风险承担、风险缓冲与管理理念——关于信托公司风险管理的思考

由于信托制度的独特设计,信托公司或直接或间接均要承担信托财产损失风险,从近期来看,信托公司应构建以资本金为核心的风险缓冲机制。从长期来看,引入业绩评价基准,进行相对业绩评价是信托公司风险缓冲的必然选择。信托公司在风险管理时应树立两个理念,一是要将风险管理列为企业管理活动的核心,二是要认识到风险管理是一项长期性的工作,不能寄希望“毕其功于一役”。     

土地经营适度规模的初步研究

土地经营的适度规模是与一定的自然，经济、社会、技术条件相适应的，它的大小受资源禀赋，经营环境（经济发展水平，农业社会服务体系完善程度，风险和不确定性因素。政策性配套措施，其他社会经济条件）、生产力水平，劳动者素质等多种因素的影响，本文从分析土地经营适度规范的影响因素和我国推行适度规模经营的条件入手，对全国30个省级行政单位进行了分区，指明了各区的发展方向，并测算了现阶段我国土地经营的适度规模，最后给出了各地计算适度规模的方法。     

关中地区城市化水平地域差异及影响因素分析

将陕西省关中地区近25年的城市化进程分为三个阶段,从人口、社会经济、地理环境等角度构建评价指标体系,在不同的阶段利用灰色关联方法分析影响关中地区城市化水平地域差异的主要因素,并根据贡献度进行排序,找到了在近25年中影响关中地区城市化水平地域差异的重要因素.     

Take a risk: Preferring prevention over control of biological invaders

Scientists have argued that invasive species can be managed most cost effectively with greater investments in prevention. Further, under ideas like the precautionary principle it is reasonable to expect that a cautious manager would use more prevention relative to control because it keeps more invaders out. Yet, this is not typically done. In many cases, private and public resources are invested primarily to control existing invaders rather than to prevent new invasions. Managers frequently wait until after invaders have arrived and then scramble to limit the damages. We believe these paradoxical decisions can be understood by recognizing the link between typical human preferences for risk bearing and the technology of risk reduction. We demonstrate quantitatively how managers perceived to be cautious or averse to risk tend to shy away from prevention relative to control. This counterintuitive result arises because control is a safer choice than prevention because its productivity is relatively less risky: it works to remove existing invaders from the system. In contrast, the productivity of prevention is more uncertain because prevention only reduces the chance of invasion, it does not eliminate it, and invasion may not occur even in the absence of prevention. Managers' averse to risk will inherently avoid as much uncertainty as possible, whether the source of uncertainty regards ecological outcomes or economic productivity. Implications for environmental decision making are clear. In invasive species management, if managers act as though they are risk averse, their caution can backfire when it leads to more control rather than prevention. The social consequences of this choice are a greater probability of future invasions and lower social welfare. Our results suggest that social welfare is highest when managers were willing to “take a risk” with prevention.     

创业投资退出方式的选择及影响因素研究综述

创业投资的成功退出有利于实现创业资本的循环发展。对与国外创业投资退出方式的选择相关的研究进行了回顾,内容涉及各种退出方式的比较与选择、不同国家退出方式选择受制度体系的影响以及同一国家退出方式选择受契约安排的影响。最后结合目前国内对创业资本退出的研究现状,对今后的研究方向进行了展望。     

论我国资产证券化的风险防范

资产证券化存在着许多风险，尤其在我国，由于缺乏相关的法律法规、市场环境及中介机构，资产证券化的运行会蕴涵着更大的风险。必须充分认识这些风险并采取相应的措施，才能降低我国资产证券化的运行风险，促使我国资产证券化顺利进行。     

Playing safe in coordination games:: the roles of risk dominance, payoff dominance, and history of play

This paper presents results from a series of experiments designed to test the impact on subject behavior of changes in the risk dominance and payoff dominance characteristics of two player coordination games. The main finding is that changes in risk dominance significantly affect play of the subjects, whereas changes in the level of payoff dominance do not. Observed history of play also has an important influence on subject behavior, both when subjects are randomly rematched after each game and when they remain matched with the same individual for a sequence of games.     

中国保险业的合谋倾向强度:一个理论分析框架

从结构、需求与信息三个维度构建了一个产业合谋倾向强度理论分析框架，并用该框架分析了我国保险业的合谋强度。研究认为，我国保险业合谋强度比较大。     

广州旅行社企业文化建设初探

分析了广州旅行社企业文化建设的现状和存在问题，并对影响广州旅行社文化内外部环境因素做了论述。指出影响和制约广州旅行社企业文化模式的要素主要来自4个方面：企业产权的特征、企业人员的个性和专业特点、企业的伦理道德、企业的组织结构。广州旅行社企业可根据各自不同的特点，运用上述4个基本要素有计划地、系统地构建广州旅行社企业文化体系。最后就如何搞好广州旅行社企业文化的建设提出建议。     

上市公司自愿性披露信息影响因素研究——基于沪、深上市公司的实证检验

本文在文献综述和理论研究的基础上,运用多元回归建立模型,对上市公司自愿性披露信息影响因子进行了实证分析。结果发现,上市公司自愿性披露信息与盈利能力、发行股票类型、会计师事务所规模、公司规模和资产负债率等因素成显著正相关,而与股权集中度及行业类型没有显著相关关系,并对结论进行了相关分析。