从量变到质变——高校思想政治理论课实践教学的探究

本文在分析高校思想政治理论课实践教学的必要性和意义的基础上,总结自身的教学经验,提出问题与困惑,将实践教学作为"从量变到质变"过程进行了系统化探究。     

Analysis of rural development policy networks in Greece: Is LEADER really different?

This paper presents an application of quantitative network analysis. It examines rural development projects with respect to their structural and politico-administrative dimensions, including power relations, conflicts, multifunctionality and intersectorality. The network structures and relations of comparable IPRD and LEADER projects are analyzed. The LEADER project network is shown to be less hierarchical than the IPRD project network, although the LEADER network is not characterized by significantly simpler procedures or clearer policy content than the IPRD network. Information and contact are significantly greater, and conflict density is significantly lower in the LEADER network. Administrative intersectorality is higher in the IPRD project, while the multidisciplinarity and the multifunctionality are higher in the LEADER project. However, the LEADER project is not perceived as delivering its objectives to a greater extent than the IPRD project. The implications for process-oriented evaluation are discussed.     

Biodiversity measures based on species-level dissimilarities: A methodology for assessment

Biodiversity is widely recognized as a valuable natural asset to conserve. Yet biodiversity is often reported to be declining worldwide. Biodiversity measures can help evaluating it and conserving it, but need to be clearly defined and assessed. In this paper, I review several biodiversity measures and develop a new one, all based on a matrix of species-level dissimilarity data. The data can be used in its raw form, regardless of its origin (e.g. studies of morphological traits, DNA hybridization experiments…) or of any graphical representation. Then, I propose a two-step assessment of the measures. First, I assess them in terms of their deviation from a strict additive law determining the contribution of each species to the diversity of the set in an ideal setting. This setting refers to a case where the data exactly determines the hierarchical ordering of the species. Second, I assess the measures based on their compliance with a list of axioms. These axioms reflect basic mathematical properties regarded as desirable for diversity measures, such as their monotonicity in species and dissimilarities. Finally, I show the importance of applying the new quantitative assessment and the axiomatic approach together when selecting a dissimilarity-based diversity measure.     

美国量化宽松的货币政策的影响研究

自从2008年金融危机以来,美国在采取第一轮和第二轮量化宽松货币政策失效后,又采取了扭曲操作和第三轮量化宽松货币政策来稳定和刺激经济,这一系列货币政策再带来美国经济气温回升的同时也带来了许多其他影响,本文从多角度多方面分析研究美国的量化宽松货币政策对美国经济及国际黄金价格的影响。     

论国外对混合组织理论研究的新发展--一个新制度经济学分析的诠释

新制度经济学的一个新的发展方向是将两个不同的研究方向:制度环境和制度结构的分析有机地统一起来.文章介绍了在这一研究思路下国外的有关研究运用非连续结构性替代分析工具,既分析了混合经济组织的制度结构特征,指出了混合经济组织的边界,又分析了产权、契约法、声誉效应以及不确定性等制度环境因素对混合经济组织的影响.     

Performance evaluation of balanced pension plans

This paper examines the ability of balanced pension plan managers to successfully time the equity and bond market and select the appropriate assets within these markets. In order to evaluate both market timing abilities in these balanced pension plans, we extend the traditional equity market timing models to also account for bond market timing. As far as we know, we are among the first to apply this multifactor timing model to investigate equity and bond market timing simultaneously. This performance evaluation has been conducted on two samples of Spanish balanced pension plans, one with Euro Zone and one with World investment focus. This allows us to decompose managers’ skills into three components: selectivity, equity market timing, and bond market timing. Our findings suggest that the average stock-picking ability of pension plans is positive. World schemes tend to have positive bond timing skills, while Euro Zone pension plans are on average not able to time equity or bond markets.     

从2005～2010年《国际金融研究》的载文统计看国际金融研究的发展态势

本文对《国际金融研究》2005~2010年的共计821篇载文进行了定量研究,通过对载文的研究内容、研究方法、基金资助、作者所在单位、合著情况、参考文献、被引频次等方面的统计分析,探析2005年以来我国国际金融研究的发展态势,并对今后国际金融研究的方向进行了展望。     

A methodology for organizing and quantifying the results of environmental scanning exercises

This paper presents a methodology for organizing and quantifying the results of environmental scanning exercises. The first step of the methodology is to develop a simple systems model whose components capture the essence of the problem context under study. Then, a scan identifies leads that affect one or more components. The impact a lead may have on a component is rated on a numerical scale for any number of time periods of interest. Lower and upper probabilities are estimated for each impact rating for each time period. Lower and upper expected impact scores are then calculated to provide a range of potential impacts over time. An exponential function is used to aggregate the lower and upper expected impact scores upon a component to produce lower and upper expected component changes. The methodology also allows changes in components to impact other components. The methodology was implemented to explore impacts of demographic and technological change upon the future of human and ecological health in the United States.     

How persuasive is ‘free’ public transport?: A survey among commuters in the Brussels Capital Region

In Belgium, several cities have been experimenting with ‘free’ public transport based on the concept of a third payer system. This study explores the modal shift potential of this measure for commuters by means of a large-scale survey. The results indicate that there is still a margin for a further modal shift, but in order to make public transport more attractive to car users, the price paid by the commuter should be lowered, the quality and capacity of the public services should be improved and the mobility policy of the companies should be adjusted in favour of public transport.     

论财务分析模型的建立

本文本文在总结分析了国内外财务分析中定量分析方法的基础上,认为建立多元模型是今后财务分析理论发展的趋势,并在建立多元模型时对变量选择、设置方面提出了不同于以往理论的思路。