Economic Growth and Development: Towards a Catchup Model

We develop a model for economic growth applicable to a group of countries, constituting around half of the gross global production, that have been consistently “catching up” to the US since 1960 or so. This group can be termed “the convergence club.” The model has a theoretical basis developed in other publications (cited), but the present work is essentially empirical. It demonstrates that there is a very strong correlation between “catchup” growth, with respect to the US, and an energy proxy (EP). The energy proxy that works best is a linear combination of domestic electric power consumption petroleum (oil) consumption, per capita, compared to the US levels. The results presented here do not constitute a theory of growth, but they are consistent with theory presented elsewhere. On a practical level, we argue that consistent “catchup” trends over the past 40 years can safely be extrapolated for a few more decades for scenario construction purposes. We also believe that the observed catchup trends can be regarded as “potential” mid-term or long-term growth trajectories for transition economies and others that have recently been adversely affected by conflict or mismanagement.     

运用债务重组手段处置金融不良资产的实例研究

债务重组已成为我国的国有资产管理公司处置金融不良资产的重要手段.本文概述了债务重组的定义和方式,探讨了以债务重组手段处置金融不良资产的优势以及风险防控等值得注意的问题,并对一个处置实例进行了具体分析,总结了项目运作的经验,以供参考.     

中国能源利用效率省际分异与影响因素的实证研究

根据中国能源利用效率的省际差异显著而且当前节能任务艰巨的事实,提出了进行能源效率地区差异因素分析的必要性。基于2007年的截面数据,运用偏最小二乘回归建模,分析了各因素对能源效率地区差异的影响方向和影响程度。研究结果表明,各地区固定资产投资中外商投资比重、工业增加值中高耗能产业比重以及煤炭消费比重的差异是造成能源效率地区差异显著的主要原因。要在短期内缩小地区间的能源效率差距,必须严格限制高耗能行业的过快发展,加强高耗能行业的结构调整,加快淘汰落后生产能力,大力提升煤炭的使用效率。     

The interface of the energy and forest sectors—Potential players in the bioenergy business

The upcoming bioenergy business area opens up promising opportunities for the traditional energy and forest sectors. This has motivated us to study existing and potential bioenergy actors that could take up this unique opportunity and develop new business around the “green gold” of the forest. Light is shed on the interface between the energy and forest sectors through a comparison of the most focal bioenergy actors with traditional forest and energy companies. The analytical methods used include both parametric and nonparametric analysis of variance, and cluster analysis. The result is a better understanding of the players that have the potential to capitalize on the emerging business.     

21世纪生产力发展方针的热力学思考——兼论广义文化生产力

欲实现环保生产力之稳定发展,关键在于深入探讨热力学定律所揭示的大自然物质运动规律。面对全球性不可再生资源匮乏及环境熵污染严峻的局面,最有效的对策应是:在发展物质生产力的过程中,通过日益发达的科学技术,寻求热力学定律中“火用”理论的最佳应用,同时要注重同步、协调的发展广义文化生产力。“相对能量产出指数”可作为衡量不同经济系统运行中的物质状态参数(或作为物质资源消费的量化指标),供评价该系统不可再生资源的适度消费水平;亦可供制定不同国家或地区环保生产力发展方针参考。     

Wage inequality and between-firm wage dispersion in the 1990s: A comparison of rural and urban enterprises in China

Using a worker–firm matched sample, this paper compares the changes of wage structures of urban and rural enterprises following public sector restructuring in China's manufacturing sector. While the wage responses of rural firms with respect to firm characteristics are found to have declined steadily, compensation of urban workers has become increasingly linked to their firms' ability to pay. Our analysis reveals that industrial restructuring has weakened the influence of institutional factors, such as market power, soft budget constraints, and insider influence, on the wage determination of rural firms but it has enhanced their impact on urban firms. Journal of Comparative Economics 33 (4) (2005) 664–687.     

山区生活耗能结构的转换

能源建设是山区建设的一个重要组成部分,本文通过对鄂西山区秭归县生活耗能的调查与分析,展现了该区目前生活耗能的现状及其恶性效应,进而提出了耗能结构的转换思路及机制。     

关于支持小微企业转型发展的思考

目前,小微企业在经济社会发展中扮演了越来越重要的角色,但由于小微企业存在着先天性不足,抗冲击抗风险的能力较低,国际国内经济环境一旦出现变化,很容易陷入困境。近些年来,小微企业的困难越来越凸显出来。为了帮助小微企业缓解困难,国家出台了一系列政策措施支持小微企业转型发展,金融部门也制定了多项措施办法加大对小微企业的支持力度。     

湖北省能源消费与经济增长的关系研究

能源是经济和社会发展的重要物质基础,和经济发展息息相关。文章对湖北省能源消费的现状和特点进行分析,然后利用湖北省1980-2010年的年度数据对湖北省能源消费和经济增长之间的关系进行检验。研究结果显示,湖北省能源消费与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的关系,但不存在因果关系。通过对湖北省能源消费弹性系数的测算,发现湖北省能源弹性系数较高,能源利用率有待提高。