我国外部均衡调节中的估值效应分析

世界金融一体化促进各国对外资产与负债迅速增长。资产价格的非预期变化使一国对外净资产更多地暴露于资本收益和损失风险中,因此,如何实现有利于一国外部均衡的估值效应就显得日益重要。本文对估值效应的理论模型和计量方法进行梳理,并对我国对外净资产变化中的估值效应进行实证分析,结果发现存在负的估值效应,表明我国通过经常项目盈余所聚积的大量资源正在不断地向国外无偿转移,这就要求对外资产管理水平稳步提高。     

对于吉林省发展农村普惠金融的思考

党的十八届三中全会明确提出发展普惠金融。发展普惠金融对于促进金融公平、提高弱势群体收入、构建现代金融体系、优化金融服务和产品,具有重大而深远的意义。本文重点分析了农业大省吉林省构建农村普惠金融的主力军、建设过程中需要破解的难题,并对相关问题的解决提出了对策建议。     

人文素质对商务英语专业学生职业发展的影响

本文以商务英语专业学生为例,关注其职业发展中人文素质所起到的作用,以引起教者和学者的注意,并对学生的培养模式提出建议。     

Imagining futures: A collaborative policy/device design for wearable computing

The rapidly expanding market for wearable computing devices (wearables), driven by advances in information and communication technologies (ICT), wireless access, and public acceptance of a design aesthetic, is indicative of the near limitless potential for changing the relationship of users to information context(s). As the adoption of wearable devices spreads, there are cultural and social impacts that represent both barriers and opportunities, with subsequent policy ramifications. All too often designers, technologists, and policymakers operate independently developing products that are out of sync, lack interoperability, or are hindered by well meaning, but obstructive policy. This paper proposes a futures-based, iterative policy-informed design framework for developing wearable devices that guides interdisciplinary collaborators early in the process of designing a research & development plan. This approach allows for the development of “images of the future” through which various potential implications and effects of device design in social, technological, and regulatory contexts can be explored.     

Estimating the long-term effects of advertising on sales: a co-integration perspective

Co-integration econometrics have important theoretical advantages over more traditional approaches to estimating the long-term effects of one variable on another. When advertising and sales data are co-integrated, adaptations of common econometric procedures may be used to estimate the long-term effects directly rather than inferring them from short-term relationships. This paper presents a method for detecting and estimating co-integrating relationships using ordinary least-squares regression procedures. The method is illustrated with the well-known Lydia Pinkham data from 1907 through to 1961. The results show that there was a strong positive relationship between Lydia Pinkham advertising and sales in the long-term. Implications of the method and findings are discussed.     

项目训练教学法在消费者行为学教学中的应用

对项目训练教学法进行了剖析,阐述了项目训练教学法实施的步骤和方法,并设计了通过推行项目训练教学法达到提升教学效果的方法。实践证明,取得了良好的教学效果,并提出创新发展设想。     

马来西亚华人经济的发展与影响

华人经济与马来西亚社会发展,有着非常密切的联系。本文分析了马来西亚华人经济政策的内涵、华人经济发展及其在族群经济中的地位,以及马来西亚华人对本身经济处境的自我评估等问题,认为目前马来西亚华人经济发展状况,有利于改善马来西亚族群关系,促进马来西亚社会的稳定与和谐。     

出口退税政策对我国外贸增长方式转变的影响效应及建议

本文分析了出口退税政策对我国外贸增长方式转变的影响效应，并在此基础上提出利用出口退税政策促进我国外贸增长方式根本转变的几点建议。     

中国投资率波动的度量与变化的分解(1993～2008年)

本文从产业角度对中国投资率的波动和变化进行了度量和分解,结果表明,1993~2008年产业内效应解释了中国投资率波动的84.70%,而2000~2008年中国投资率持续上升期间,它的解释力上升到94.87%。除持续上升的2001年和2002年外,产业内效应中第二产业投资率的上升都主导着中国投资率的持续上升。中国投资率9年后才持续上升的根本原因是第二产业的投资率由降转升而致。     

Efficient choice set designs for estimating availability cross-effects models

Batsell and Polking proposed a discrete choice model which incorporates the availability (presence or absence) of competing brands into the utility of each brand under study. The information on relative impacts of adding or deleting brands is of strategic interest, and models that do not incorporate such effects may be misleading. The designs suggested by Batsell and Polking have 2^m–m–1 choice sets. Even with as few as 10=m brands, this requires over 1000 choice sets. In this paper we provide a catalog of designs for estimating cross effects models in as few as 2m–1 choice sets. This will make cross effects modelling practical in a wide range of academic and commercial settings.