各地传真

湖北孝南近期,湖北省孝感市孝南区质量技监局加强对全区用乳及乳制品为原料进行生产的食品生产企业和小作坊的监督检查力度。检查结果显示,全区食品     

Causes of Inflation in China： Inflation Expectations

This paper argues that the main causes of inflation in China since the early 21st century are changes in the public's inflation expectations. The conventional wisdom, the quantity theory of money, may not be adequate to capture the relationship between price changes and money supply growth, as the economic system evolves and people's income and wealth grow. An examination of China's GDP deflator and broad money supply relative to nominal GDP shows that the relationship between the two series is relatively weak. A further examination of China's monthly CPI series over the period 2001–2010 reveals that the autoregressive models are a better fit than the moving average models, which suggests that the role of CPI expectations has been significant and important. Because of the importance of inflation expectations in CPI movement, we believe the Central Bank's monetary policy that targets CPI inflation should emphasize the use of policy instruments that have direct and strong communication links with the public. Quantitative measures would have their own use, but their effectiveness would be unlikely to match that of interest rate measures, especially from a short‐term perspective.     

严惩IPO违规应剑指不当获利

证监会日前通报了新股发行承销检查结果处理情况。经检查发现,我武生物、良信电器等6家公司在新股项目发行承销过程中,存在未按事先披露的原则配售股票、向禁止配售的关联方配售、干扰投资者报价、向投资者提供超出招股书范围的发行人信息等违反公平、公正原则的行为,涉及4家证券公司、2家发行人和6名个人。