群体性事件的生成土壤与理性应对

对群体性事件做清晰的概念界定,并基于现有文献对类型归属做明确的划分。深刻阐述社会转型的冲突与调适、刚性稳定的利益悖论、公共危机治理的处置失当、社会心理失衡的非理性应对是引发群体性事件的深层诱因,以资从制度规范和实践应对的维度,提出建构和完善群体性事件处置的政策体系,解释了强化群体性事件处置的操控性技术的可行性,并借鉴国外群体性事件处置的理论技巧,提出坚持"现场第一"原则、"处境化"思维、警察权的配制与使用等操作化建议,以此使各地应对群体性事件的有效经验制度化,实现国家长治久安。     

探究校车网络舆情的政府应急机制建设

近年来重特大校车事故频发,校车网络舆情展现出爆炸性、指向性、互动性、传染性、周期性等特点,对政府的校车安全管理提出了严峻挑战。如果校车网络舆情得不到妥善处理,极可能诱发网民的不满情绪及不测行为的发生,进而破坏和谐的社会生活,影响社会的稳定。对此,政府有必要建立一套相应的网络舆情应急机制,包括网络舆情监测机制、网络舆情预警机制和网络舆情应对机制。     

基于SVAR模型的法定存款准备金率对宏观经济各变量的影响分析

准备金率是央行近年来使用频率最高的货币政策工具,它直接影响货币供应量,间接影响价格水平、利率以及股市。文章通过自回归模型（SVAR）、脉冲响应函数以及方差分解技术考察准备金率对宏观经济变量的影响,结果显示：存款准备金率的变动对三个变量的影响是不同的,其中对M1影响最大,对CPI影响较小,对于股市影响也较小且比较短暂。     

大学生常见心理压力及应对

随着社会竞争的不断加剧,大学生的学习压力、经济压力、就业压力也相应增大,心理问题越来越多,大学生心理健康状况令人担忧。正确认识大学生心理压力主要表现形式及影响因素,并采取相应的对策进行心理保健也变得日益重要。     

社会工作专业培训的若干问题研究

近20多年来,随着社会工作职业化、专业化进程的加快,社会工作专业培训在中国大陆也获得了快速发展,主要形成了普及型培训、提高型培训、职业资格考前培训等三个培训模式,取得了较好的成效。然而,当前的社会工作专业培训中存在学员的需求得不到完全满足、学员的学习时间得不到充分保障、社会工作专业培训教材和参考资料严重不足及相关机制不健全等诸多问题,必须采取配合工作要求设计社会工作专业培训的内容及方式、完善社会工作专业培训网络、加强社会工作专业培训教材和参考资料建设及健全相关培训机制等有力措施,这样才能使社会工作专业培训收到预期的效果。     

Structural effects of cognitive and affective reponses to web advertisements,website and brand attitudes,and purchase intentions: The case of casual-dining restaurants

This study investigates the structural relationships among responses to website advertisements, website attitudes, brand attitudes, and purchase intentions in the case of web advertisements for casual-dining restaurants. Responses toward advertising (Rad) factors were categorized as cognitive responses and affective responses. The SEM model in LISREL was used to examine the interrelationships among the proposed hypothesized constructs. Several empirical results were obtained. First, Rad had a positive effect on website attitudes. Second, website attitudes had a positive effect on brand attitudes. Third, brand attitudes had a positive effect on purchase intentions. Finally, some discussion and implications of the study are provided.     

Bilateral Trade Balances: Evidence from Malaysia*

This study examines the impacts of real exchange rates on the bilateral trade balances of Malaysia with the USA, Japan and Singapore. The results for the long‐run cointegrating vectors show that depreciation or devaluation of real exchange rates will improve bilateral trade balances. In the short run, there is some evidence of the J‐curve phenomenon. Changes in real money supply contribute greatly to changes in real exchange rates. Generally, changes in real exchange rates contribute significantly to changes in bilateral trade balances. Monetary policy can be used to influence bilateral trade balances.     

有限理性条件下民营企业资源配置欠优的机理研究

以浙江民营企业为例,借鉴有限理性博弃的相关理论,本文建立了有限理性条件下我国民营企业资源配置协调博弃的快速学习模型和复制动态进化模型;详细分析了存在理性局限的情况下,民营企业资源配置策略结果偏离最优状态的机理,并指出改善这种欠优资源配置策略的可能途径.     

Evaluating,Comparing, Monitoring,and Improving Representativeness of Survey Response Through R‐Indicators and Partial R‐Indicators

Non‐response is a common source of error in many surveys. Because surveys often are costly instruments, quality‐cost trade‐offs play a continuing role in the design and analysis of surveys. The advances of telephone, computers, and Internet all had and still have considerable impact on the design of surveys. Recently, a strong focus on methods for survey data collection monitoring and tailoring has emerged as a new paradigm to efficiently reduce non‐response error. Paradata and adaptive survey designs are key words in these new developments. Prerequisites to evaluating, comparing, monitoring, and improving quality of survey response are a conceptual framework for representative survey response, indicators to measure deviations thereof, and indicators to identify subpopulations that need increased effort. In this paper, we present an overview of representativeness indicators or R‐indicators that are fit for these purposes. We give several examples and provide guidelines for their use in practice.