可再生能源电价管制政策的文献综述

可再生能源电力产业的价格方面的管制政策的文献比较多.总体来说这些政策主要涉及可再生能源电价管制政策的分类、相关理论、政策效率和政策的实证方面.本文对可再生能源电价管制政策的相关文献进行了总结和分析,同时提出本文的观点.     

From organic to fossil and in-between: new estimates of energy consumption in the Swedish manufacturing industry during 1800–1913

In this article, new estimates of energy consumption in the Swedish manufacturing industry during 1800–1913 are used for interpreting the Swedish industrialisation process from an energy economic perspective. For one we conclude that the revision of previous estimates is substantial when it comes to manufacturing. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the increase of coal consumption, the expansion of the fossil or mineral energy system, to a high degree can be explained by the increased use of steam engines in manufacturing and the transport sector. Finally, we conclude that overall energy intensity patterns is largely determined by assumptions on household firewood consumption. A narrative interpretation of the interplay between energy system transformation and the industrialisation in Sweden concludes the article.     

Technology foresight for a vision of energy sector development in Poland till 2030. Delphi survey as an element of technology foresighting

The security of energy supply at national level is one of the most fundamental missions of every government. This task becomes especially vital in view of the current situation on global energy markets. The planning of technological development in the energy and fuel sectors is a relevant element of energy security strategies. This in turn leads to a more rational and efficient energy use in the future. Technology foresight, which emerged as a proven instrument of technology policy during the 1950s, becomes nowadays one of the essential tools for the creation of the future technological development worldwide. A project entitled: “The Scenarios of Technological Development of Fuel and Energy Sector for National Energy Security” was the first foresight project in the field of energy technologies and at the same time the first technology foresight activity in Poland. This project was being carried out in the period of 2006-2007 by a consortium of research and development institutes on the request of the Polish Ministry of Economy. The aim of the project was to indicate energy and fuel sector development directions in the time horizon up to 2030 and identify key energy technologies of strategic importance. As a result of the foresight activity, technology development scenarios in the energy and fuel sector in Poland as well as corresponding roadmaps for their implementation were formulated. The project results should be helpful in drafting national energy policies and they will indicate priority pathways of research and development (R&D) activities in the next years.The energy foresight project was based mainly on a Delphi method that is nowadays widely applied as a valuable foresight tool. This future-oriented intuitive method was engaged for the qualitative and quantitative assessment of probable developments in the future and for their time scale evaluation as well. In this article, the results of the conducted two-round Delphi survey were presented.     

Nonlinearity in forecasting energy commodity prices: Evidence from a focused time-delayed neural network

This paper aims to develop an artificial neural networkbased forecasting model employing a nonlinear focused time-delayed neural network (FTDNN) for energy commodity market forecasts. To validate the proposed model, crude oil and natural gas prices are used for the period 2007–2020, including the Covid-19 period. Empirical findings show that the FTDNN model outperforms existing baselines and artificial neural networkbased models in forecasting West Texas Intermediate and Brent crude oil prices and National Balancing Point and Henry Hub natural gas prices. As a result, we demonstrate the predictability of energy commodity prices during the volatile crisis period, which is attributed to the flexibility of the model parameters, implying that our study can facilitate a better understanding of the dynamics of commodity prices in the energy market.     

重大资产重组核准制效果研究北大核心

2014年,证监会对《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》进行了第二次修订,修订前上市公司所有的重大资产重组都需要得到证监会核准,而修订后现金支付的重大资产重组不再需要证监会核准。本文以此次修订作为准自然实验,选取2007—2018年中国A股上市公司作为收购方参与的重大资产重组事件为研究样本,研究原本需要核准但因政策放松不再需要核准的重大资产重组事件的绩效变化。研究发现,相较于对照组,放松核准后的重大资产重组虽然数量显著提高,但绩效有所降低并具有异质性:放松核准后重组绩效下降的情况在收购方第二类代理问题较严重和成长性较低的重组事件中更加显著,而对于成长性较高的企业,放松核准却会提高其重组绩效。进一步研究表明,放松核准后,收购方进行跨省和跨国重组的可能性增大,但这两种重组的绩效降低;放松核准还增加了重组后商誉减值的可能性。本文结论表明,放松核准可以有效地激发市场活力,但依然存在相关因素影响市场化改革。