选择"责任险方案"投保工伤保险更符合企业利益

(补充)工伤保险是近年来我国商业保险市场的新生事物。在我国产、寿险分业经营的制度下，财产险公司和寿险公司分别从自己的角度推出了适应这个需求的产品。并由此形成了“责任险方案”和“人身险方案”并存的市场供给局面。本文从法定责任转移、纳税优惠以及前瞻性三方面对两种方案进行了分析对比，得出结论：选用“责任险方案”更符合投保企业的利益。     

ERP实施项目的成功因素分析

本文以国内ERP实施为研究对象,运用项目生命周期理论,结合ERP实施中属于信息系统项目的特点,把ERP实施项目按生命周期划分为计划、实施、稳定、提高四个阶段,并在文献研究、案例研究和专家访谈法的基础上,运用问卷调查法探讨了各个不同阶段影响ERP实施的成功因素,最后给出了ERP实施模型,以达到提高国内企业ERP实施的成功率,推动信息化建设之目的.     

自适应聚类视角下学科领域主题分析——以物流学科为例

基于改进关键词重要性和近邻传播聚类算法,提出了一种学科领域主题分析方法,通过词频分析法和作者潜意识行为计算高频关键词权重,借助共词分析和Ochiai系数构建带权重高频关键词相似性矩阵,利用近邻传播聚类算法对学科领域主题进行自适应提取与分析。以CSSCI收录的2015—2019年物流学科领域期刊论文为研究对象,借助新方法对其进行主题分析,研究结果表明:高重要性的关键词不一定是核心主题,核心主题与同一簇内其它成员关键词最为相似。与此同时,近五年物流学科存在“降本增效”“区域物流一体化”“现代物流技术研究与创新”“物流体制改革与产业转型升级”“农村物流与农产品物流”“电子商务与跨境电商”“可持续发展理念”等七大热门主题。     

On some criteria for the formulation and testing of economic growth models

This paper presents a methodology for the formulation and testing of economic growth models. The model selected includes two production sectors with physical and human capital accumulation. These capital stocks are associated with spillover effects in the production of the physical good and in the accumulation of both factors.     

Endogenous lifetime and economic growth

Endogenous mortality is introduced in a two-period overlapping generations model: probability of surviving from the first period to the next depends upon health capital that is augmented through public investment. High mortality societies do not grow fast since shorter lifespans discourage savings; development traps are possible. Productivity differences across nations result in persistent differences in capital-output ratios and relatively larger gaps in income and mortality. High mortality also reduces returns on education, where risks are undiversifiable. When human capital drives economic growth, countries differing in health capital do not converge to similar living standards, ‘threshold effects’ may also result.     

Why are some people (and countries) more protectionist than others?

We analyze two cross-country data sets that contain information on attitudes toward trade as well as a broad range of socio-demographic and other indicators. We find that pro-trade preferences are significantly and robustly correlated with an individual's level of human capital, in the manner predicted by the factor endowments model. Preferences over trade are also correlated with the trade exposure of the sector in which an individual is employed: individuals in non-traded sectors tend to be the most pro-trade, while individuals in sectors with a revealed comparative disadvantage are the most protectionist. Third, an individual's relative economic status has a very strong positive association with pro-trade attitudes. Finally, non-economic determinants, in the form of values, identities, and attachments, play an important role in explaining the variation in preferences over trade. High degrees of neighborhood attachment and nationalism/patriotism are associated with protectionist tendencies.     

Tax competition and tax structure in open federal economies: Evidence from OECD countries with implications for the European Union

Tax competition arguments suggest that governments that operate in an open economy (such as local governments) should not and will not rely on non-benefit taxes, such as the income tax. Yet we observe reliance on income taxes by local governments in many countries, and such reliance changes over time. Evidence from a panel data set of 13 OECD countries over the period 1975-1984 suggests that competition between levels of government (resulting in a vertical fiscal externality) and between governments at the same level (resulting in a horizontal fiscal externality) provide some economic rationale for these changes. Moreover, the evidence indicates that the vertical and horizontal fiscal externalities interact. These results have some interesting implications for fiscal policy in the European Union, particularly as the EU continues to evolve. One implication for the EU is that enlargement that increases tax base disparities within the EU (and is not accompanied by an EU-level income tax) will tend to lower national income tax rates, although this must be qualified because it also depends on the mobility of the population. A second implication is that fiscal expansion of the EU to include an EU-level income tax may tend to lower the reliance of national governments on income taxes through the vertical externality, but may also tend to equalize tax bases across countries, and so increase reliance on national income taxes through the horizontal externality.     

On exact D-optimal designs with 2 two-level factors and n autocorrelated observations

In this paper we consider the exact D-optimal designs for estimation of the unknown parameters in the two factors, each at only two-level, main effects model with autocorrelated errors. The vector of the n random errors in the observed responses is assumed to follow a first-order autoregressive model (AR(1)). The exact D-optimal designs seek the optimal combinations of the design levels as well as the optimal run orders, so that the determinant of the information matrix of BLUEs for the unknown parameters is maximized. Bora-Senta and Moyssiadis (1999) gave some conjectures about the exact D-optimal designs based on their experience of several exhaustive searches. In this paper their conjectures are partially proved to be true.Received: January 2003 / Accepted: October 2003Partially supported by the National Science Council of Taiwan, R.O.C. under grant NSC 91-2115-M-008-013.Supported in part by the National Science Council of Taiwan, R.O.C. under grant NSC 89-2118-M-110-003.     

Overnight borrowing, interest rates and extreme value theory

We examine the dynamics of extreme values of overnight borrowing rates in an inter-bank money market before a financial crisis during which overnight borrowing rates rocketed up to (simple annual) 4000 percent. It is shown that the generalized Pareto distribution fits well to the extreme values of the interest rate distribution. We also provide predictions of extreme overnight borrowing rates using pre-crisis data. The examination of tails (extreme values) provides answers to such issues as to what are the extreme movements to be expected in financial markets; is there a possibility for even larger movements and, are there theoretical processes that can model the type of fat-tails in the observed data? The answers to such questions are essential for proper management of financial exposures and laying ground for regulations.     

基于作业成本法的高校教学成本计算模式构建研究

本文在论述作业成本法应用于高校教学成本计算的可行性基础上,针对高校教学管理各环节及费用发生的一般特点,分析了作业成本动因与选择,构建了基于作业成本法的高校教学成本计算模式,以其为推动高校教育成本核算体制的建立和财务成本管理水平的提高提供借鉴与参考。