交通基础设施建设与企业融资约束——基于高铁开通的准自然实验

本文基于信息不对称视角,以2009～2017年中国沪深A股上市公司为样本,考察了高铁开通对企业融资约束的影响及内在机理.研究发现:高铁开通有助于缓解企业的融资约束.机制检验发现,高铁开通对于企业融资约束的缓解作用在盈余管理程度更高的企业、规模更小的企业、位于较低经济水平城市的企业中更加明显,说明高铁的开通带来的信息不对称下降是缓解企业融资约束的重要原因.考虑了产权性质和外部利益相关者的影响后发现,高铁开通对企业融资约束的影响在非国有企业、媒体关注度较低和机构投资者实地调研较少的企业中更显著.本文的研究拓展了高铁研究的视角,为重大基础设施建设对微观企业行为的影响提供了新的经验证据.     

科技金融投入、技术创新与产业结构升级

科技金融投入对产业结构优化升级具有重要影响作用。本文基于2011~2019年的省际面板数据,使用固定效应模型对中国30个省份进行实证分析,并使用工具变量解决内生性问题。研究结果表明,科技金融投入对产业结构的影响呈现"倒U型"的非线性特征;从作用机制来看,科技金融投入影响技术创新进而作用于产业结构升级;从地区上来看,科技金融投入对产业结构升级的影响在东部地区表现明显,中、西部地区作用不明显。据此,提出加快完善科技金融制度、完善多层次资本市场体系、注重高技术人才的培养、平衡地区发展等政策建议。     

含水量对渠道保温板保温耐久性的影响及保温板厚度设计

北方渠道大多使用保温板防止混凝土衬砌受冻胀破坏。在计算保温板厚度时为了降低成本,容易忽略保温板使用过程中受各种因素的影响导致保温效果变差的情况,使混凝土衬砌达不到设计使用年限便提前被破坏。内蒙古河套灌区试验结果表明,由于受酸雨、冻融作用、含水量等因素的影响,保温板保温效果平均每年降低0.9℃,其中受含水量变化的影响最大。经试验测得:聚苯乙烯保温板(EPS)含水量每增加1%,会导致导热系数增大5%。基于多层材料串联热阻叠加原理和热阻等效原理,对保温板厚度计算公式进行完善,并提出相应的铺设方法和施工技术要求。该设计对保温板在季节性冻土区的推广应用具有一定参考价值。     

Water Bloom Precursor Analysis Based on Two Direction S-Rough Set

In the field of water quality management, it is vital to determine the main precursory anomalies from the precursor of intricate water bloom in the context of a given area. In this paper, a water bloom precursor analysis method, based on two direction singular rough set, was proposed. This approach was produced on the basis of the different sections and pre-water bloom of water bloom precursor anomalies and characteristic of elements transferred in singular rough set. For testing the validity of two direction singular rough set application in water bloom precursor analysis, Xiangxi River, which is one of the typical tributaries of Three Gorges Reservoir in China, was selected as study area. The result showed that compared with other indexes, pH and dissolved oxygen (DO) are the most valuable indicators of water bloom in the precursory anomalies. Furthermore, regarding with water bloom precursory anomalies in Xiangxi River, most of the nutrient loading and biological community are the key indicators. Hence, this method can determine the main precursory anomaly for water bloom in the study area, which provides powerful knowledge support to water quality specialists for them to comprehensively analyze precursory anomaly so as to find out its relationship with occurrence law of water bloom.     

塔里木河“二源一干”生态供水潜力研究

为解决塔里木河干流水资源短缺、流域损失水量过大、用水效率低下、农业灌溉用水挤占生态用水等问题,基于“节水优先”的治水方针,以塔里木河二源流(阿克苏河、叶尔羌河)及其干流(“二源一干”)的山区水库群和平原水库群为研究对象,兼顾塔里木河干流的农业灌溉用水、生态用水、工业用水、生活用水等多目标,构建并求解了现状水平年和远景规划年的山区与平原水库群联合调度优化模型,分析了塔里木河干流的生态供水潜力和山区水库群联合调度的贡献。结果表明：仅通过干流平原水库群联合调度,农业灌溉用水和生态用水的供水保证率难以满足设计要求;通过山区与平原水库群优化调度,在远景规划年各行业均满足设计保证率要求,体现了山区水库群显著的调控性能和“节水优先”治水方针的合理性和可靠性;远景规划年塔里木河干流的生态供水潜力为2.84亿m³,可为塔里木河下游生态保护与修复提供了坚实的水量基础。     

基于EDEM的混凝土板桩静压贯入过程三维颗粒流数值模拟

针对混凝土板桩在干粗砂地基中的静压贯入问题,为了明确贯入过程中的挤土效应及贯入阻力的发展规律,利用离散元数值模拟软件EDEM(Engineering Discrete Element Method)对干粗砂中混凝土板桩静压贯入过程进行了三维数值模拟。为此,提出了适用于类似试验的参数标定方法,分析了贯入过程中颗粒的运动特征。针对板桩结构的特点,对长边和短边方向的挤土效应进行了对比,并以短边为例,分析了不同高度处的挤土效应。最后,根据颗粒与桩结构的接触力,提取了桩端阻力和桩侧摩阻力的值,分析了两者在贯入过程中的变化规律。结果显示:在贯入过程中,颗粒的运动呈现"涡流状",并随贯入过程演化;板桩沿短边方向的表面隆起量约为沿长边方向的隆起量的2倍;随着长宽比的增加,板桩结构在短边方向和长边方向的隆起值相应增加,且短边方向的隆起值与长边方向的隆起值的比值与相应板桩的长宽比近似相等;随着贯入的进行,桩侧摩阻力所占的比重逐渐增加,在完全贯入后,侧摩阻力值约占桩端阻力的1/25;不同长宽比的板桩结构,其桩端阻力和桩侧摩阻力的单位值近似相等,并与准二维计算结果相近。     

土工格栅加筋包边填砂路堤模型试验研究

为探究包边填砂路堤荷载作用下的极限承载力特性、破坏形态规律及加筋性状,设计了土工格栅加筋包边填砂路堤结构,改装美国GCTS公司的USTX-2000动静三轴加载装置进行加载,通过改变加筋层数、筋材布置长度及包边土厚度对土工格栅包边填砂路堤进行一系列试验。对不同工况下包边填砂路堤的极限承载力、封层及坡面法向累积变形、位移变化进行研究。试验结果表明:土工格栅加筋和增加包边土厚度可以显著提高包边填砂路堤的极限承载力,并能减小封层中、封层右及坡顶、坡中的法向累积变形;无筋路堤的滑动面在路堤内呈折线状且并未通过坡脚侵入地基,在坡顶的黏土和砂芯交界处产生最大位移;土工格栅加筋及增加包边土厚度可以使滑动面向路堤内部迁移但形态不变,且最大位移处向路堤内部迁移。     

Potential user factors driving adoption of IPTV. What are customers expecting from IPTV?

Internet Protocol Television (IPTV), the convergence services of television and Internet, is being rapidly developed around the world. The advent of digital technologies has changed the convergence market dramatically with the wide diffusion of the convergent services. Using the Technology Acceptance Model as a conceptual framework and method of logistic regression, this research analyzes the demand for IPTV by drawing data from 452 consumers. Individuals' responses to questions about whether they accept IPTV are collected and combined with observations of their socio-economic status and intrinsic/extrinsic factors modified from the Technology Acceptance Model. Results of logistic regression show two variables (intrinsic and extrinsic factors) that seem to explain what influences consumer behavior towards adopting IPTV. Overall, the logistic regression model explains over 50% of the variance in the IPTV adoption. The variances shed light on the multi-open platform environment that IPTV will forge.