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91.
In this paper, we estimate ARFIMA–FIGARCH models for the major exchange rates (against the US dollar) which have been subject to direct central bank interventions in the last decades. We show that the normality assumption is not adequate due to the occurrence of volatility outliers and its rejection is related to these interventions. Consequently, we rely on a normal mixture distribution that allows for endogenously determined jumps in the process governing the exchange rate dynamics. This distribution performs rather well and is found to be important for the estimation of the persistence of volatility shocks. Introducing a time-varying jump probability associated to central bank interventions, we find that the central bank interventions, conducted in either a coordinated or unilateral way, induce a jump in the process and tend to increase exchange rate volatility. 相似文献
92.
Johnson R. Pawlukiewicz JAMES Mehta JAYESH 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》1997,9(1):89-101
This research presents a method for estimating the parameters of the binomial option pricing model necessary to appropriately price calls on assets with asymmetric end-of-period return distributions. Parameters of the binomial model are shown to be a function of the mean, variance, and skewness of the underlying return distribution. It is also shown that failure to incorporate skewness results in the mispricing of the call. 相似文献
93.
Charlie X. Cai Robert W. Faff David J. Hillier Michael D. McKenzie 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2006,27(2):125-142
This article empirically investigates the exposure of country-level conditional stock return volatilities to conditional global
stock return volatility. It provides evidence that conditional stock market return volatilities have a contemporaneous association
with global return volatilities. While all the countries included in the study exhibited a significant and positive relationship
to global volatility, emerging market volatility exposures were considerably higher than developed market exposures.
JEL Classification G12 相似文献
94.
Sergei LevendorskiĬ 《Annals of Finance》2006,2(2):207-224
Sufficient conditions for the application of the Feynman-Kac formula for option pricing for wide classes of affine term structure
models in the jump-diffusion case are derived by generalizing earlier results for bond pricing in the pure-diffusion case
The author is grateful to Mikhail Chernov and Darrel Duffie for useful discussions and suggestions. 相似文献
95.
Do the Forward Sales of Real Estate Stabilize Spot Prices? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
S. K. Wong C. Y. Yiu M. K. S. Tse K. W. Chau 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2006,32(3):289-304
We examine the effect of forward sale (pre-sale) activities on the volatility of spot prices in the real estate market. The
abundance of pre-sales data and major changes in regulatory control on the pre-sale market during the 90's in Hong Kong allow
us to undertake empirical tests using Hong Kong's real estate data. Our results show that the volatility of spot prices increased
significantly after forward sales were severely dampened by regulatory control measures introduced in 1994, but decreased
again when the measures were partly relaxed in 1998. The results contribute to the long lasting debate on whether the introduction
of a futures market reduces the volatility of spot prices. Previous studies were mainly conducted in markets with low transaction
costs, notably financial markets. By utilizing the unique regulatory changes in the pre-sale market of Hong Kong, we are able
to conduct an experiment on the conditional volatility of spot prices in a high information-cost environment, thereby shedding
light on the important role of forward housing contracts in providing price expectation information for spot trading. 相似文献
96.
本文选择了28家既在香港发行H股,又在内地发行A股的上市公司作为样本,研究分割市场之间的差异性和互动关系.通过对比相同上市公司在两个市场上的收益性和波动性差异,本文发现:两个市场在年报公告、中报公告、季报公告以及预告事件下获得的超额收益具有显著差异,而在分红通过公告事件下未产生显著差异;同时,除了分红通过公告(旧信息)事件未引起市场产生明显的波动以外,其余事件都对两个市场产生了显著的波动性影响.另外,我们也发现"H股引起A股变化"的可能性要大于"A股引起H股变化"的可能性. 相似文献
97.
The Dynamics of Location in Home Price 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:4
Alan E. Gelfand Mark D. Ecker John R. Knight C. F. Sirmans 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2004,29(2):149-166
It is well established that house prices are dynamic. It is also axiomatic that location influences such selling prices, motivating our objective of incorporating spatial information in explaining the evolution of house prices over time. In this paper, we propose a rich class of spatio-temporal models under which each property is point referenced and its associated selling price modeled through a collection of temporally indexed spatial processes. Such modeling includes and extends all house price index models currently in the literature, and furthermore permits distinction between the effects of time and location. We study single family residential sales in two distinct submarkets of a metropolitan area and further categorize the data into single- and multiple-transaction observations. We find the spatial component is very important in explaining house price. Moreover, the relative homogeneity of homes within the submarket and the frequency with which homes sell affects the pattern of variation across space and time. Differences between single and repeat sale data are evident. The methodology is applicable to more general capital asset pricing when location is anticipated to be influential. 相似文献
98.
Chin-Wen Hsin 《International Review of Financial Analysis》2004,13(4):433-462
This study investigates the comovement in stock indices among major developed markets, where Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) indices are employed for the purposes of the study. We employ a model that accommodates multilateral international impacts on equity index movements. The empirical results reveal the existence of significant international transmission effects among these major world markets, both in terms of returns and volatility, and mostly in a positive direction. The U.S. market, as expected, is the leading market in the sense that it has the most pervasive and significant impact on all markets across continents. However, the U.S. market exhibits a different relationship with European markets from that with Asia-Pacific markets. The evidence also suggests that strong regional transmission effects exist. A further investigation using the extended model reveals that the linkages between U.S. and European markets are driven by positive global common forces and by negative international competitive effects. On the other hand, the U.S. and Asian markets are linked through positive global common forces and positive international contagion effects. The United States, Canada, and the U.K. are the three markets that still demonstrate contagion influence over countries outside its own region. The Asia-Pacific markets are more susceptible to contagion effects. Finally, it is interesting to find that Japanese market performance became more contagious toward other markets during the Asian financial crisis period. 相似文献
99.
Pricing default swaps: Empirical evidence 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
In this paper we compare market prices of credit default swaps with model prices. We show that a simple reduced form model outperforms directly comparing bonds' credit spreads to default swap premiums. We find that the model yields unbiased premium estimates for default swaps on investment grade issuers, but only if we use swap or repo rates as proxy for default-free interest rates. This indicates that the government curve is no longer seen as the reference default-free curve. We also show that the model is relatively insensitive to the value of the assumed recovery rate. 相似文献
100.
The relationship between stock returns and volatility in international stock markets 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This study examines the relationship between expected stock returns and volatility in the 12 largest international stock markets during January 1980 to December 2001. Consistent with most previous studies, we find a positive but insignificant relationship during the sample period for the majority of the markets based on parametric EGARCH-M models. However, using a flexible semiparametric specification of conditional variance, we find evidence of a significant negative relationship between expected returns and volatility in 6 out of the 12 markets. The results lend some support to the recent claim [Bekaert, G., Wu, G., 2000. Asymmetric volatility and risk in equity markets. Review of Financial Studies 13, 1–42; Whitelaw, R., 2000. Stock market risk and return: an empirical equilibrium approach. Review of Financial Studies 13, 521–547] that stock market returns are negatively correlated with stock market volatility. 相似文献