基于Logit模型的上市公司财务预警分析

上市公司财务预警对投资者理性投资具有重要的参考价值，采用Logit非线性模型，并考虑到上市公司公开披露信息的可获取性，筛选若干个常用的财务指标，经过严格的实证数据测试，建立了上市公司财务预警的Logit模型，运用该模型对ST公司进行了戴帽预测。     

The impact of opacity on bank valuation during the global financial crisis: A channel analysis

Prior literature suggests that opacity in the banking industry is mainly caused by a lack of informativeness in the assessment of the quality of bank assets. Examining a sample of bank holding companies in the United States, we find that there is a negative relationship between opacity and bank valuation during the 2007–2009 global financial crisis. We further attempt to identify two potential channels through which opacity negatively affects bank valuation during the financial crisis: a cash flow channel and an expected return channel. We show that one channel flows from bank profitability, measured by return on equity and return on assets, confirming a cash flow channel, whereas an expected return channel, proxied by the implied cost of capital, only works for small banks. Overall, this study sheds light on the relationship between in-transparency and bank value discount during a global recession.     

Network based evidence of the financial impact of Covid-19 pandemic

How much the largest worldwide companies, belonging to different sectors of the economy, are suffering from the pandemic? Are economic relations among them changing? In this paper, we address such issues by analyzing the top 50 S&P companies by means of market and textual data. Our work proposes a network analysis model that combines such two types of information to highlight the connections among companies with the purpose of investigating the relationships before and during the pandemic crisis. In doing so, we leverage a large amount of textual data through the employment of a sentiment score which is coupled with standard market data. Our results show that the COVID-19 pandemic has largely affected the US productive system, however differently sector by sector and with more impact during the second wave compared to the first.     

CEO power and annual report reading difficulty

We examine the impact of CEO power on reading difficulty of corporate annual reports. We find that CEO power is positively related to reading difficulty, implying that annual reports of corporations with powerful CEOs are difficult to read and understand. More importantly, we find that the relation between CEO power and reading difficulty is moderated by earnings performance or corporate governance. Additional findings suggest that this relation becomes stronger for firms with lower financial reporting quality or for CEOs with shorter tenure. Our study not only joins the debate on the consequences of powerful CEOs but also uncovers several factors that moderate the relation between CEO power and annual report reading difficulty.     

国有企业、金融市场改革与养老保险制度改革的互动效应--中国如何解决老年保障问题?

中国政府非常清楚社会保障所面临的危机，决定寻求解决办法。拟议中的社会保障改革的核心是积累制和整合条块分割的体系，计划为每个工人建立个人退休账户，对养老基金进行有效投资。然而，这种改革受阻于三个关键因素。(1)在向积累制的转化过程中必须支付特制成本；(2)现有的社会保障体系条块分割、分散化管理3(3)已经积累的基金尚未取得高收益，也未分配到最有效率的用途上。     

上市公司控制权争夺的动机及其特征

本文结合国内外研究成果以及我国当前的市场环境,对可能成为控制权争夺目标的公司会具备什么样的财务特征、股权结构以及公司治理进行了分析,以寻找上市公司控制权争夺的真正动机和目的.我们研究发现:上市公司经营业绩越差,债务比率越高,当年具有增发或配股资格,产权的可转让性越低,产权性质为国有企业和终极控制人为国有企业或政府机构时,其控制权被争夺的可能性也越高.     

关于财政总预算会计制度改革的探讨

20世纪90年代,我国预算会计改革已取得重大成就,初步建立起适应社会主义市场经济需要的预算会计体系。近年来,随着我国以预算管理为中心的财政制度的不断深化,预算会计制度的诸多问题和局限性也逐渐产生和显现出来,面临着如何作进一步的改革问题。本文通过分析现行财政总预算会计制度的基本特点,探讨财政总预算会计制度存在的问题,并为进一步改进财政总预算会计制度的核算和管理提出一些看法。     

会计信息责任的再认识

会计信息能引导社会经济资源的优化配置,进而影响整个国民经济的发展。因此,对会计信息质量有一定的要求。但是目前会计信息的质量状况令人堪忧。因而,有必要对保证会计信息质量的责任体系进行分析,以期对会计信息责任体系有全面的认识。     

上市公司财务报表附注披露存在的问题、原因及改进

本文首先从我国会计环境的实际出发,指出应对上市公司财务报表附注披露进行适度管制,在此基础上结合实例重点分析了我国上市公司财务报表附注披露存在的问题及成因。由于政出多门等原因,我国上市公司财务报表附注披露信息过载与披露不充分问题并存。     

非均衡协同发展战略下的我国城市商业银行发展研究

城市商业银行发展应与我国初等发达时期非均衡协同发展战略相适应。建立和发展多层次发展极是我国初等发达时期非均衡协同发展的战略重点,城市商业银行发展的战略使命应为该战略重点提供金融支撑。符合条件的地方发展极都应有城市商业银行,只有处于特定层次和发展阶段发展极的城市商业银行才可能跨区经营和引进境外战略投资者。