我国与其他东亚国家产业内贸易影响因素的实证研究

本文利用引力模型分析了我国与东亚其他国家或地区产业内贸易的影响因素，主要包括：GDP、DIST、GDPP、DGDP、FDI，即我国与另一国家的产业内贸易状况取决于我国贸易伙伴国的国内生产总值、与贸易伙伴国的距离、贸易伙伴国的人均国内生产总值、我国与贸易伙伴国的人均国内生产总值的绝对差异及贸易伙伴国对我国的直接投资额。产业内贸易额与伙伴国的国内生产总值、贸易伙伴国的人均国内生产总值及贸易伙伴国对我国的直接投资额成正比，和与贸易伙伴国的距离、我国与贸易伙伴国的人均国内生产总值的绝对差异成反比。     

Exchange Rate Changes and Inflation in Post‐Crisis Asian Economies: Vector Autoregression Analysis of the Exchange Rate Pass‐Through

Macro‐economic consequences of large currency depreciations among the crisis‐hit Asian economies varied from one country to another. Inflation did not soar after the Asian currency crisis of 1997–98 in most crisis‐hit countries except Indonesia where high inflation followed a very large nominal depreciation of the rupiah. The high inflation meant a loss of price competitive advantage, a key for economic recovery from a crisis. This paper examines the pass‐through effects of exchange rate changes on the domestic prices in the East Asian economies using a vector autoregression analysis. The main results are as follows: (i) the degree of exchange rate pass‐through to import prices was quite high in the crisis‐hit economies; (ii) the pass‐through to Consumer Price Index (CPI) was generally low, with a notable exception of Indonesia; and (iii) in Indonesia, both the impulse response of monetary policy variables to exchange rate shocks and that of CPI to monetary policy shocks were positive, large, and statistically significant. Thus, Indonesia's accommodative monetary policy, coupled with the high degree of CPI responsiveness to exchange rate changes was an important factor in the inflation‐depreciation spiral in the wake of the currency crisis.     

从投资者角度看东亚区域债券市场发展的可行性

本文从投资者角度,并以美国政府债券作为对照,考察了东亚9个经济体投资区域内政府债券的风险-收益情况。结果表明,东亚区域内存在着适合自身投资的债券品种,区域债券市场具有潜在的可行性。但是,由于东亚内部投资障碍的存在,使得债券的跨境投资受到了限制。因此,未来亚洲债券市场建设要求东亚进一步削减相互间的投资障碍,并加强东亚货币合作。     

Estimation of the East African Community's trade benefits from promoting intra‐regional trade

In the literature on economic integration, the optimum currency area (OCA) theory says that there should be a high degree of trade between potential members of a monetary union for them to benefit from the use of a single currency. This study uses an augmented gravity model of trade to estimate the East African Community's (EAC) trade effects, as this community decided to participate in a monetary union by 2024. The study uses the fixed effect filter (FEF) estimator, which follows a two‐step approach and outperforms the standard fixed effects (FE) estimator. The results indicate that EAC has the potential to increase trade among partner states by 122% more than expected from the normal trade levels. The study, therefore, supports the ongoing East African Monetary Union process. However, to improve the likelihood of creating a more sustainable monetary union, the study recommends these countries to primarily focus on the full implementation of the customs union and common market steps. The main contribution of this study is that it provides robust estimates of the EAC's effects on intra‐regional trade using more recent data and updated econometric techniques.     

Aligning labour disputes with institutional,cultural and rational approach: evidence from East Asian-invested enterprises in China

This study examines the underlying critical factors, such as the institutional arrangements, working conditions, workforce composition, expatriate managers, and managerial style which influence the labour disputes in the East Asian-invested enterprises (EAIEs) in China. Throughout the process, we can determine which factors should be changed for better human resource management (HRM) practices. This research incorporates the survey data collected from the managers and factory workers working at 30 different firms invested from Taiwan, Korea, Hong Kong and Japan in the coastal cities from 2000 to 2001.

The results or findings demonstrate that the long work hours and less regulative managerial styles have significant and positive effects on the number of the labour disputes in the Hong Kong owned firms. Among the firms owned by Taiwan, the long work hours and their authoritarian managerial style have significant effects on the frequency of the labour disputes, while the lack of unionization has a diminishing effect on the labour disputes. The firms owned by Korea, on the other hand, often encounter frequent collective actions, organized by homogeneous local workforces and supported by the relatively high numbers of trade unions. Responding to the relatively strict enforcement of the labour laws and the institutional arrangements of the local governments in northern China, the firms owned by Korea tend to adopt the less regulative and less authoritarian managerial styles. Lastly, the firms owned by Japan experience the lowest number of the labour disputes when compared to their counterparts. The observance of the legal work hours and the regulative managerial style displays a significantly diminishing effect on the number of the labour disputes, although the higher level of institutionalization of the labour relations such as higher setting-up of trade unions somewhat positively contributes to the frequency of the labour disputes.

From the theoretical perspective, our exploratory model seems to exhibit the stronger explanatory ability when the institutional, cultural, and rational factors are taken into consideration. From the institutional perspective, it is imperative for local governments to reinforce the institutional arrangements through effective supervision and enforcement of the labour regulations and legislation. From the cultural perspective, foreign investors should enhance their inter-cultural understanding and localization to diminish the industrial conflicts in the workplaces in China. From the rational perspective, foreign-investors will face more labour disputes than they had before, if harsh working conditions, such as extension of the working hours, are enforced. It is also imperative for the workers to understand their rights and empower themselves to improve their working conditions.     

Commitment and turnover intention in the UAE oil industry

This paper aims to explore the links between two components of commitment – affective and continuance – and employees' intention to stay/quit in the oil industry. A self-administered questionnaire was used in order to collect study data from 600 employees representing three levels of management. Eight hypotheses were developed such as there is no significant relationship between affective commitment and intention to quit the organization, there is no significant relationship between affective commitment and intention to stay with the organization, there is no significant relationship between personal variables and organizational commitment and its dimensions, and there is no significant relationship between job-related variables and organizational commitment and its dimensions. These hypotheses were examined using various tests drawn from the SPSS program, for example, correlations, factor analysis and multiple regressions. Findings confirmed the multidimensionality nature of commitment. A significant negative relationship between organizational commitment and intention to quit was also reported. The results related to demographic factors and commitment show some evidences that support these links. The implications of the findings for both practitioners and researchers are discussed in the paper with some guidelines for future research in this field.     

Localizing women's experiences in academia: multilevel factors at play in the Arab Middle East and North Africa

This article explores the localized experiences of women at work in higher education in the under-researched context of the Arab Middle East and North Africa. Our main research questions are: What is the current status of academic women between and across the countries of this region? How can human resources play a developmental role for women at work in academic institutions, as well as for the region in general? We adopt a two-part research method in this study. First, through a critical review of the literature, we develop a regionally relevant macrolevel hypothetical model to localize a gender perspective on women at work. Second, we engage in a focused empirical examination of publicly available university data to document the: (1) representation of women across ranks; and (2) specific content of pertinent human resource policies. On the basis of these data, we propose a more complete multilevel hypothetical model upon which we put forward a critical discussion and directions for future research on gender, human resource management and regional development more broadly.     

Ostentation and funk: An integrative model of extended and expanded self theories under the lenses of compensatory consumption

In the last decade, economic growth have created in Brazil and other emerging countries a ‘new middle class’, a group that left the poverty line and entered the consumption markets. In this scenario, a musical movement with many traces of this ‘new middle class’ has emerged. Known as Funk Ostentação (ostentation funk), the movement is formed by young singers whose lyrics and promo videos refer to the consumption of designer's clothes, cars and aspirational products. We have studied Funk Ostentação by means of its promo videos, personal interviews and a group discussion with its fans (young adults) and found meaningful relations between consumption and identity building. We developed a framework that integrates the extended and expanded self theories under the lenses of compensatory consumption. This framework can be applied to studies with other groups that have similar characteristics of vulnerability with other niches of the ‘new middle class’ in emerging markets.     

Mapping the trading behavior of the middle class in emerging markets: Evidence from the Istanbul Stock Exchange

Predicted to grow above 4.9 billion by 2030, with an overall spending capacity of $56 trillion, the rise of the middle class in emerging markets has attracted global practitioner and academic attention. How this new wealth will be invested is a central question; yet our understanding still remains fragmented. Drawing on the literatures of international business, behavioral economics and finance and using high-frequency stock market data, we examine and map the trading behavior of the middle class in Turkey, one of the fastest rising economic powers of the East. We find that middle class traders exhibit discernible differences to professionals, with respect to risk attitudes and stock preferences (e.g. prefer lower-risk, smaller-size and ‘value’ stocks). In addition, while they typically hold small portfolios and tend to realize lower gains than professionals, their role has become considerably influential to the direction of the entire market.     

Sequential internationalization,heterogeneous process and subsidiary roles: the case of Hyundai Motor Company*

This paper proposes a new conceptual model to better understand the internationalization process of firms, especially those from rapidly developing East Asian economies. The model is illustrated through a comprehensive analysis of the internationalization process of Hyundai Motor Company (HMC). A comparative case analysis of the development of HMC's five major foreign subsidiaries shows both capability building through sequential investment from the headquarters' perspective and heterogeneous development of operational knowledge at the subsidiary level. The research emphasizes the importance of the post-FDI phase of subsidiary development to the study of firm internationalization, and highlights the process of decision-making and learning as the key to understanding the sequence of investments in subsidiaries.