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71.
智能信息处理方法在股市研究中的应用 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本主要介绍了智能信息处理方法在股市研究中的应用,着重介绍了基于模糊数学方法的政策因素综合评价研究、神经网络模型在股票价格分析中的应用和小波包在股票价格预测中的应用。 相似文献
72.
Perry Sadorsky 《Review of Financial Economics》2003,12(2):191-205
Stock prices reflect the value of anticipated future profits of companies. Since business cycle conditions impact the future profitability of firms, expectations about the business cycle will affect the current value of firms. This paper uses daily and monthly data from July 1986 to December 2000 to investigate the macroeconomic determinants of US technology stock price conditional volatility. Technology share prices are measured using the Pacific Stock Exchange Technology 100 Index. One of the novel features of this paper is to incorporate a link between technology stock price movements and oil price movements. The empirical results indicate that the conditional volatilities of oil prices, the term premium, and the consumer price index each have a significant impact on the conditional volatility of technology stock prices. Conditional volatilities calculated using daily stock return data display more persistence than conditional volatilities calculated using monthly data. These results further our understanding of the interaction between oil prices and technology share prices and should be of use to investors, hedgers, managers, and policymakers. 相似文献
73.
Corrado CHARLES J. Jordan BRADFORD D. 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》1997,8(1):51-68
Abstract. We reexamine and extend tests of the uncertain information hypothesis (UIH) proposed by Brown, Harlow, and Tinic (1988, 1993). We find that their empirical results are sensitive to the sampling procedure employed and that their particular methodology does not sufficiently distinguish between event and nonevent periods. When the sampling procedure is modified to identify only relatively large, isolated events, the test results generally do not support the UIH. Instead, significant price shocks are consistently followed by short-lived price reversals. We observe this behavior following positive and negative events regardless of whether the event is classified as risk increasing or risk decreasing. 相似文献
74.
股权结构影响下的上市公司融资倾向研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文选取深沪两市的900家上市公司为样本,以2001-2004年的财务及相关数据为基础,从我国上市公司特殊的股权结构出发,运用一般描述性统计分析、偏相关分析、独立样本T检验等方法,分析我国上市公司股权结构与融资倾向之间的关系,以探究在相同市场环境中,不同的股权结构安排是否会导致其融资倾向的差异性。研究结果表明,股权结构对上市公司融资倾向具有显著的影响,不同股权结构安排下的公司有不同的融资倾向,特殊的股权结构是造成我国上市公司融资结构不合理的主要因素。 相似文献
75.
76.
Bixia Xu 《Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting》2006,26(4):391-408
I investigate the effects of R&D progress on the dynamics of stock price volatility and the post announcement drift to provide
insights into whether or not and how capital markets react to corporate R&D progress in the context of the biotech industry.
I find both stock price volatility and the post announcement drift decrease in R&D progress. More importantly, the decrease
is proportional to the increase in the drug development success rate driven by R&D progress. Findings suggest that R&D progress
conveys useful risk-relevant information, and plays an important role in explaining stock price volatility change and market
anomalies. 相似文献
77.
Do the Forward Sales of Real Estate Stabilize Spot Prices? 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
S. K. Wong C. Y. Yiu M. K. S. Tse K. W. Chau 《The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics》2006,32(3):289-304
We examine the effect of forward sale (pre-sale) activities on the volatility of spot prices in the real estate market. The
abundance of pre-sales data and major changes in regulatory control on the pre-sale market during the 90's in Hong Kong allow
us to undertake empirical tests using Hong Kong's real estate data. Our results show that the volatility of spot prices increased
significantly after forward sales were severely dampened by regulatory control measures introduced in 1994, but decreased
again when the measures were partly relaxed in 1998. The results contribute to the long lasting debate on whether the introduction
of a futures market reduces the volatility of spot prices. Previous studies were mainly conducted in markets with low transaction
costs, notably financial markets. By utilizing the unique regulatory changes in the pre-sale market of Hong Kong, we are able
to conduct an experiment on the conditional volatility of spot prices in a high information-cost environment, thereby shedding
light on the important role of forward housing contracts in providing price expectation information for spot trading. 相似文献
78.
Emmanuel Athanassiou Christos Kollias Theodore Syriopoulos 《Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money》2006,16(5):411-424
This paper analyses the impact of exogenous national security related shocks on the time-varying volatility structure of the Greek stock market. Alternative autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic models are estimated, in order to identify the best fit that adequately describes return volatility behavior, testing symmetric as well as asymmetric innovation responses. An external national security related shock factor is included as well as a military crisis dummy, in order to depict possible implications for the conditional variance. The empirical findings appear to support a statistically significant impact of both national security related factors on the Athens stock market returns. 相似文献
79.
This paper reviews experience with policy reforms in the maize sector in Mexico, beginning in the 1980s with particular reference to impacts on price variability. It analyses Mexico’s transition from past price stabilization policies under a state-trading enterprise to market reforms implemented during the 1990s. The nature, extent, and costs to producers and consumers of maize policies is discussed for both the pre-reform and the reform periods. Although wide ranging reforms have been introduced, impacts on efficiency and fiscal outlays have been less than expected. 相似文献
80.
基于资本配置效率的资本市场发展与经济增长——以汽车制造业上市公司为例的实证研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
李学峰 《广东金融学院学报》2006,21(1):46-51
研究资本市场发展与经济增长的关系,是揭示资本市场对资本配置效率的一个重要研究视角。以汽车制造业上市公司为例,对投资增长与资本回报率之间关系的实证检验,发现我国股票市场的资本配置效率低下,并导致其促进经济增长的功能微弱。造成我国资本市场资本配置效率低下的直接原因是上市公司绩效的非稳定性和经营非持续性。因此,要实现我国资本市场引导资金流向、优化资源配置,促进经济增长作用的功能,必须提高上市公司业绩稳定性和经营持续性。 相似文献