Medical insurance with rank-dependent utility

Summary. A well-known result in the medical insurance literature is that zero co-insurance is never second-best for insurance contracts subject to moral hazard. We replace the usual expected utility assumption with a version of the rank-dependent utility (RDU) model that has greater experimental support. When consumers exhibit such preferences, we show that zero co-insurance may in fact be optimal, especially for low-risk consumers. Indeed, it is even possible that the first-best and second-best contracts are identical. In this case, there is no “market failure”, despite the informational asymmetry. We argue that these RDU results are in better accord with the empirical evidence from US health insurance markets. Received: February 26, 2001; revised version: October 4, 2002 RID="*" ID="*"The authors would particularly like to thank Simon Grant, John Quiggin, Peter Wakker and an anonymous referee for valuable comments and suggestions on earlier drafts. The paper has also benefitted from the input of seminar audiences at The Australian National University, University of Auckland, University of Melbourne and University of Sydney. Ryan also gratefully acknowledges the financial support of the ARC, through Grant number A000000055. Correspondence to:R. Vaithianathan     

遗传算法及其在客户关系管理中的应用研究

遗传算法是一种宏观意义下的仿生优化算法，它模拟生物在自然环境中的遗传和进化过程而形成的一种自适应全局优化概率搜索算法。这种算法可以用于对海量的客户信息进行搜索，提取对决策有用的信息，让企业在激烈的市场竞争中处于有利地位，最终达到最高利润。本文还通过一个简单的实例研究将该算法应用在客户关系管理中。     

国外产业结构调整及其启示

从全球产业结构调整的基本趋势来看,农业比重逐步下降,工业和制造业比重有升有降,服务业比重呈上升趋势。在世界各国纷纷加快产业结构调整步伐的背景下,中国产业结构调整的紧迫感越来越大。我国产业结构优化的基本目标是:通过将传统产业的改造和信息产业等高新技术产业的发展有机地结合起来,在加快我国工业化进程的同时,提高我国经济与社会发展的信息化程度,使我国整个产业结构不仅实现不同产业部门之间的比例关系的协调,更重要的是推动产业结构的质的变化,即从低级化状态向高级化状态转变。而促进产业结构的转型和升级,客观上离不开政府财政的支持。     

技术变革与经济学研究的理论创新

以大机器为代表的工具技术变革和由此而诞生的现代工业经济体系,以及建立在工业及后工业时代基础之上的传统经济学理论,已经无法适应建立在数字技术、基因技术变革基础之上的新经济发展的实践。在传统经济学理论基础之上,构筑与新经济时代相适应的经济学理论体系,实现经济学研究的理论创新,是当代经济学人的重要历史使命。     

零售业上市公司业绩的DEA有效性分析

本文应用DEA模型对零售业上市公司的业绩进行了实证研究,通过DEA有效分析和规模收益分析对八家上市公司的业绩进行了效率衡量,为投资者理性投资提供了参考依据,也为上市公司提高效率提供了数据借鉴。     

Using data envelopment analysis approach to estimate the health production efficiencies in China

By using Data Envelopment Analysis approach, we treat the health production system in a certain province as a Decision Making Unit (DMU), identify its inputs and outputs, evaluate its technical efficiency in 1982, 1990 and 2000 respectively, and further analyze the relationship between efficiency scores and social-environmental variables. This paper has found several interesting findings. Firstly, provinces on frontier in different year are different, but provinces far from the frontier keep unchanged. The average efficiency of health production has made a significant progress from 1982 to 2000. Secondly, all provinces in China can be divided into six categories in terms of health production outcome and efficiency, and each category has specific approach of improving health production efficiency. Thirdly, significant differences in health production efficiencies have been found among the eastern, middle and western regions in China, and among the eastern and middle regions. At last, there is significant positive relationship between population density and health production efficiency but negative relationship (not very significant) between the proportions of public health expenditure in total expense and efficiency. Maybe it is the result of inappropriate tendency of public expenditure. The relationship between abilities to pay for health care services and efficiency in urban areas is opposite to that in rural areas. One possible reason is the totally different income and public services treatments between rural and urban residents. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust health policies and service provisions which are specifically designed to different population groups. __________ Translated from Jingji Yanjiu 经济研究 (Economic Research Journal), 2006, (7): 92–105     

面向CRM的数据挖掘应用

近几年来，信息在企业发展中的关键地位得到了越来越多的关注，赢家往往是那些能成功收集、分析、理解信息并根据信息决策的企业，而新型电子商务的关键是它与消费者之间的关系。本文研究了数据挖掘技术在客户关系管理（CRM）中的运用，讨论了企业如何理清和客户之间的关系。     

环境库兹涅茨曲线假说及其在中国的检验

经济与环境协调发展是我国经济发展中的重大课题。本文从环境库兹涅茨曲线假说出发,利用中国各个省市区1989～2004年数据建立面板数据模型,运用固定效应模型和随机效应模型对其进行估计,以此剖析我国经济增长与环境污染水平的演变规律。结果表明,环境库兹涅茨曲线假说在我国并不成立。因此,我国不能盲目重复发达国家"先污染,后治理"的传统模式,而应该走环境与经济持续协调发展的道路。     

健康风险冲击对农户收入的影响

本文基于中国8个省份、1354个农户、跨度15年的微观面板数据,测算了大病冲击对于农户长期收入的影响以及健康风险冲击持续的时间。我们发现:(1)大病冲击在随后的12年里对于农户人均纯收入都有显著的负面影响;(2)大病冲击对于农户的短期与中期影响使得患病户人均纯收入平均降低5%—6%;(3)健康风险冲击的长期影响可持续大约15年,并且冲击对于中低收入农户的影响更为严重。     

高校智力资本运作效率的数据包络分析

文章在综合分析高校智力资本的基本概念和主要内容的基础上，提出了用数据包络分析方法评价高校智力资本运作效率的基本思路与方法，并以8所高校在同一学科中的智力资本运作情况为算例，对数据包络分析的算法和所使用的计算工具作了说明。