我国石油对外贸易流量分析与对策研究

石油是关系国家经济安全的重要战略物资,本文通过对我国石油进出口贸易一些流量指标的分析,发现:(1)石油净进口量过大,进口依存度偏高,并有逐年递增的趋势;(2)原油进口的地区集中度偏高,不利于石油资源供应稳定;(3)国际油价持续高企,对国内经济稳定造成威胁。并据此提出了相关政策建议。     

不同萃取试剂检测羽绒残脂率的差异性分析

选用乙醚、二氯甲烷和石油醚作为羽绒残脂率的萃取试剂,对3种试剂检测结果进行了比对分析。结果显示：二氯甲烷检测结果高于乙醚的检测结果,而石油醚的检测结果低于乙醚的检测结果。从统计学角度分析得出这两种试剂的检测结果与乙醚的检测结果都存在显著性差异,二氯甲烷和石油醚无法直接作为乙醚萃取的替代性试剂。     

Psychological Oil Price Barrier and Firm Returns

In this paper, we investigate the psychological barrier effect induced by the oil price on firm returns when the oil price reaches US$100 or more per barrel. We find evidence of the negative effect of the US$100 oil price barrier for: (a) the entire sample of 1559 firms listed on the American stock exchanges; (b) both foreign and domestic firms, with domestic firms significantly more affected; (c) the 10 different sizes of firms, with the smaller firms less affected compared to the larger firms; and (d) 17 sectors of firms, with firms in the utilities, mining, and administration sectors being the least affected.     

New imported inputs,new domestic products

We study the relationship between new imported inputs and the introduction of new domestic products. To this purpose, we assemble a novel data set covering 25 European countries over 1995–2007 and containing information on domestic production and bilateral trade for the universe of goods. We develop a procedure to identify new imported inputs and new domestic products, while dealing with the complications raised by the yearly changes in the commodity classifications. We augment these data with information on prices and novel estimates of quality. We organize the empirical analysis around a version of the endogenous growth model with expanding variety, in which inputs are allowed to be heterogeneous in terms of quality. In line with this framework, we find three main results. First, new imported inputs have a strong positive effect on product creation in Europe. Second, they work through a combination of mechanisms, allowing countries to benefit from both wider and better sets of intermediate products. Finally, new imported inputs give a substantial boost to output growth in manufacturing.     

人民币汇率变动对广西出口商品价格影响研究--基于广西与东盟国家贸易数据

论文选取2005年1月-2013年10月的月度数据实证分析了人民币名义汇率变动对广西出口到东盟国家商品价格的传递效应。结果表明：人民币名义汇率对出口商品价格的传递不完全,广西出口商的市场竞争力较弱,省内企业生产成本对出口价格的影响较小,而东盟国家竞争价格对出口价格的影响非常大。     

基于MF-DFA的中国股指期货价格的多重分形实证研究

本文通过应用多重分形谱分析法和多重分形消除趋势波动分析（MF-DFA）法,研究了新产生的中国股指期货市场的多重分形性。通过对2942个股指期货最后十分钟结算价格的分析,我们发现中国股指期货的收益率具有长程相关性和多重分形性,期货价格波动并不能用单一的标度指数进行充分描述。进一步通过将原始序列和转换后的收益序列进行比较,转换过程包括重排以及相位随机化,我们发现导致中国股指期货市场多重分形性的两种不同成因。研究结果表明,虽然厚尾分布是造成多重分形性的一个方面,但长程相关性才是引起中国股指期货市场多重分形的主要原因。     

2013年广西证券期货业发展回顾及2014年展望

2013年以来,在广西各级政府和广西证监局的共同努力下,广西资本市场规模稳步扩大,市场体系日趋完善,市场主体质量不断提高,投资者队伍日益壮大,为广西地方经济的发展做出了积极贡献.2014年,随着十八大、十八届三中全会精神的全面贯彻落实,资本市场各项改革举措的深入推进及广西南宁市区域性国际金融中心、沿边金融综合改革试验区等的持续建设,广西证券期货业将迎来黄金机遇期.广西应牢牢把握机遇,从转变思路、开发利用上市公司资源、完善多层次资本市场体系等方面推动广西资本市场发展,实现资本市场发展与实体经济转型升级的有机结合.     

中哈原油管道两国计量输差数学模型分析

用流体的连续性方程并结合质量守恒定律对中哈管道阿塔苏站-阿拉山口站的参数进行分析后建立了计量输差的数学模型关系,通过数据验证了该模型。结果说明两国之间毛重计量输差的主要影响因子是输送过程中两站间管道中油品密度变化率,从而为解决两国间流量计计量数据争议提供了重要参考。     

石油套管漏磁检测标准影响因素研究

简要介绍石油套管缺陷形式及缺陷检测方法,着重阐述石油套管漏磁检测的原理及石油套管漏磁检测标准,分析自动漏磁检测设备影响因素及应对措施,展望石油套管漏磁检测的应用前景。     

Intraday data and hedging efficiency in interest spread trading

Three government bond futures contracts and their respective 3-month interest rate futures contracts traded on LIFFE are examined. The data period covers three years of observations, January 1994-December 1996, sampled at half-hourly intervals. Borrowing from the calculation of minimum variance hedge ratios, half-hourly minimum variance spread ratios (the ratio of one contract to another, which provides the minimum variance) are estimated for the above contracts. The hypothesis under examination is whether there is any value-added in estimating minimum spread ratios based on intraday data. Three spread ratios are defined: two ratios calculated from daily data and a third one based on intraday data. Evidence tends to indicate that spread ratios calculated from intraday data exhibit a substantially lower variance than the other two spread ratio speciications. Thus, it is shown that intraday data, in comparison with daily data, allow for lower hedging costs. Moreover, the use of intraday-based spread ratios might be a contributing factor to reducing the maximum cumulative loss potentially incurred while holding a spread position.