2008年金融危机成因之我见

温家宝总理在2011年3月的政府工作报告中一再强调,2008年金融危机是百年罕见的国际金融危机。对于2008年金融危机产生的原因,各国学者似乎已达成一致共识。文章结合相应的经济理论基础与各国应对金融危机的成效,创新性地提出2008年金融危机产生的原因是科技创新遇阻,认为里程碑式的科技创新成果将是本轮金融危机成为过去的标志。     

企业财务危机成因浅析

财务危机是企业在经营发展中遇到的严重威胁,通常会影响企业的生死存亡,也关系到投资者、债权人等利益相关者的切身利益。研究财务危机的成因对于预防和化解财务危机具有十分重要的意义。分析了企业财务危机形成机理和具体成因,并对企业降低财务风险、预防财务危机提出了初步建议。     

希腊主权债务危机研究以及对中国的启示

由于处在全球金融危机的时代背景和独特的欧元区经济环境之下,希腊主权债务危机的发生有着自身的特点。对希腊主权债务危机的研究将有助于其他国家防范主权债务危机的发生,对于拥有巨大外汇储备和地方政府债务风险积聚的中国来说,也同样具有积极的意义。     

我国企业营销工作的反思

我国企业的营销工作存在诸多问题,只有面对和分析自身的营销工作存在的问题,才能够不断改进自己的工作。本文从六个方面对此进行了分析,并建议从营销体系构建的角度上加强企业的营销工作。     

The distributional impact of large dams: Evidence from cropland productivity in Africa

We examine the distributional impact of large dams on cropland productivity in Africa. As our unit of analysis we use a hydrology based spatial breakdown of the continent that allows one to exactly define regions in terms of their upstream/downstream relationship at a highly disaggregated level. We then use satellite data to derive measures of cropland productivity within these areas. Our econometric analysis shows that while regions downstream benefit from large dams, no beneficial effects accrue to cropland within the vicinity. Moreover, we find that the productivity enhancing impact of upstream dams is dependent on the local climate. Overall our results suggest that upstream dams have quantitatively on average provided up to 12% of the minimum daily per capita amount of kilocalorie needs in downstream communities and increased agricultural production by 1%.     

欧元挑战美元:失去的机会

早在10年前,在欧元创立之初,欧元的国际地位就被提上了国际议程。随着全球金融危机的爆发,对美元的全球角色的质疑日渐增多,欧元受到了进一步关注。然而,当美元的国际地位备受审查时,欧盟及其货币还没有承担起任何积极主动的角色。本文探讨的是,欧元是否能逐渐成为国际货币,不仅在欧盟及其他国家的贸易中,还要在第三国之间的贸易中被使用,即欧元是否能挑战美元的当前地位,在国际货币体系中成为主要储备货币。     

Who produces for whom in the world economy?

Abstract For two decades, the share of trade in inputs, also called vertical trade, has been dramatically increasing. In reallocating trade flows to their original input‐producing industries and countries, this paper suggests a new measure of international trade: ‘value‐added trade’ and makes it possible to answer the question ‘who produces for whom?’ In 2004, 27% of international trade was vertical trade. The industrial and geographic patterns of value‐added trade are very different from those of standard trade. Value‐added trade is relatively less important in regional trade but the difference is not more important for Asia than for America.     

浅谈经济危机下会计集中核算制度的优与劣

几年前发生的经济危机,会计集中核算制度充分发挥了社会主义的优势.会计集中核算在杜绝腐败、资金合法使用、有效管理资金方面起到了重要作用.但是,本文对会计核算集中制度存在着一些缺陷,提出了自己的建议以供参考.     

Factors impacting on whether and how businesses respond to early warning signs of financial and economic turmoil: Jamaican firms in the global crisis

Much of the debate surrounding the recent global crisis is focused on respective governments’ policy responses to the financial and economic downturn. Much less attention has been placed on the manner in which private sector businesses responded to the crisis. This study analyses the results of a survey of 284 Jamaican businesses conducted in the first quarter of 2009. It identifies the responses to the crisis that were viewed as most likely at that stage, and uses logistic regression techniques to analyse the factors most likely to precipitate different types of responses. International transmission mechanisms, basic business characteristics, and managers’ experiences with and expectations of changing conditions in the finance, output and input markets were investigated as explanatory variables. The results presented are important, as the early response of businesses to economic and financial crisis often determines the extent of the ultimate outcome on the livelihoods of individuals in a country.     

欧元区主权债务危机探析

为全面了解欧元区成员国的财政运转状况,以1999年欧元区成立为界将欧元区财政状况划分两个阶段:在欧元启动之初,部分欧盟国家在经济指标尚不满足加入欧元区的现实下,隐瞒其真实负债水平,为日后欧元区主权债务危机的爆发埋下了隐患;加入欧元区后,各成员国为了刺激经济增长实施扩张性的财政政策使得赤字率和债务率相继超标,对加入欧元区的最初承诺已形同虚设.在债务危机急剧恶化的背景下,德、法等欧元区核心国实施的全方位救助程序短期内对遏止主权债务危机蔓延和维护欧元区稳定起到了决定性作用.