDAQ, DAX, Nikkei 225, FTSE 100, and Dow-Jones) for identifying four global fundamental patterns of stock markets behavior (to be named “market conditions”). On each of these patterns (attesting similar market conditions) we then applied Support Vector Machine (SVM) classification technique to test for the similarities and differences in the behavior of investors in the various stock markets. Our results show a good degree of separation of investors' behavior for the selected national stock markets (i.e., investors in different national financial markets react differently, facing the same market conditions, while the two US national markets (NASDAQ and Dow-Jones) behave the same). The results could be interpreted as a positive evidence for different investor behavior (and risk attitude) in different national stock markets. The presented approach could be used for further classification of financial indices behavior, and investment strategies associated with multinational investment portfolios.