我国发展对外直接投资的必要性

随着我国经济的快速发展和综合国力的显著增强，我国企业实施走出去战略。扩大对外直接投资是其必然的战略选择。本文运用发展中国家对外直接投资理论。对我国开展对外直接投资的必要性进行了分析研究，认为市场竞争、资源不足以及产业结构升级等是促使我国企业进行对外直接投资的主要动因，并对这些动因进行了实证分析和检验。     

国际产业转移的动因与趋势

20世纪90年代以来,在经济全球化和知识经济的共同推动下,国际产业转移再掀高潮,其转移的动因更趋多元化,并呈现出一系列新的特征与趋势。揭示当代国际产业转移的动因、背景和趋势,以掌握国际产业转移的一般规律。     

对加入世贸组织后我国引进FDI的思考

20世纪80年代以来，FDI（外商直接投资）已经逐渐成为促进全球经济发展，尤其是发展中国有经济增长与进步的重要因素，吸引FDI于我国而言价值是不可估量的，现实的国情呼唤合理有效地吸引FDI，本文将着手于我国自改革开放以来吸引FDI的状况进行分析，展望入世对中国吸引FDI的影响并提出如何有效合理吸收FDI的相关建议。     

FDI对中国经济发展的绩效及对策分析

改革开放以来,中国FDI流入量不断提高,对经济发展的作用也日益重要。今后,应当根据全球FDI流动的新趋势,加快我国吸收外FDI方式创新。     

积极财政政策影响我国外贸发展的效应分析

自积极财政政策实施以来，我国外贸发展的基础日益稳固，进出口贸易增长上了新台阶，国内经济结构与产业结构调整所获得的满足世界市场需求结构变动的政策效应逐渐显现，同时，积极财政政策的实施极大地改善了外商投资环境，FDI成为推动贸易增长的重要力量；出口退税等其它鼓励出口的政策对拉动出口增长也起了重要作用。     

技术特征不同行业中FDI技术外溢效果的考察——基于非参数分析方法的研究

本文通过非参数性方法得到全要素生产率,考察了FDI对我国工业行业技术进步的影响。发现FDI外溢效果在科技含量高的行业中较为明显,在低科技行业中效果较差。并且通过进一步观察发现在外溢效果显著的行业中,技术外溢效果的显著性排名与行业中内资部门的技术进步排名高度吻合。因此我们应调整引资结构,吸引更多外资流入高科技行业以促进我国技术进步。     

Terrorism and its impact on economic growth and technological innovation

Recent terrorist acts, in particular the 9-11 attacks in 2001, have created disruptions in the global economy. The short-term impact had been felt in the global tourism, airline industries, as well as the financial markets. While the global economy has recovered and is adjusting to the new global realities, the longer-term impact of heightened security risk across the world can be felt in the form of higher risk premiums in asset markets, as well as a shift of resources towards dealing with terrorism. Just as World War II had accelerated the development of nuclear energy as well as a major contributing factor in the genesis of Silicon Valley, the current war against terrorism will affect both the pace and trajectory of technology trends, as efforts are focused on developing technologies to combat terrorism. In this paper, we review the effects of the current war on terrorism in terms of its impact on the economy, the allocation of resources to R&D, and the trajectory of future R&D.     

美国金融业对外直接投资流向的实证分析

美国1995年～2000年金融业对外直接投资流向分布极不均衡,对投资流向分布进行统计分析发现,非金融领域直接投资、1994年金融业对外直接投资存量、双边贸易量、东道国经济金融发展水平是金融业对外直接投资的主要决定因素,证明了邓宁国际生产折衷主义理论对金融业对外直接投资的解释力。据此简要分析美国对中国金融领域直接投资现状,并分析了今后发展趋势。     

FDI对中国国内投资影响的实证分析

在开放条件下,FDI会对东道国国内投资产生强有力的影响,这种影响体现在FDI对东道国国内投资产生挤出效应或者挤入效应。本文对1987—2001年FDI对中国国内投资的影响进行了检验,结果表明:在最近的15年间,FDI对国内投资总体上存在显著的挤入效应;对大多数省份的投资也存在挤入效应,但在东部沿海省份挤出效应和中性效应则占一定的主导地位;FDI对不同地区投资的影响程度也存在明显的差异,呈现出由东向西渐次减弱的状态。     

The future of hydrogen fueling systems for transportation: An application of perspective-based scenario analysis using the analytic hierarchy process

This paper integrates the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with scenario analysis techniques to explore the commercialization of future hydrogen fuel processor technologies. AHP is a multi-attribute decision analysis tool useful for evaluating decisions with multiple criteria and alternatives. In this paper, AHP is extended using a technique called perspective-based scenario analysis (PBSA). In PBSA, scenario analysis is conducted based on potential future decision-maker perspectives that are integrated into the AHP framework. This paper discusses this method and applies it to the evaluation of hydrogen fuel processor technologies 15–20 years hence. The results provide an added layer of insight into the opportunities and barriers for the commercialization of these technologies as well as the methodological opportunities for using AHP and PBSA as a futures tool.