东莞市中小企业关系型贷款实证研究

本文在对国内外关系型贷款理论及实证研究进行了较详细梳理的基础上,针对国内关于中小企业关系型贷款实证研究主要只考虑其对贷款定价的影响,而缺少对关系型贷款理论有效性的实证检验的这一不足,本文运用多元logistic方法,利用2007年东莞市中小企业和金融机构的相关融资调研数据,从企业和银行两个角度进行了回归分析,为我国中小企业关系型贷款的存在性提供了直接证据,同时还研究了银企合作关系对中小企业获得贷款机会的影响,得出了针对我国沿海发达地区中小企业和金融机构发展的两点启示。     

小额贷款公司发展中面临的问题——基于与民间借贷的比较分析

2008年金融危机后,小额贷款公司在全国各地大量涌现,形成了对银行业金融机构的有效补充,为各地的中小企业发展、三农服务提供了重要的支持。但是许多小额贷款公司自身生存环境却令人担忧,普遍面临着所受管制较多,税负过重等问题,而与之相比民间借贷受到的约束却很少,税负也较轻,所以这样的环境下明显不利于小额贷款公司发展壮大。本文力图通过对比分析,找出困扰小额贷款公司发展的原因,并提出些有价值的建议。     

The new Capital Accord and banks’ lending decisions

Capital requirements (‘pillar one’ of the new Capital Accord) rising with the increase in borrowers’ PDs were thought as being likely: (i) to have a serious impact on the financing of small and medium-sized enterprises (usually riskier than large corporates) and (ii) to increase the procyclicality of the supply of credit.

The aim of this paper is to provide an empirical evaluation of the possible impact of the new Accord proposals on the lending policies of Italian banks. We compare the interest rate charged to a large set of Italian firms with the cost brought about by the change in the calculation of capital requirements. Since the two variables move together in response to an increase in borrowers’ PDs, we conclude that the new regulatory approach to measuring capital adequacy appears consistent with banks’ own risk evaluations. This result is supported by a ‘stress testing’ exercise: the relationship also holds in a distressed economic scenario, which replicates the financial conditions of the Italian corporate sector in the 1993–1994 recession.     

浅析对等网络中资源定位技术

对等网络资源定位技术发展迅速,给传统的web搜索技术带来了很大的冲击。本文介绍了P2P的定义、资源定位模型,并以P2P系统的拓扑结构为线索,对现有各种P2P搜索算法进行总结和比较,并对P2P的发展进行了展望。     

公开竞标的贷款定价方式对P2P借贷平台的优化作用

P2P借贷是一种金融创新模式,将互联网技术与民间借贷相结合。互联网信贷的巨大需求推动P2P借贷平台的爆发式发展,而P2P借贷发展核心的两个问题是信用评级和风险定价。由于我国未完全实现利率市场化,P2P平台采用的是量化借款人信息的方式计算贷款利率。信息不对称导致P2P平台的贷款利率不能充分反映借款人风险,同时造成信誉良好的借款人不能获得低成本的贷款。文章利用拍卖机制模型对公开竞标的贷款定价方式进行探究,认为公开竞标方式可以改善信息披露,降低借款人的成本,借款人和投资人在公开竞标的贷款定价方式下都可以获得灵活的选择空间,从而提高借贷成功的比例。     

Does lending relationship help or alleviate the transmission of liquidity shocks? Evidence from a liquidity crunch in China

We examine China’s June 2013 liquidity crunch as a negative shock to banks and analyze the wealth effects on exchange-listed firms. Our findings suggest that liquidity shocks to financial institutions negatively impact borrower performance, particularly borrowers reporting outstanding loans at the end of 2012. Stock valuations of firms with long-term bank relationships, however, outperform the market and experience smaller subsequent declines in investment than peers lacking solid banking relationships. This effect is the strongest for firms that enjoy good relations with China’s large state-owned banks or foreign banks, and weakest for firms whose connections are solely with local banks. We document a positive correlation between the stock performances of firms and the stock performances of lender banks and the likelihood of lender banks operating as net lenders in the interbank market. These results suggest that banks transmit liquidity shocks to their borrowing firms and that a long-term bank-firm relationship may mitigate the negative effects of a liquidity shock.     

房价波动、银行信贷与经济增长

运用联立方程模型、面板分析技术及省际面板数据研究发现,我国房价波动、银行信贷与经济增长之间具有紧密的联系.分区域的实证研究结果显示:各地区房价的上涨与金融支持有关,过度的金融支持使东中部地区的房价偏离了经济基本面;中西部地区房价的上涨对银行信贷的扩张有显著影响,而经济增长是各地区促进银行信贷扩张的共同因素.此外,房价的上涨与银行信贷的扩张共同促进了我国各区域经济的繁荣.     

县域民间借贷的调查分析及对策建议

以个案方式对一个县域民间借贷进行了详细调查,调查发现民间借贷规模扩大,利率偏高、纠纷减少等现象,民间借贷繁荣是有内因和外因共同作用的结果。民间借贷对县域经济既存在积极的影响也存在消极的影响。规范民间借贷活动,要从法规建设、市场环境和金融改革多方面入手。