CEO inside debt holdings and risk-shifting: Evidence from bank payout policies

Bank payouts divert cash to shareholders, while leaving behind riskier and less liquid assets to repay debt holders in the future. Bank payouts, therefore, constitute a type of risk-shifting that benefits equity holders at the expense of debt holders. In this paper, we provide insights on how CEO incentives stemming from inside debt (primarily defined benefit pensions and deferred compensation) impact bank payout policy in a manner that protects debt holder interests. We show that CEOs with higher inside debt relative to inside equity are associated with more conservative bank payout policies. Specifically, CEOs paid with more inside debt are more likely to cut payouts and to cut payouts by a larger amount. Reductions in payouts occur through a decrease in both dividends and repurchases. Our results also hold over a subsample of TARP banks where we expect the link between risk-shifting and payouts to be of particular relevance because it involves wealth transfers from the taxpayer to equity holders. We conclude that inside debt can help in addressing risk-shifting concerns by aligning the interests of CEOs with those of creditors, regulators, and in the case of TARP banks, the taxpayer.     

中国上市公司送转行为动因研究——基于高送转样本的检验

关于中国上市公司大量进行股票送转的动机,学术界尚存争论。本文将不同送转理论纳入同一个计量模型,利用2006～2010年进行高送转公司的样本对不同送转理论进行了验证,为解决关于股票送转动机的争论提供了经验证据。实证结果支持了"最适价格假说"与"股本扩张假说",而拒绝"信号传递假说"、"价格幻觉假说"与"股利迎合假说"。此外,本文模型对高送转公司的预测准确度达90%,基于模型预测建立高送转公司的投资组合可以获取较稳定的超额收益。     

资本成本、可持续分红与国有企业EVA创造——系统框架分析

本文将可持续分红比例估算与EVA价值管理系统结合起来,构建了一个国有企业价值创造系统框架。框架分析与相关数据验证表明,2002～2006年国有控股上市公司各行业股权经济增加值状况较差,资本使用效率较为低下。国有企业价值实现的基本路径应当包括构建与完善EVA价值管理平台、不断提高和保持留存收益再投资报酬率水平、树立全面的资本成本观念、提升对公司业务的识别与处置能力、形成和保持有利于价值创造的财务可持续增长能力等。     

Unexpected Share Repurchase Announcements

Abstract

Open-market stock repurchase announcements are generally perceived by the stock market as a signal of firm undervaluation. Our study shows that repurchase announcements that were preceded by SEOs of other firms in the same industry within the prior six months (namely SEO-RPs) are more likely the result of lacking investment opportunities than signaling undervaluation, especially in concentrated industries. Specifically, we find investors response negatively to SEO-RP announcements while react positively to regular repurchase announcements. The higher the intensity of SEO activities in the industry, the more negative market reaction to SEO-RP announcements. We argue that the market doesn’t expect a repurchase announcement when other rival firms are raising more capital via SEOs. These SEO-RPs represent a negative surprise to the market and lead to a downward adjustment in value of the repurchasing firms in the announcement window. In the three-year post-announcement periods, the SEO-RP firms underperform regular repurchasing firms in both stock return and operating performance. Moreover, while regular repurchasing firms gradually increase their capital expenditures, SEO-RP firms significantly reduce their capital expenditures. These findings support our arguments that repurchase announcements that immediately follow SEOs of rival firms (SEO-RPs) more likely indicate the announcing firms entering a slower growth rate with fewer investment opportunities than signal the undervaluation problem. The underperformance in stock return and operation combined with a significant reduction in capital expenditures in the post-announcement periods are consistent with this logic and also explain why the market reacts negatively to SEO-RP announcements.     

产品市场竞争对上市公司股利政策的影响

本文选用2009-2012年的1469家中国上市公司的平衡面板数据，检验了产品市场竞争与上市公司股利政策的相关性。研究发现在其他条件一定的情况下，产品市场竞争程度与上市公司股利支付倾向和支付力度呈现正相关关系。     

Payout Policy Relevance and Accounting‐based Valuation

DeAngelo and DeAngelo (2006) (D&D) argue ‘payout policy is not irrelevant and investment is not the sole determinant of value, even in frictionless markets’. Consistent with this view, we argue that the concept of a perfect capital market in Miller and Modigliani (1961) (M&M) and Fama and Miller (1972) can be extended to allow for managerial moral hazard if managers are assumed not to participate in securities trading. An updated version of the M&M valuation model is presented and the possibility of managerial free cash flow (FCF) retention through operating expense manipulation and sub‐optimal investment policies is discussed. Our analysis supports D&D's argument that payout policy is relevant and indicates that value relevance of payout depends on the quality of earnings measurement and the optimality of investment policy. Following this, we develop a framework for analyzing valuation and informational roles of payout in accounting‐based valuation models and apply this framework to the Ohlson (1995) and Feltham and Ohlson (1996) models. This analysis shows how these models permit payout valuation relevance due to managerial FCF retention but not payout informational relevance. Finally, we consider how the Feltham and Ohlson (1996) model can be extended to incorporate time variation in expected profitability of capital investment caused by time variation in managerial FCF retention activities and show that this explicitly affects payout value relevance. We conclude that the development of models where payout plays an explicit valuation role due to issues of moral hazard is an important direction for future research.     

Determinants of the payout decision in the airline industry

Payouts play an important role in the relationship between shareholders and agents in terms of rewarding the decisions of shareholders. Previous studies have observed that payout decisions appear in different ways depending on an industry's financial and operating structures. Since the airline industry has been characterized as high debt dependency, this study presumes distinctive characteristics on payouts determinants and identifies them influencing dividend payments and share repurchases. The results indicate that firm size, cash holdings, financial leverage, and life-cycle influence dividends payments, whereas firm size, cash holdings and life-cycle stage affect share repurchase. The implications of the findings are discussed.     

财政支出绩效管理:合格公共服务型政府的要求

随着公共财政框架的初步确立和财政支出规模的逐渐增大,支出管理改革也逐渐成为我国财政管理改革的重点。加强财政支出绩效管理,确保财政资金运行的安全、可靠、准确、高效,是提高财政工作质量的关键环节,同时有助于各级政府强化“花钱”的责任意识,促进形成追踪问效的管理理念,推动政府由经济建设型向公共服务型的转变。     

Financial management in China

This paper introduces the Journal of Multinational Financial Management's special issue on financial management in China. We provide a brief literature review of China's financial management policies, practices, and recent research findings, and describe how papers published in this special issue contribute to this literature. We also make many suggestions for future research.