在当前经济形势下扩大内需与旅游业发展

2008年,以美国次贷问题引起的金融风暴席卷全球,国际经济环境中不确定不稳定因素明显增多,全球经济面临危机,各类人群消费信心逐日下探,需求方面出现严重不足,导致供给出现剩余,旅游业也未幸免。为了促进我国经济稳定快速发展,扩大内需成为当务之急,旅游业发展有助于扩大内需,同时,旅游业自身的发展,也要依靠扩大内需。     

保本型股票挂钩结构性外汇理财产品定价研究

内容本文首先针对单资产股票挂钩保本型结构性产品的期权特性,在一定的假设前提下,根据风险中性定价原理,借鉴Black-Scholes期权定价方法,对受汇率波动影响的外汇理财产品进行定价研究,并得出定价公式,然后运用中国民生银行非凡理财第四期的两年期产品为案例进行定价分析,结果表明该产品收益率设计是合理的。     

非均衡协同发展战略下的我国城市商业银行发展研究

城市商业银行发展应与我国初等发达时期非均衡协同发展战略相适应。建立和发展多层次发展极是我国初等发达时期非均衡协同发展的战略重点,城市商业银行发展的战略使命应为该战略重点提供金融支撑。符合条件的地方发展极都应有城市商业银行,只有处于特定层次和发展阶段发展极的城市商业银行才可能跨区经营和引进境外战略投资者。     

Domestic financial market frictions,unrestricted international capital flows,and crises in small open economies

Summary. We present an example of a small open economy where small increases in the world interest rate may induce a sharp decline in output and a precipitous depreciation of the exchange rate. Due to a costly state verification problem in domestic credit markets, combined with unrestricted international capital flows, our economy generates two long-run equilibria, one with low GDP and a relatively depreciated real exchange rate (RER), and one with high GDP and a relatively appreciated RER. The first is always a saddle, while the second may be a sink or a source, depending on the level of the world interest rate. A crisis is identified with the economy switching from an equilibrium path approaching the high-output steady state to the saddlepath approaching the low-output steady state. In Mexicos recent history, periods of growth associated with appreciation of the RER have alternated with periods of sharp contraction and depreciation of the RER. Our economy displays such behavior in response to changes in the world interest rate.Received: 9 April 2002, Revised: 20 March 2003JEL Classification Numbers: E5, F4.G. Antinolfi, E. Huybens: We thank Steve Fazzari, Tim Kehoe, Todd Keister, Manuel Santos, Karl Shell and especially Bruce Smith for very helpful discussions. Jaime Calleja Alderete, Eduardo Camero Godínez, and Juan Vargas Hernández provided excellent research assistance. All remaining errors are ours. Huybens was an assistant professor in the Centro de Investigación Económica, ITAM, at the time this article was written, and part of this work was completed while Antinolfi was a visiting scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The views expressed herein are those of the authors, and do not reflect those of the World Bank or the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Correspondence to: G. Antinolfi     

金融教育高质量发展与思政建设的共融格局建设

金融教育高质量发展的内涵应注重“量的扩张”与“质的提升”两个层面,应该精准回答“培养什么人、怎样培养人、为谁培养人”这一根本性问题。在金融教育高质量发展“所依之事、所处之时、所临之势”的外延下,其与思政建设表现为“因事而化、因时而进、因势而新”的共融机制也尤为重要。面对培养体系、思政资源、教学设计等层面的显著问题,应构建金融教育高质量发展与“大思政”建设的共融格局,有机融合、贯穿思政教育于金融教育培养环节,打造课程思政师资队伍并丰富思政教学方法,旨在实现思政元素在金融专业教育体系中的“善用”,实现金融教育高质量发展与思政建设共融的格局建设。     

欠发达农村地区布放自助金融服务机具的难点及对策

银行卡发展是一项利国利民的工程,对减少现金流通、降低交易成本具有重要意义。而在农村地区,银行卡的推广和使用受制于自助金融服务机具如ATM、POS机的布放。本文着重分析了欠发达农村地区布放自助金融服务机具的难点,并提出相应的对策建议。     

外资银行进入对发展中国家银行信贷可得性的影响研究

如何引导外资银行增加东道国的信贷可得性,尤其是中小企业的信贷可得性,是目前理论和政策界争论的焦点问题之一。本文通过构建一个理论模型,分析了外资银行进入和国内信贷供给的关系,从市场均衡结果、社会福利、成本效率等几个角度对外资银行进入发展中的东道国的影响进行综合分析。模型结果表明,外资银行的进入并不必然增加一国的总体信贷水平、也并不必然提高东道国银行业的成本效率和整体社会福利,甚至在某些特定条件下,结果可能适得其反。     

Foreign affiliates of the world largest financial groups: Locations and governance

This paper has two objectives. The first is the documentation of the relative importance of the largest financial groups in the world. The list of top 50 financial groups ranked by total assets in 2003 is compared to a similar list available for 1986. The second objective is to examine where financial firms are expanding their operations and to document some of the factors that may explain the most-favoured locations of these financial groups.The results of this study have two important implications. First, they indicate that location-specific advantages such as size, human capital and cultural distance, do provide an explication of the internationalization of financial firms. Second, they show that good governance has a strong impact on the choice of countries by firms.     

关于巴塞尔协议规避银行系统危机的有效性研究

对银行实施监管是银行界的共识,最近几十年来,全球最核心的监管条例无疑就是巴塞尔协议。从巴塞尔委员会成立起,协议的修改和完善就从未停止,但即便如此,世界上两大经济体美国和欧盟都发生了足以载入史册的金融危机。那么,以巴塞尔协议为代表的规制能否彻底解决银行系统危机问题呢?本文以巴塞尔协议作为主要的研究对象,论证仅仅用规制的方式难以避免系统性风险,银行不仅需要市场化的资源配置手段,同时也需要直接的计划调控手段规避系统性风险。     

Does corporate social responsibility reduce financial distress risk?

This paper examines how corporate social responsibility (CSR) affects the level of financial distress risk (FDR). Using a sample of 1201 US-listed firms during 1991–2012, our results indicate that firms with higher CSR levels have lower FDR, suggesting that a better CSR performance makes firms more creditworthy and have better access to financing, which is rewarded with less financial defaults. This finding is robust to using alternative proxies of FDR, to controlling for potential endogeneity, and is mainly driven by the community, diversity, employee relations, and environmental dimensions of CSR. Moreover, this relationship is more prevalent in firms with strong governance mechanisms and high product market competition. It is also more exacerbated for less distressed firms and during non-crisis periods. Overall, our findings suggest that the adoption of CSR practices comes with less distress and default risks, likely leading to a more attractive corporate environment, better financial stability and more crisis-resilient economies.