支持货币政策的利率期限结构模型

无论从国际还是国内来看,支持货币政策的利率期限结构研究意义重大;对于该问题的近期研究工作主要集中于从利率期限结构中剖析支持货币政策的信息、以及探究货币政策对利率期限结构的影响这两方面,也就是研究利率期限结构作为货币政策信息指示器和传导机制的功能;其中还存在许多重要问题有待于进一步研究。     

The differences in the economic effects between the DB plan and the DC plan

This paper investigates the differences between the defined benefit plans (DB) and the defined contribution plans (DC) in the enterprise pension programs in Japan. Attention is paid not only to the effect of labor turnover but also to the difference in various categories of workers, which are classified by gender, education, timing of labor turnover, etc. Also, we take into consideration the effect of interest rates. One important conclusion of this paper is that the DC plan is superior to the DB plan, in contrast to the common belief. J. Japanese Int. Economies 18 (4) (2004) 551–564.     

制约央行公开市场业务开展的若干因素与改革取向

根据公开市场业务在我国的具体实施状况，应深入考察了影响我国公开市场业务以及货币政策有效施行的若干制约性因素。进一步深化与完善我国公开市场业务操作的改革取向应是：（1）稳步推进利率市场化改革进程；（2）加快货币市场与资本市场的改革与发展；（3）努力提高货币政策制定与实施的独立性与科学性。     

利率市场化改革降低了上市公司债务融资成本吗？

本文以沪深两市A股上市公司为样本,检验了利率市场化对上市公司债务融资成本的影响。研究发现:随着利率市场化进程的推进,上市公司债务融资成本逐渐降低;随着利率市场化程度提高,没有内部资本市场的上市公司债务融资成本会下降更快。本文的发现为宏观经济政策如何影响微观企业行为提供新的经验证据,并为研究内部资本市场与外部资本市场的互动关系提供新的视角。     

Banks’ earnings: Empirical evidence of the influence of economic and financial market factors

The structure of income is a foremost address within research on banks’ performance, especially with regard to effects on the resilience of banks’ earnings. Indeed, given their central position in the economy, banks shall thrive to generate sustainable earnings and control for their potential volatility. Existing studies mostly consider the weight of non‐net interest income (nonNII) as opposed to the traditional NII income source. Such aggregated nonNII is found to increase earnings risk but more granular studies conflict. We propose an original investigation of the influence of economic and financial conditions on various income types, assuming that performance may actually be driven by both the income structure and external conditions. We focus European banks, which have long been allowed to diversify beyond retail banking. Out of a straight panel framework, we question if the influence of external conditions spreads to earnings components other than credit losses and trading income and if it does allow for diversification benefits among components. We find that each component actually evolves owing to its own equation. Furthermore, effects of single variables may cumulate over different components of earnings (e.g. GDP) or provide with diversification benefits. These effects are all the more important since they are not mitigated by operating expenses. Hence, over a regarded period, banks’ performance depends upon their structure of income and upon volatilities and correlations of influential variables. Besides controlling for ex‐ante volatility, our approach shows that a given structure of income is not necessarily more resilient than others but that selected non‐banking income may support a higher stability of Earnings     

货币与伦理的关系探究

货币和伦理的关系实际上是经济因素和非经济因素的关系,货币是伦理道德历史变化的动因之一,同时二者又是互动的。货币和伦理可以融合而成为货币伦理,利益是两者联系的中介。     

Shibor革命及其经济意义

本文主要阐述Shibor的推出对经济的重大意义。文章先回顾了我国利率市场化的进程,提出推出Shibor的背景,然后分析以Shibor为核心来推进利率市场化改革的必要性;在此基础上,分析以Shibor为核心的利率市场化改革对于推动货币政策传导机制的转型、促进商业银行经营管理机制的转型、引导非金融企业和家庭的支出和减缓宏观经济波动等方面的意义。文章最后是简要的结束语。     

利率管制、LPR与完全市场化下的货币政策传导机制:理论对比与实证检验

2019年8月,中国人民银行正式启用修订后的贷款基础利率（LPR）,标志着中国利率市场化改革步入收官阶段。这使得有关利率市场化能否保障货币政策有效性并从根本上改善货币政策传导效率的探讨再度成为焦点。鉴于此,文章构建了DSGE模型和TVP-VAR模型,详细对比了不同市场化程度下利率政策的有效性和传导效率,主要得出以下三点结论：第一,随着市场化程度的不断加深,产出、通胀与企业价值对利率调控的反应愈加敏感,表明利率市场化改革能够优化利率的宏微观传导效率;第二,模拟分析显示,完全市场化将会大幅降低利率政策的宏观传导效率,同时还可能诱发逆向选择并导致微观传导渠道失灵,因此货币当局仍应对利率完全市场化持必要谨慎;最后,实证检验结果表明,LPR的推出进一步提高了利率传导效率,这说明在完全市场化的初级阶段,采取LPR等过渡元素逐渐加强市场定价主导地位不失为双轨合一过程中的有益尝试。     

利率市场化对中国商业银行经营效率的影响

本文基于利率市场化背景,对中国商业银行的经营效率进行研究。文章聚焦商业银行经营效率的理念,针对发达国家利率市场化过程中商业银行经营效率体现的特征进行归纳,并结合我国利率市场化背景下商业银行经营业绩指标进行分析,最后提出从经营理念、业务结构、客户选择、资产负债管理、成本控制、风险管理等六方面提高商业银行管理水平,优化商业银行经营效率。     

利率市场化形势下松原市农村信用社贷款利率定价机制存在的问题及对策

2015年5月1日《存款保险条例》的出台,标志着我国利率市场化工作已基本完成。但在这样的大背景下,松原市农村信用社贷款利率仍然执行“一刀切”的利率政策。这在一定程度上制约了农村信用社的发展。农村信用社贷款利率定价机制缺失,定价不合理的问题突显。对于以农业经济发展为主的松原市来说,做为支农主力军的农村信用社,面对这种多元化矛盾的金融市场,如何努力提高款定价技术水平,科学合理地调整贷款定价方式,把信贷支农和贷款定价机制有效整合,对增加金融支农力度,实现金融信贷支农的“双赢”有着非常重要的意义。